With all the "talk" of diverging paths of monetary policy... one could be forgiven, if glancing at the chart above, for thinking the inevitable endgame of Keynesianism is very much at hand as first The BoJ, then The Fed, then Europe all enter ZIRP... and now NIRP... the source
- U.S. Durable Goods Orders to Contract for Third Straight Month. - Non-Defense Capital Goods Orders ex Aircrafts to Expand for Fifth Time in 2014. Trading the News: U.S. Durable Goods Orders Another 0.6% contract in orders for U.S. Durable Goods may generate a more meaningful rebound in EUR/USD as it dampens the growth and inflation outlook for the world’s largest economy. What’s Expected: ...
- U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) to Slow for Third Consecutive Month. - Core Rate of Inflation to Hold at Annualized 1.7% for Second Month. Trading the News: U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) A further slowdown in the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) may spark a bearish dollar reaction (bullish EUR/USD) as the majority of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) remain in no rush to normalize monetary policy. What’s Expected: ...
NZD/USD Holds September Low Ahead of China PMI’s, Fed Doves Fundamental Forecast for NZDUSD: Neutral Price & Time: NZD/JPY Bear Pattern Hangs in the Balance New Zealand Dollar Shows Signs of Turnaround The medium-term outlook for the NZD/USD remains bearish as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) sticks to a neutral policy stance and retains the verbal intervention on the New Zealand dollar, but the pair may face ...
- Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Widely Expected to Deliver Another $10B Taper - Will There Be a Larger Dissent as the Fed Looks to End QE in October? Trading the News: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Interest Rate Decision The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) interest rate decision may spur a bearish reaction in the dollar (bullish EUR/USD) if the central bank remains reluctant to move away from the zero-interest rate policy (ZIRP). What’s Expected: ...