Crude Oil: 34.00/33.90 is the next target area
"A mysterious even happened as markets opened in 2016. Oil rose. Nevertheless, before lunch would ring in London on January 4, the first trading day of 2016 Crude fell.""There was a confluence of resistance at the $38/bb zone that saw Crude post a bearish Shooting Star formation. However, the most notable part of that zone of resistance is that the zone includes the August 24 closing low. When past support acts as new resistance that can be a prelude ...
US Dollar: Greenback Looks in Trouble Heading into New Year The US Federal Reserve has finally raised interest rates, and this in itself should support the US Dollar in 2016. Yet a key factor that may stand in the way of further Dollar gains is straightforward: expectations. The Fed expects it will raise rates four times in 2016, but markets predict only half of that. Whether or not the USD finishes higher will depend on this key theme. ...
Could oil prices collapse to $20? "The short answer is ‘yes.’ We believe that crude oil prices could fall further unless global oil production is reduced. As shown in Table 2, we estimate that the global oil market could be oversupplied by roughly 920,000 bpd in 2016. The key assumptions are year-over-year growth in global demand of 1.2 million bpd, Saudi Arabia, Iraq and Libya hold production ...
"The pressure in Oil seems to be unrelenting. On Friday, the market got wind of the Baker Hughes rig count that jumped by 17 (meaning more production in an oversupplied market), and prices dropped yet again. The trend is definitively lower, but traders without exposure in the market may want to keep an eye on a few signs that a short-term bottom could be forming, at least for US Oil. While we often discuss the US benchmark for Oil, West Texas Intermediate ...
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