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Wave Analysis by InstaForex

This is a discussion on Wave Analysis by InstaForex within the Analytics and News forums, part of the Trading Forum category; Forex Analysis & Reviews: Technical Analysis of Daily Price Movement of USD/CAD Commodity Currency Pairs, Monday, December 19 2022. If ...

      
   
  1. #1331
    Senior Member InstaForex Gertrude's Avatar
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Technical Analysis of Daily Price Movement of USD/CAD Commodity Currency Pairs, Monday, December 19 2022.



    If you pay attention to the daily chart, the USD/CAD commodity currency pair appears to be stuck in the weekly Resistance Orderblock area which is quite significant at 1.3702 where at the same time a Double Top pattern (Cyan circle) is formed which is also followed by a deviation between its price movement and the Awesome Oscillator indicator, in addition to the emergence the Ascending Broadening Wedge pattern is also strengthening if in the next few days The Loonie will be brought down to the level of 1.3225 but with a note that during the fall there was no significant upward correction movement that exceeded and penetrated above the 1.3750 level because if this level is successfully broken above, the decline scenario described previously will become invalid and cancel by itself.

    *The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

    Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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  2. #1332
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Technical Analysis of Intraday Price Movement of Gold Commodity Asset, Tuesday December 2022



    Since successfully breaking above the 1807.21 level on the 4-hour chart, gold has been pulled down again by market participants which is now that gold has tested the fairly good resistance level at 1796.52, gold is now falling back down to test the 1773.31 level. If this level is successfully broken down, gold will depreciate go down to 1762.44 as the main target and if the momentum and volatility are sufficiently supportive then the next level to aim for is 1733.04 as long as it is on the way to the target level there is no significant correction to break above the 1813.58 level where if this level is successfully penetrated upwards then a decline scenario previously described will be canceled by itself.

    *The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

    Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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  3. #1333
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Trading Signal for GOLD (XAU/USD) for December 21 - 22, 2022: sell below $1,821 and $1,809 (21 SMA - 6/8 Murray)



    Early in the European session, Gold (XAUUSD) is trading around 1,816.14 above the 6/8 Murray and within the downtrend channel formed on December 12.

    Yesterday, during the European session and the American session, gold started a strong bullish movement after it had broken the pennant pattern. In view of the fact that this pattern has completed its goal, it is probable that there will be a technical correction in the next few hours and the metal could reach the support of 1,810.

    In case the uptrend continues and the price breaks above 1,821, it could accelerate the bullish move towards daily R_1 around 1,830.

    Conversely, in case XAU/USD continues trading below 1,821, we could expect a decline and the price may reach the 1,810 zone. A sharp break below this level could trigger a bearish signal and we could expect a fall towards the 200 EMA located at 1,792.

    Our trading plan for the next few hours is to sell below 1,821 with targets at 1,810. If gold consolidates above the 21 SMA, we can expect a technical bounce to resume buying with targets at 1,821 and 1,830.

    In case gold consolidates below 1,809, it will be a clear signal to sell with targets at 1,800 and 1,793 (200 EMA). The eagle indicator on the 1-hour chart is showing overbought levels, hence, an imminent correction could occur in the next few hours.

    *The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

    Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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  4. #1334
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Technical Analysis of Intraday Price Movement of Dow Jones Industrial Average Index, Thursday December 22 , 2022.



    If we look at the 4-hour chart, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index seems to be corrected upwards to test the SBR (Support Become Resistance) level which also happens to be the Daily Breaker Block from #INDU, namely level 33415.9 where this level also happens to be in the Bearish Fair Value Gap area. even though the upward correction of the rally has been confirmed by the appearance of deviations between the #INDU price movement and the Stochastic Oscillator indicator, if the Resistance levels previously described are strong enough to withstand the upward correction rally and/or as long as it does not break above the 33756.6 level, then #INDU has the opportunity to fall back down to the level area 32612.4-32241.9 as the first target and the area level 31761.6-31240.1 as the second target.

    *The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

    Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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  5. #1335
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: GBP/USD. Overview for December 26, 2022



    In contrast to the EUR/USD pair, the GBP/USD currency pair is still in motion. Now that the pound is at least moving and not just standing still, we aren't talking about a volatile movement anymore. Although, based on Friday, there were no noteworthy movements, the pound/dollar pair may also experience a flat in the upcoming months. In essence, there were the same reports from the United States on Friday regarding the pound and the euro. And as we can see, they had no impact on the pair's movement. Given that the reports were so brief, this does not surprise us. The month's major events are all over, and now that the holidays have started, there is no doubt that traders are less motivated to engage in active trading.

    Technically speaking, the price is still below the moving average, and the downward movement is still present. Thus, everything in this situation makes sense. For the past three weeks, we have been anticipating a significant downward correction. It is not yet "strong," but at least it has something. Since the British economy may experience a severe recession and the Bank of England rate will not continue to rise at its current rate indefinitely, we think the pound should continue to decline against the US dollar. However, inflation is still out of control, and we have serious doubts that it will start to slow down soon at a rate comparable to that in the United States. This compels the Bank of England to keep tightening monetary policy, on the one hand. On the other hand, the third quarter saw a decline in the economy, and officials have predicted a two-year recession. Tightening monetary policy inevitably means making the recession worse. As a result, we don't think the British regulator will keep raising the rate by 0.50% every time they meet.

    The period of consolidation might start soon.

