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This is a discussion on Wave Analysis by InstaForex within the Analytics and News forums, part of the Trading Forum category; Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on July 15, 2022 Yesterday, the euro fulfilled its task - it reached ...

      
   
  1. #1221
    Senior Member InstaForex Gertrude's Avatar
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on July 15, 2022

    Yesterday, the euro fulfilled its task - it reached the target support of 0.9950. But the price did not settle under 1.0020 on a daily scale. The signal line of the Marlin Oscillator, having turned up from the lower border of its own descending channel, continues to grow.



    Tension is being created on the market, which may turn into a corrective growth up to 1.0170. Visually, at this moment, the oscillator line will touch the upper border of the channel. If the movement of the price and the oscillator are synchronized by that moment, we expect a reversal into a new downward wave from 1.0170. If the price can overcome the support at 0.9950 immediately, then the next target will be the level of 0.9850.



    The H4 chart also shows the tension and ambiguity of the situation. The Marlin Oscillator took a neutral state near the zero line, the price returned to the consolidation range on the 12th-14th. It is possible that a full-fledged correction will not take place, the growth can be stopped by the MACD indicator line (1.0105), then the price stop at 1.0020 will continue in the form of a normal consolidation. In this situation, it is advisable to wait a bit, perhaps wait out the correction in order to resume short positions with less risk.

    *The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

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  2. #1222
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for GBP/USD on July 18, 2022

    The British pound's growth from last Friday amounted to 42 points. This morning, the pound added another 32 points, coming close to the upper border of the descending wedge on the daily scale chart. Consolidating above it will open the way to the 1.2073 target level. The Marlin Oscillator is set strongly up. Its signal line has already gone above the sloping resistance line.



    The price's exit from the wedge can transform it into a normal descending channel, the upper hypothetical border of which is indicated on the chart in light green. It will be a complex and ambiguous growth. The Marlin Oscillator is growing in the positive area on the four-hour chart, there is not much left to the MACD line (1.1925). The exit above the line will give the corrective growth an additional charge of optimism. The target will be resistance at 1.2073.



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  3. #1223
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on July 20, 2022

    Yesterday's rumor in the media about the likely increase in the European Central Bank rate on Thursday by 0.50% against the expected 0.25% strengthened the corrective growth of the euro, and with growth in other markets. This news was superimposed and another - the central bank of Switzerland may raise the rate by 0.50-0.75% in September. The US stock index S&P 500 jumped 2.76%.



    Since we consider the euro's growth to be corrective, and the correction from the movement from May 30-31, the target levels are the following: 1.0360 - a low of June 15, 1.0470 - a low of April 28 (or June 22), 1.0600 - resistance June 16-28.

    The Marlin Oscillator has left its downward channel to the upside, its potential for further growth does not look very large, since the growth is steep and it will quickly reach the overbought zone.



    The price is growing above the balance and MACD indicator lines on the four-hour chart, the MACD line itself (blue) is turning into growth. The Marlin Oscillator fell a bit on the approach to the overbought zone and is ready to continue moving up. We are waiting for the development of growth to the first target at 1.0360. The daily scale MACD line approaches it. It is possible that all this investor optimism will end even at 1.0360.

    *The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

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  4. #1224
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for GBP/USD on July 21, 2022

    The British pound has already tuned in to a breakthrough to the upside, it is only waiting for a signal from external markets. But in order to justify the optimism, the price needs to settle above the MACD line and the target level of 1.2100. Then the first growth target will be the level of 1.2250. But, despite the strong desire of the Marlin Oscillator to get ahead of the price movement, it still remains in the downward trend zone.



    In order to support the price, the Marlin of the daily scale should move into the positive area. A reversal into a new wave of decline may follow from the level of 1.2100. The British currency is completely in an upward position on the H4 chart: the price is turning above the balance and MACD lines, the Marlin Oscillator is also turning up without leaving the rising trend zone. The departure of the price under the MACD line (1.1920) will be the beginning of the downward movement in the medium-term.



    *The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

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  5. #1225
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on July 22, 2022

    Yesterday, the European Central Bank raised the main rate from 0.00% to 0.50%. Preliminary preparation of the market through the media was successful - by now the euro is at the level of the ECB release - market participants were not inspired by this decision. As a result, we observe the traditional market rule - if the asset does not grow, then it will fall.



    For a medium-term fall of the euro, you need to go under the support level of 1.0150. Targets will open: 1.0020, 0.9950, 0.9850. The Marlin Oscillator is turning down on its approach to the neutral zero level. The signal line of the oscillator fits into the framework of the descending channel.

