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Wave Analysis by InstaForex

This is a discussion on Wave Analysis by InstaForex within the Analytics and News forums, part of the Trading Forum category; Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on March 22, 2022 Last night, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell spoke and ...

      
   
  1. #1141
    Senior Member InstaForex Gertrude's Avatar
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on March 22, 2022

    Last night, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell spoke and said that if inflation rises, the rate at the May meeting could be increased by 0.50 points. Investors rated this as a belated recognition, but still began to buy dollars (the dollar index is 0.24%), dump government bonds (yield on 5-year securities increased from 2.14% to 2.32%) and leave the stock market (Dow Jones -0.58%, S&P 500 -0.04%). The market probability of a double rate hike at the next meeting has increased to 60 percent.

    It is very likely that the euro changed its mind for the second time to storm the resistance of 1.1121 and reach the target of 1.1177, not to mention the closing of the double gap around the level of 1.1280. But we still need to be convinced of this intention.



    The Marlin Oscillator is falling in the negative zone on the H4 chart, and in order to fully confirm the price's intention to decrease, the MACD line should be overcome, near the mark of 1.0944. In this case, the first bearish target at 1.0820 will open.



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  2. #1142
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for AUD/USD on March 23, 2022

    The Australian dollar's growth from yesterday amounted to 68 points. The price overcame the target range of 0.7415/30, but the next target (0.7500) did not work out. The Marlin Oscillator is starting to turn down, and while its readings are not enough to resolve the issue with the 1.7500 level, will the price reach it or not. Returning to the area below 0.7415 opens the 0.7315 target.



    The technical situation is even more confusing on the four-hour chart. Price divergence begins to form with the Marlin Oscillator; it can persist even if the bullish target level is worked out. But there may be a price reversal with consolidation under 0.7415 from the current levels. We are waiting for the development of events.



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  3. #1143
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on March 24, 2022

    Over the past two days, that is, for Wednesday and Tuesday, the euro has formed the support of 1.0962 with the lower pronounced shadows of daily candles. And since the daily trend remained downward, the signal line of the Marlin Oscillator did not dare to go into the positive area. Overcoming the freshly baked support will be a fresh impetus to continue the decline, towards the target of 1.0820.



    The 1.0962 level coincides with the support of the MACD line on the four-hour chart. This circumstance further increases the value of this level, so we are now waiting for a confident price movement with overcoming this line.



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  4. #1144
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Technical Analysis of GBP/USD for March 25, 2022

    Technical Market Outlook
    The GBP/USD pair has been having trouble to move higher after the local high was made at the level of 1.3295 and is currently testing the lower channel line around the level of 1.3194. Any sustained violation of the level of 1.3194 will indicate a possibility of a deeper correction, so please keep an eye on this level and on the whole demand zone located between the levels of 1.3121 - 1.3110. The nearest technical resistance is seen at the level of 1.3210 and 1.3240.

    Weekly Pivot Points:
    WR3 - 1.3487
    WR2 - 1.3345
    WR1 - 1.3272
    Weekly Pivot - 1.3138
    WS1 - 1.3067
    WS2 - 1.2918
    WS3 - 1.2816

    Trading Outlook:
    If the market will break below the level of 1.3169, the up trend on the weekly time frame is terminated and the bears enforce and confirm their control over the market in the long term. The Cable is below 100 and 200 WMA already, so the bearish domination is clear. The next long term target for bears is seen at the level of 1.2751 and 1.2663. Please remember: trend is your friend.

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  5. #1145
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for GBP/USD on March 28, 2022

    The British pound could not cope with the resistance of 1.3210 on Friday, and the Marlin daily scale oscillator returned below the zero line, showing the previous exit into the positive trend zone was false (arrow). Now the task for the pound is to consolidate under the support of 1.3119 (March 22 low) and start the hike to 1.2900.



