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US 500: Retail trader data shows 16.1% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 5.22 to 1. The number of traders net-long is 0.3% lower than yesterday and 10.5% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 2.9% lower than yesterday and 0.5% lower from last week. We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests US 500 prices may continue to rise. ...
After a topside breakout, EUR/JPY traded up to another new high at 134.41. This is a key Fibonacci level, as 134.41 is the 61.8% retracement of the 2014-2016 major move in the pair, and this is helping to set near-term resistance. That resistance came into play on Friday morning, and after grinding around this level for a few hours, sellers took over and drove prices lower. And that retracement continued with aggression until another support ...
Breakout Systems (indicators and the EA) from premium section -
Though GBP/USD sliced right through 1.3450 like a hot knife cutting through butter, the bigger wave picture is still intact. Despite the Bank of England and market participants believing a rate hike is coming, the technical picture for GBP/USD is not as rosy. We believe Cable is in a terminal wave at three different degrees of trend. This suggests a reversal may be looming overhead. The Elliott Wave model we are following points our trend ...
The key level to watch here is the red upward sloping trend line. So long as prices remain above this trend line, then we can maintain a bullish bias. The red trend line runs near $48 today. If crude oil prices move below this red trend line, then it acts like a red warning signal on the dashboard. There are still bullish patterns available like a diagonal. However, the odds of other bearish patterns increases diluting the opportunity at a good risk to reward ratio. Bottom line, a break of the red ...