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The Australian Dollar has tepidly recovered to challenge trend resistance guiding it lower against its US counterpart since late January. That barrier is now in the 0.7136-0.7210 area. A daily close above that would neutralize the near-term bearish bias and initially expose the September's swing highs in the 0.7304-15 zone. Alternatively, a turn back below the October 8 low at 0.7041 sees the next significant barrier at 0.6900, the September ...
The Euro is hovering near the middle of choppy range confining price action against the US Dollar for over four months, with technical positioning offering mixed signals on where prices may go from here. The daily chart is inconclusive. A recovery above the 1.1514-58 zone bisecting the trading range might have been expected to open the door for upside follow-through, but confidence in such an outcome is degraded after a downside break ...
Spot Gold: Retail trader data shows 83.7% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 5.15 to 1. The number of traders net-long is 5.8% higher than yesterday and 6.0% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 15.7% lower than yesterday and 19.6% higher from last week. We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-long suggests Spot Gold prices may continue ...
USDJPY: Retail trader data shows 34.9% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 1.87 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-short since Sep 13 when USDJPY traded near 111.628; price has moved 2.1% higher since then. The number of traders net-long is 5.0% higher than yesterday and 10.3% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 9.7% higher than yesterday and 32.5% higher from last week. We ...
Gold finally breaks tight trading range Gold was heading for its smallest monthly trading range since July 1996 at only 2.07% from low to high, but yesterday’s move edged gold out of the range. Nevertheless, it’s still been an unusually tight set of trading conditions, and with gold pushing down out of the range we should be in for vol expansion. It’s possible this is a fake-out jab lower before reversing higher, but we’ll ...
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