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Wave Analysis by InstaForex

This is a discussion on Wave Analysis by InstaForex within the Analytics and News forums, part of the Trading Forum category; Forex Analysis & Reviews: Elliott wave analysis of EUR/JPY for June 1, 2022 We continue to look for more downside ...

      
   
  1. #1191
    Senior Member InstaForex Gertrude's Avatar
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Elliott wave analysis of EUR/JPY for June 1, 2022



    We continue to look for more downside pressure as the correction from 140.04 should persist longer. That said the current rally from 132.66 could peak here at 138.50 but as always with X-waves or B-waves all possible options are open. Therefore, we could also see a flat correction back to test the 140.04 higher before turning lower. But also the option for an expanded flat is open and that would call for a break above 140.04 closer to 142.87 before turning lower again. To confirm that wave X is complete we need a break below minor support at 136.80 that would call for renewed downside pressure towards 130.22.

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  2. #1192
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Technical Analysis of EUR/USD for June 2, 2022



    Technical Market Outlook:
    The EUR/USD bulls failed to break through the key short-term supply zone located at the level of 1.0786 and did not hit the 161% Fibonacci extension of the wave C located at 1.0805. Instead, the market fell out of the channel and tested the immediate technical support located at 1.0654. If this level is clearly violated, the termination of the impulsive cycle is confirmed and the correction to the downside is in progress. The nearest technical resistance is seen at 1.0678, 1.0715 and at the local high located at 1.0787.

    Weekly Pivot Points:
    WR3 - 1.1043
    WR2 - 1.0898
    WR1 - 1.0827
    Weekly Pivot - 1.0691
    WS1 - 1.0625
    WS2 - 1.0485
    WS3 - 1.0411

    Trading Outlook:
    The market had bounced from the key long-term technical support located at the level of 1.0336 and is heading higher. The up trend can be continued towards the next long-term target located at the level of 1.1186 only if bullish cycle scenario is confirmed by breakout above the level of 1.0726, otherwise the bearswill push the price lower towards the next long-term target at the level of 1.0336 or below.

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  3. #1193
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for AUD/USD on June 3, 2022

    The Australian dollar showed a very good growth on Thursday, at which it overcame the resistance of the MACD line (0.7212) and reached the target level of 0.7285 (high on February 23). Now, probably, it's time for a correction, which is warned by the Marlin Oscillator, the signal line of which is turning down. The reversal will be confirmed by the price returning under the MACD line, below 0.7212. The exit above 0.7285 and consolidating on lower timeframes can extend the growth to 0.7400.



    The situation on the four-hour chart is similar to the higher timeframe - the general trend is upward, but it has primary signs of a reversal. As on the daily scale, we are waiting for the price to fall below the signal level of 0.7212. Just below it is the MACD line (0.7195), crossing this line will become a confirmation of the reversal signal.



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  4. #1194
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on June 6, 2022

    The optimistic data on US employment released on Friday helped the dollar to slightly strengthen against most world currencies. The euro fell by 27 points. The Marlin Oscillator resumed its decline on the daily chart. The price is moving towards the support of the MACD indicator line (1.0675). Breaking this line will open the target level at 1.0600. Consolidating below the level opens the 1.0493 target. This is the main scenario. A breakthrough above 1.0780 would naturally open the 1.0830 target, but a move higher to 1.0940 at that stage looks unlikely.



    The price settled below the MACD line on the four-hour chart, the Marlin Oscillator has reached the border with the territory of the downward trend and is preparing to overcome it. We are waiting for the development of a downward trend.



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  5. #1195
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on June 7, 2022

    The euro is slowly declining according to the main scenario - moving towards the target level of 1.0493. Since the decline is not fast, the MACD indicator line managed to adapt to it and slightly decrease, thereby lowering the signal level to 1.0667. Now, in order to confidently hit the nearest target at 1.0600, it is necessary to go under 1.0667, otherwise the risk of a jump to 1.0780 will remain. The Marlin Oscillator is declining steadily, the main downside scenario is in force.



    On the 4-hour chart, the Marlin Oscillator has entered negative territory. It, of course, helps the price to go under the signal level of 1.0667. Actually, the price develops under both indicator lines - under the balance line (red) and MACD(blue). The trend is downward.



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  6. #1196
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: June 9, 2022 : EUR/USD daily technical review and trading opportunities.



