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For starters, we may very well see a bounce and retest of the neckline around the 11670-threshold. Retesting the ‘neckline’ is a fairly common occurrence and can offer traders a spot to establish (or add to) short positions. We may even see a stronger bounce develop back above resistance, but is likely to prove short-lived if the topping formation is to exert downward pressure. At this time, it will require a move above the trend-line running down off the September high and overtaking of Thursday’s ...
AUDUSD: Retail trader data shows 53.7% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 1.16 to 1. The number of traders net-long is 4.7% lower than yesterday and 4.7% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 12.0% lower than yesterday and 13.0% lower from last week. We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-long suggests AUDUSD prices may continue to fall. ...
NZD/USD has fallen hard in the past five trading days down nearly 400 pips. A strong move of this nature suggests NZD/USD may be in an impulsive wave lower. The move lower appears incomplete and the next cluster of wave relationships shows up near .65-.66. The Elliott Wave model we are following suggests we are in a wave (iii) lower. Third waves tend to be the longest and strongest of the Elliott Wave sequence. Therefore, it should ...
The price of WTI Crude Oil has mounted a strong recovery after testing the polarity point on the chart between $49/51 per barrel. A polarity point is where prior resistance may act as future support. Oil traders should look to see if the price can continue to find support near the $50/bbl figure. Since summer, the dominant trend bias favors price appreciation. From current pricing, a hold of a daily close above the $50.18 figure (Oct. 12 ...
The Euro may be readying to resume the down trend started in late August against the British Pound after a corrective upswing stalled ahead of the 0.90 figure. A pair of bearish candlestick patterns has emerged and negative RSI divergence bolsters the case for a downside scenario. Near-term support is at 0.8891 (14.6% Fibonacci expansion, former trend line resistance), with a daily close below that opening the door for a retest of the ...
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