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The Australian Dollar seems to be struggling to pick a direction to choose from against its US counterpart as of late. In the meantime, well-established support and resistance levels have formed and the gap between the two is slowly shrinking. These are the 76.4% Fibonacci retracement at 0.7651 and the descending line from March 16th respectively. Before AUD/USD got to where it is now, the pair has essentially been in a downtrend since ...
Spot Gold: Retail trader data shows 69.7% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 2.3 to 1. The number of traders net-long is 15.4% higher than yesterday and 0.3% higher from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 28.2% lower than yesterday and 10.0% lower from last week. We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-long suggests Spot Gold prices may continue ...
The euro continues to flip-flop from one week to the next; it’s strong, it’s weak, it’s strong, and so on. What does this mean? Immediately, it means very little as EUR/USD could still be in a topping process around the 2008 trend-line or building a bull-flag setting it up for an eventual continuation of the rally starting last year. Either way, we need to wait for confirmation before committing ourselves too strongly. The topping scenario ...
Crude Oil Inventory Data Shows Rising Output and Inventories Recently, data from the EIA showed a rise in US stockpiles after excessive declines through H2 2017. Typically, a rise in stockpiles wouldn’t offer too much concern except that US production rose to a record high. Earlier this week, the EIA Drilling Productivity Report highlighted US shale production as likely to increase further in April to a record high 6.95mm bpd. This data will act as a cloud preventing further bullishness ...
USD/JPY has now fallen to levels not seen since late 2016 before Dollar’s ‘Trump trade’ bounce, which came as markets got used to the shock election of the current US President. Moreover, there are few obvious signs that a turnaround is in sight. The pair is certainly lower now that it was then, but it seems to be making a moderate attempt to base around the 105.40 area which has held for the past four days or so. As you can see from the ...
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