    In late September, Re-closure below the price level of 1.1700 has initiated downside-movement towards 1.1500 where some recovery was witnessed.

    Shortly after, Price levels around 1.1700 managed to hold prices for a short period of time before another price decline took place towards 1.1200.

    Then the EURUSD has temporarily moved-up within the depicted movement channel until downside breakout occurred recently.

    Since then, the price zone around 1.1500 has applied significant SELLING pressure when a valid SELL Entry was offered upon the previous ascending movement towards it.

    Shortly after, the EURUSD looked oversold while approaching the price levels of 1.0800. That's where the recent upside movement was previously initiated.

    That's why, the recent movement towards 1.1200 was considered for another SELL Trade which is already running in profits now.

    The current ascending movement above 1.0600 enabled further advancement towards 1.0850 where bearish rejection can be applied.

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  7. #1197
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: ETHUSD, Potential For Bearish Drop | 13th June 2022



    On the H4, with price expected to bounce off the support of the stochastics indicator, we have a bullish bias that price will rise from the 1st support at 1480c in line with the horizontal swing low support and 161.8% Fibonacci extension to our 1st resistance at 1727 in line with the 50% fibonacci retracement and horizontal pullback resistance. Alternatively, price may break structure and head for 2nd support at 1309 in line with the 161.8% Fibonacci projection level.

    Trading Recommendation
    Entry: 1727
    Reason for Entry: 50% fibonacci retracement and horizontal pullback resistanceTake Profit: 1727
    Reason for Take Profit: 50% fibonacci retracement and horizontal pullback resistance
    Stop Loss: 1309
    Reason for Stop Loss:
    161.8% Fibonacci projection

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  8. #1198
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on June 14, 2022

    Yesterday, the euro was ahead of our forecast - there was a fall of 108 points and now the price is halfway to the target level of 1.0340. There are no obstacles on this path, but the whole question is the speed of further decline. Perhaps today the price will still stop simply because the Federal Reserve will announce its decision on monetary policy tomorrow evening.



    It rarely happens when investors are ahead of the curve. But maybe yesterday and today exactly such frequent events occur? Anyway, we are waiting for the price at the target level of 1.0170 in the future for several days.

    There is a strong downward local trend on the four-hour chart. The Marlin Oscillator still cannot go deeper into the oversold area and it needs a release. If there is no release, then tomorrow there may be a surprise on the topic "the markets have already taken the rate hike into account". Therefore, today we are still waiting for the price to consolidate so that Marlin can grow and discharge before tomorrow's further decline.



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  9. #1199
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Trading plan for GBPUSD for June 15, 2022



    Technical outlook:
    GBPUSD dropped through the 1.1933 level on Tuesday before finding bids again. The currency pair managed to rally through 1.2040 thereafter, taking out initial resistance at the 1.2031 mark on the hourly chart. It is seen to be trading around the 1.1990 level at this point of writing and is expected to move higher towards the 1.2665 mark in the near term.

    The 1.2665 mark is the initial resistance on the daily chart, and a break there will confirm that a meaningful bottom is in place and that the trend has potentially reversed. Bulls will be poised to hold prices above 1.1900 to keep the medium term favorable for a continued rally. Also note that GBPUSD has dropped through the Fibonacci 0.786 retracement of a larger degree upswing (not seen here).

    GBPUSD's overall wave structure remains bullish with the larger degree upswing between 1.1400 and 1.4250 and has retraced through the 78.6% levels. If the above structure holds well, bulls will stage an impressive rally from current levels pushing prices through the 1.2665 mark in the near term.

    Trading plan:
    Potential rally through 1.2665 against 1.1800

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  10. #1200
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on June 16, 2022

    On Wednesday, the US Federal Reserve raised its base rate from 1.00% to 1.75%, in line with bold expectations. The majority of investors expected an increase to 1.50%. The sharp increase in the rate led to massive purchases of US government bonds, th



    Yesterday, the euro traded within the range of target levels 1.0340-1.0493. Its growth is visually perceived as a correction. We believe that the imbalance of the single currency due to a strong rate hike will end today, so we are waiting for the closing of the day with a decrease. And then we are waiting for the price to leave under the support of 1.0340 and advance to 1.0170. On the four-hour chart, the Marlin Oscillator shows the intention to turn down from the border with the growth territory. It is very similar to the fact that the oscillator is forming a short-term range in the negative zone. And this is consolidation before the next decline.



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