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About TechnoMeter

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Trading blogs || My blog

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Recent Entries

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Possible Bearish

by TechnoMeter on Yesterday at 02:05 PM
The Euro is hovering near the middle of choppy range confining price action against the US Dollar for over four months, with technical positioning offering mixed signals on where prices may go from here.



The daily chart is inconclusive. A recovery above the 1.1514-58 zone bisecting the trading range might have been expected to open the door for upside follow-through, but confidence in such an outcome is degraded after a downside break

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Gold: No Clear Direction

by TechnoMeter on 10-05-2018 at 07:33 AM
Spot Gold: Retail trader data shows 83.7% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 5.15 to 1. The number of traders net-long is 5.8% higher than yesterday and 6.0% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 15.7% lower than yesterday and 19.6% higher from last week.



We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-long suggests Spot Gold prices may continue

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USD/JPY Breaks to 11-Month Highs

by TechnoMeter on 10-02-2018 at 06:46 AM
USDJPY: Retail trader data shows 34.9% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 1.87 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-short since Sep 13 when USDJPY traded near 111.628; price has moved 2.1% higher since then. The number of traders net-long is 5.0% higher than yesterday and 10.3% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 9.7% higher than yesterday and 32.5% higher from last week.



We

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Silver headed for bear-flag breakdown; Gold breaks trading range

by TechnoMeter on 09-29-2018 at 04:51 AM
Gold finally breaks tight trading range

Gold was heading for its smallest monthly trading range since July 1996 at only 2.07% from low to high, but yesterday’s move edged gold out of the range. Nevertheless, it’s still been an unusually tight set of trading conditions, and with gold pushing down out of the range we should be in for vol expansion.



It’s possible this is a fake-out jab lower before reversing higher, but we’ll

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USD/JPY Technical Analysis: breaking for long-term bullish

by TechnoMeter on 09-26-2018 at 09:00 AM
A bullish bias remains after USD/JPY broke above a three-year trendline and continues to trade strongly in a supportive market. Supportive forces include Japanese equities via the Nikkei 225 that is testing 2018 highs (just like USD/JPY,) alongside the highly correlated (40-day rolling at +0.8921) US Treasury 2yr yield that has risen from 2.58 in mid-August when USDJPY traded at 109.97 to 2.839 today, which is a rise of 25.4bps or 9.8% as the Fed is expected to be more hawkish on an overheating

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