    The price is still above the balance and MACD indicator lines on the H4 chart. The MACD line already cancels the intention to turn up, now it is moving horizontally. The Marlin Oscillator, after sharp fluctuations above the zero line, breaks it down. We are waiting for further development of the euro's downward movement. Supports: 1.0150, 1.0092, 1.0020, 0.9950



    *The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

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  6. #1226
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on July 25, 2022

    On the daily scale chart, on Friday, it is noticeable how the price touched the support at 1.0150 with its lower shadow and slightly jumped. This morning the price makes another attempt to overcome this level.



    Overcoming 1.0150 will make it possible to develop an attack to the target level of 1.0020. Further, the 0.9950 target will open.

    The signal line of the Marlin Oscillator is turning down from the upper border of its own descending channel.

    Marlin is developing a bearish attack on the four-hour chart. The support of the MACD line at 1.0100 under the nearest target level of 1.0150. It plays the role of an intermediate resistance on the price path to 1.0020.



    *The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

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  7. #1227
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for GBP/USD on July 26, 2022

    Yesterday, the British pound made the first attempt to break above the MACD indicator line on a daily scale. This morning, the pound is more confidently going above this resistance, approaching the target level of 1.2100. Surpassing the level opens the 1.2230 target. Consolidating above 1.2230 may extend the price growth to the level of 1.2435.



    The Marlin Oscillator is actively growing in the positive area, instilling optimism in the bulls. Of course, it is possible that the price will not be able to overcome the strong level of 1.2100, and then Marlin's exit above the zero neutral line will become false, and the price will turn towards 1.1800.

    The price is completely in an upward position on the H4 chart, since its local growth occurs above both indicator lines and the Marlin Oscillator develops in the positive area. A signal for the development of growth will be the price consolidating above the level of 1.2100. The absence of a signal can turn the price in the opposite direction.



    *The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

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  8. #1228
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: LTCUSD Potential For Bearish Continuation | 27th July 2022



    On the H4, with price breaking the ascending channel and there is a descending line of RSI, we have a bearish bias that price might drop from our 1st resistance at 54.57, which is in line with 23.6% fibonacci retracement to the 1st support at 51.07, which is in line with pullback support. If the price breaks the 1st support, we could expect it to drop to the 2nd support at 47.21, which is in line with pullback support. Alternatively, price may head for 2nd resistance at 59.90, which is in line with the multiple swing highs.

    Trading Recommendation
    Entry: 54.57
    Reason for Entry: 23.6% fibonacci retracement
    Take Profit: 51.07
    Reason for Take Profit:Pullback resistanceStop Loss: 59.90
    Reason for Stop Loss:
    Multiple swing highs
    *The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

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  9. #1229
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: USDJPY Potential For Bearish Continuation | 28th July 2022



    On the H4, with price broken out of the ascending trendline and moving below the ichimoku indicator, we have a bearish bias that price will drop to our 1st support at 134.531 where the swing low support, 61.8% fibonacci retracement, 78.6% fibonacci projection and 161.8% fibonacci extension are. Once there is downside confirmation of price breaking 1st support, we would expect bearish momentum to carry price to the 2nd support at 131.480 where the swing low support is. Alternatively, price could head for 1st resistance at 136.723 where the overlap resistance is.

    Trading Recommendation
    Entry: 134.531
    Reason for Entry:
    Swing low support, 61.8% fibonacci retracement, 78.6% fibonacci projection and 161.8% fibonacci extension
    Take Profit: 131.480
    Reason for Take Profit:Swing low support
    Stop Loss: 136.723
    Reason for Stop Loss:
    Overlap resistance

    *The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

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  10. #1230
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on July 29, 2022

    Yesterday's attempt to break through the support of 1.0150 failed. After a decline of 83 points, the price was tossed and the day closed at the opening level. At this time, the signal line of the Marlin Oscillator reached the border with the growing trend territory and, according to the main scenario, it can now turn down from it, which will help the price overcome the support of 1.0150. This will be followed by a decline to the level of 1.0020.



    Another scenario allows the price to reach the resistance of the MACD line (1.0292) and only then turn down. An alternative scenario suggests an attack on the target level of 1.0360.

    The bears' situation looks more alarming on the four-hour scale. The price bounced off the support of the MACD line for the third time and the Marlin Oscillator moved into the growing trend zone. The euro could weaken again if we receive disappointing data on the GDP of the eurozone, which will be released today. The quarterly forecast is 0.2%. The data should be weaker than predicted. Yesterday, the US GDP for the 2nd quarter showed a contraction of 0.9% against the forecast growth of 0.5%, so the data on the euro area may also be negative. If European data turns out to be stronger, EUR/USD will try to work out the upper targets.



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