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NZD/USD has fallen hard in the past five trading days down nearly 400 pips. A strong move of this nature suggests NZD/USD may be in an impulsive wave lower. The move lower appears incomplete and the next cluster of wave relationships shows up near .65-.66. The Elliott Wave model we are following suggests we are in a wave (iii) lower. Third waves tend to be the longest and strongest of the Elliott Wave sequence. Therefore, it should ...
The price of WTI Crude Oil has mounted a strong recovery after testing the polarity point on the chart between $49/51 per barrel. A polarity point is where prior resistance may act as future support. Oil traders should look to see if the price can continue to find support near the $50/bbl figure. Since summer, the dominant trend bias favors price appreciation. From current pricing, a hold of a daily close above the $50.18 figure (Oct. 12 ...
The Euro may be readying to resume the down trend started in late August against the British Pound after a corrective upswing stalled ahead of the 0.90 figure. A pair of bearish candlestick patterns has emerged and negative RSI divergence bolsters the case for a downside scenario. Near-term support is at 0.8891 (14.6% Fibonacci expansion, former trend line resistance), with a daily close below that opening the door for a retest of the ...
US 500: Retail trader data shows 16.1% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 5.22 to 1. The number of traders net-long is 0.3% lower than yesterday and 10.5% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 2.9% lower than yesterday and 0.5% lower from last week. We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests US 500 prices may continue to rise. ...
After a topside breakout, EUR/JPY traded up to another new high at 134.41. This is a key Fibonacci level, as 134.41 is the 61.8% retracement of the 2014-2016 major move in the pair, and this is helping to set near-term resistance. That resistance came into play on Friday morning, and after grinding around this level for a few hours, sellers took over and drove prices lower. And that retracement continued with aggression until another support ...
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