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  1. Weekly Outlook: 2015, September 06 - 13 - Why volatility is bad news for investment banks

    by , 09-06-2015 at 08:25 AM
    Why volatility is bad news for investment banks

    Recent market volatility isn’t good news for investment banks, JPMorgan’s Kian Abouhossein and team argued, and leaves Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley near the bottom of their pecking order. They explain:

    "Although volatility is good for investment banks, recent market turmoil has led to a spike in market volatility (avg VIX +100% since 15 Aug) which poses some residual short positioning risks such as correlation. Generally ...
  2. What Happened with the Oil Price Collapse? Prices will be unlikely to hold if oil wells increase their production

    by , 07-09-2015 at 09:50 PM
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    Morgan Stanley

    Falling prices have impacted heavily on investments in the commodities markets. Many companies are now steering well clear of commodities on the whole. More and more of the big companies are now staying away from commodities trading, but this has paved the way for companies like Castleton Commodities International to become one of the major players in the industry. Of equal importance is the fact that analytical ...
  3. Non-Farm Employment Change forecast from Goldman Sachs, Barclays, Deutsche Bank, RBS

    by , 06-05-2015 at 08:48 AM
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    Goldman Sachs:
    • The employment components of various manufacturing surveys have been weak (Dallas Fed manufacturing survey, Chicago PMI & the ISM services report)
    • Mining sector job losses may persist and continue to be a drag
    • GS say that the consensus forecast has overestimated jobs growth in May for the last few years, by 56,000 on average over the previous 5 years
    • Warm weather likely inflated the jobs number in April, but this may have
    ...
  4. Goldman Sachs: millions in a bitcoin business - 'We have ideas of how we can make money in the future'

    by , 05-14-2015 at 06:26 AM
    The battle to control how people pay for stuff is heating up and Goldman Sachs wants a piece of the action.

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    In its first publicly announced bitcoin-related investment, Goldman said on April 30 that it co-led a $50 million financing round for Circle, a bitcoin startup led by serial tech entrepreneur Jeremy Allaire. The startup offers a new digital wallet meant for everyday consumers. China’s IDG Capital Partners was the other lead investor ...
  5. The FOMC according to Goldman Sachs: GS targets EUR/USD at 1.00 in 6-months and USD/JPY at 125 over the same end of period

    by , 05-06-2015 at 04:13 PM
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    1- In the 3 weeks leading up to the last FOMC meeting, the Dollar went parabolic, appreciating almost 5% versus the majors. Dollar strength was especially noticeable for EUR/$. It is well understood that the FOMC does not target the Dollar, merely taking the greenback as an input into its forecasts. But the parabolic rise in the USD into the meeting is certain to have been noticed, not least since the last vestige of forward guidance (the "patient" ...
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