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The euro concluded the first week of the year effectively where it started, with see-saw price action dominating trade. The indecision comes as no surprise given where it is currently trading. Last year’s high arriving around the 2012 low led to a fairly lengthy correction. EUR/USD will need to break above 12092 to further along its move higher. The channel dating back to mid-December keeps the near-term bullish trend structure intact. ...
The first target on a failed range breakout was the 12/18 gap (which has been filled) with the possibility then of seeing a move towards the low-end of the November/December range in the vicinity of 12940/810. In the event the DAX can hold up here sooner it could make its way back higher, but the fact the range breakout was negated so quickly suggests we may see more weakness first. It’s thin holiday-trading conditions in financial markets, ...
Crude oil prices have quietly rallied while the Bitcoin moves steal the headlines. It appears as though a minor degree triangle pattern has ended as crude oil now presses recent highs. If our Elliott Wave count is correct, this move higher is a terminal wave that once it exhausts, could be retraced early in the new year. It appears crude oil prices are thrusting higher out of a triangle pattern in ...
The New Zealand Dollar is struggling to sustain upward momentum having recovered to the highest level in two months against its US counterpart. A choppy range has been carved out below trend-defining resistance, hinting that recent gains might be corrective within a still-valid downward trend. From here, a daily close above trend line resistance in the 0.7024-43 area opens the door for a challenge of the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 0.7078. ...
US 500: Retail trader data shows 26.2% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 2.81 to 1. The number of traders net-long is 7.7% lower than yesterday and 10.9% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 2.1% higher than yesterday and 8.0% higher from last week. We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests US 500 prices may continue to ...
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