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In the week since that last article, volatility in GBP/JPY has tamed a bit as a ~200-pip range has developed. This range can be seen as an upward-sloping channel that has a slightly bullish bias; with slightly higher-highs and slightly higher-lows. This is somewhat indicative of a market without significant conviction; and as we discussed last week this is likely resultant from the fact that both currencies are being or have been driven weaker by extremely dovish monetary policy. In the U.K., the ...
Marina Bay Sands, Singapore
Evening in Southen France
The Euro may be preparing to turn lower against the British Pound as the appearance of a Shooting Star candlestick hints at ebbing upside momentum. A reversal could ultimately lead to the formation of a double top below the 0.88 figure. Near-term supportis in the 0.8582-0.8607 area (trend line, 23.6% Fibonacci expansion), with a break below that on a daily closing basis exposing the 14.6% level at 0.8503. Alternatively, a push above the ...
“The gap to open trading post-Brexit is thus far of the breakaway variety. The current level (slope line near 1.2800) and/or 1.2500 could inspire a ‘squeeze’ as part of consolidation before another leg lower. 1.2500 relates the 2009-2014 range (127.2% of that range from the 2014 high) and decline from 2007 (decline from 2014 = .618% of 2007-2008 decline).” 1.2800 is still the low and the outside week (last week) suggests that Cable is ...
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