    The absence of trend movement in the overall plan is what we refer to as the consolidation period. Recall that the pair's growth over the past few months, which is a correction in and of itself, followed an approximately two-year downward trend. As a result, the correction against the correction has already started. After that, the pair may enter a long-term "swing" on the senior TF, which would indicate the absence of any new significant factors like a global tightening or loosening of monetary policy or changes in geopolitics. We won't be surprised if 2023 also has surprises because of the trend of recent years (the situation is getting worse and worse every year). The "coronavirus" is raging in China, and it is dispersing at a completely abnormal rate, according to the most recent information. One of the messages mentioned a day-long infection of 37 million people. As a result, COVID still terrorizes humanity and has not disappeared. The world will once more experience economic issues if it spills out of the Celestial Empire. Lockdowns, quarantines, and widespread infections can all begin anew. Then there are the central bank incentive plans and a new rise in inflation. Overall, it is still very early to resolve this problem.

    We are also certain that there will be geopolitical news. Many military experts believe that the coming year will be crucial in the military conflict in Ukraine. We cannot define what "decisive" means, but we can only state that neither side in this conflict intends to engage in peace talks. Therefore, in our opinion, it will only get worse and continue. Additionally, the euro and the pound are risky currencies that will happily decline if the global situation deteriorates. It still hasn't even calmed down.



    Over the previous five trading days, the GBP/USD pair has averaged 131 points of volatility. This value is "high" for the dollar/pound exchange rate. As a result, on Friday, December 23, we anticipate channel movement that is constrained by levels of 1.1899 and 1.2161. A round of upward correction will begin if the Heiken Ashi indicator reverses direction upward.

    Nearest levels of support
    S1 – 1.2024
    S2 – 1.1963
    S3 – 1.1902
    Nearest levels of resistance
    R1 – 1.2085
    R2 – 1.2146
    R3 – 1.2207

    Trading Suggestions:
    On the 4-hour timeframe, the GBP/USD pair is still trending downward. Therefore, until the Heiken Ashi indicator appears, you should maintain sell orders with targets of 1.1963 and 1.1899. When the moving average is fixed above, buy orders should be placed with targets of 1.2207 and 1.2268.

    Illustration explanations:

    Linear regression channels are used to identify the current trend. The trend is currently strong if they are both moving in the same direction.

    Moving average line (settings 20.0, smoothed): This indicator identifies the current short-term trend and the trading direction.

    Murray levels serve as the starting point for adjustments and movements.

    Based on current volatility indicators, volatility levels (red lines) represent the likely price channel in which the pair will trade the following day.

    A trend reversal in the opposite direction is imminent when the CCI indicator

    *The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

    Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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  6. #1336
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Analysis of Gold for December 27,.2022 - Potential for the further growth



    Technical analysis:

    Gold has been trading upside as I expected and there is potential for the further growth.

    Trading recommendation:

    Due to the rejection of the rising trend-line and strong upside trend in the background, I see potential for the further growth.

    Watch for the potential buying opportunities on the intraday dips with the first upside objective at the price of $1.821

    Stochastic oscillator is showing fresh upside momentum, which is strong sign that buyers are in control.

    Key support is set at the price of $1.783

    *The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

    Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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  7. #1337
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Technical Analysis of Intraday Price Movements of USD Index, Wednesday December 28, 2022



    The United States Dollar Index on the 4-hour chart seems to be moving in ranging conditions in the range of 103.42-104.90 which has also been confirmed by the movement of the Moving Average which is moving in the range of the body of the Candlestick, this is understandable given that there are not many market participants. which is still in the Christmas and New Year holiday season but based on the CCI indicator which managed to break above the -100 level and above level 0 which indicates that the condition of Buyers is still more dominant than Sellers plus there is a deviation between price movements and the CCI indicator, it seems that in In the near future, USDX will try to test a level above its current price, namely 104.75 as its first target and 104.90 as its second target, but given the low volatility if USDX falls below the 103.72 level, it is very likely that the scenario described earlier will become invalid and cancel itself.

    *The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

    Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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  8. #1338
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Technical Analysis of Intraday Price Movements of Nasdaq 100 Index, Thursday December 29 2022.



    With the appearance of the deviation between Nasdaq 100 index price movements with the indicator as well as the price movement which is below the 100 Moving Average and the appearance of the Bearish 123 pattern which is followed by a break of Ross Hook (RH), it is certain that the #NDX condition is in a bearish situation which in the near future seems to be experiencing a slight upward correction to test the Vaccum Block area level the range 10993.7-11028.6 which happens to be also within the Bearish Fair Value Gap level area if the levels in this area function as resistance quite well and as long as the upward correction does not exceed above the 11233.6 level then #NDX will continue its decline back to the 10616.1 level as the first target and level 10433.8 as the second target.

    *The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

    Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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  9. #1339
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Elliott wave analysis of EUR/USD on December 30, 2022




    EUR/USD has been locked in a sideways consolidation, but we continue to look for a slightly deeper correction towards 1.0470 to complete wave 4/ and set the stage for wave 5/ higher to 1.0927 as this will complete wave 3.

    In the longer term, we are looking for much higher levels for EUR/USD, but we will have to take the ride higher in baby steps as always as most of the time, the pair hovers within sideways consolidations and corrective counter-trends and only 1/3 of the time, it actually moves higher.

    *The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

    Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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  10. #1340
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: EUR/USD analysis for January 02, 2023 - Rejection of the intraday support



    EUR/USD has been trading downside this morning but I found rejection of the key support zone, which is sign that there is chance for the upside movement.

    Trading recommendation:

    Due to the rejection of the rising trend-line and support zone at the price of 1.0665, I see potential for the upside movement towards upside references...

    Watch for the potential buying opportunities on the intraday dips with the upside objectives at the price of 1.0710 and 1.0735

    RSI oscillator is showing oversold condition, which is good sign for the further rally...

    Key support is set at the price of 1.0665

    *The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

    Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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