    On the H4 chart, the price went under the red balance indicator line with consolidation, and this shows the shift in the mood of speculators to short positions. The signal line of the Marlin Oscillator is developing in a downward trend - in the territory of negative values. The MACD line approached the level of 1.3119 - it strengthened it, made it more significant for the prospect of a downward movement in case the price surpasses it.



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  6. #1146
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for GBP/USD on March 29, 2022

    The British pound fell 93 points yesterday, having successfully overcome the first target level of 1.3119. The Marlin Oscillator has settled in the downward trend area. The price has chosen a direction and a target at 1.2900. Slightly lower is the second target at 1.2853, which together can be defined as a target range of 1.2853-1.2900 (November 2020 low and December 2019 low).



    The price consolidated under the level of 1.3119 and under the MACD line on the four-hour chart. The trend is downward, but at the moment there is a slight correction after yesterday's strong fall. Upon completion of the correction, we expect further decline.



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  7. #1147
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for AUD/USD on March 30, 2022

    The Australian dollar's decline, which had begun yesterday, stopped and turned into the US dollar's growth, which weakened by 0.72%. The Australian dollar managed to return above the target level of 0.7500 in one day and is now ready to rise to the next bullish target of 0.7600. The aussie's readiness is still not complete, as the Marlin Oscillator has not turned up yet. Perhaps the upward price movement will be in the form of a saw.



    On the H4 chart, the price has settled above the target level of 0.7500 and is developing above the balance indicator line. The Marlin Oscillator is close to the transition to the positive area. We are waiting for the price at the level of 0.7600.



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  8. #1148
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: ETHUSD, Bullish Pressure | 31st March 2022

    On the H4, with price moving above the Ichimoku indicator, we have a bias that price will rise to our 1st resistance at 3589 in line with the horizontal pullback resistance and 127.2% Fibonacci extension from our 1st support at 3240 in line with the horizontal pullback support and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Alternatively, price may break 1st support structure and head for 2nd support at 3034 in line with the horizontal pullback support and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.

    Trading Recommendation
    Entry: 3240
    Reason for Entry:
    Horizontal pullback support and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement
    Take Profit: 3589
    Reason for Take Profit:Horizontal pullback resistance and 127.2% Fibonacci extension
    Stop Loss: 3034
    Reason for Stop Loss:Horizontal pullback support and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement

    *The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

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  9. #1149
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for USD/JPY on April 1, 2022

    So, yesterday's daily candle of the USD/JPY pair formed a small body with medium-length shadows, and this morning there is an increased growth of the pair. Taking into account the large black candle of the environment, we see the formation of a reversal combination. Our scenario involves the formation of a triangle here. If the triangle is horizontal, then this will be a sign of further price growth, if the triangle is formed upwards, and for this it has a target level of 125.85, then this will be a reversal pattern in the medium and long-term decline. At the moment, we are waiting for growth to the area of the upper hypothetical line of the triangle at 124.60.

    On the four-hour chart, the price is trying to go above the balance and MACD indicator lines, the price has formed a convergence with the oscillator. The exit of the price above the MACD line (122.80), most likely, will coincide with the transition of Marlin to the positive area and this will be a signal for the continuation of the price growth.

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  10. #1150
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: GBPUSD Bullish Bounce | 4th Apr 2022



    On the H4, prices are abiding by an ascending trendline support. We see the potential for a dip from our 1st resistance 1.31152 at 23.6% Fibonacci retracement towards our ascending trendline support. Breaking our ascending trendline support will find prices dipping towards our 1st support at 1.30558 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Our bearish bias is further supported by prices trading below our Ichimoku cloud resistance. Alternatively, prices may climb towards our 2nd resistance at 1.31622 in line with our graphical swing high.

    Trading Recommendation
    Entry: 1.31152
    Reason for Entry:
    23.6% Fibonacci retracement
    Take Profit: 1.30558
    Reason for Take Profit:61.8% FIbonacci retracement
    Stop Loss: 1.31622
    Reason for Stop Loss:
    Graphical swing high

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