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Wave Analysis by InstaForex

This is a discussion on Wave Analysis by InstaForex within the Analytics and News forums, part of the Trading Forum category; Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on February 2, 2021 EUR/USD Yesterday, the euro finally decided to overcome the ...

      
   
  1. #851
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on February 2, 2021

    EUR/USD
    Yesterday, the euro finally decided to overcome the support of the MACD indicator line. The euro fell by 75 points. Now the 1.1980 target is open. The 1.1870-1.1915 range, which is the second target, is just below it. A weak risk of such a decline is seen in the initial stage when forming a price convergence with the Marlin oscillator. But this is still an alternative to today's scenario.



    The situation is completely decreasing on the four-hour chart; the price is below the balance and MACD indicator lines, while the Marlin oscillator is in the zone of negative values, there is no convergence according to Marlin. Since the price surpassed yesterday's low (1.2056), we are waiting for it to move to the first target of 1.1980.



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  2. #852
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on February 3, 2021

    EUR/USD
    Yesterday, the euro settled below the MACD indicator line on the daily chart. This suggests that now the road to a medium-term decline with the 1.1760 target and, probably, below, in the target range of 1.1550/75 is open. The goals are still to be specified.



    But at the moment there is a circumstance that can disrupt the plan to pull down the price to the nearest targets: 1.1980 and 1.1915. This is a sign of the price convergence with the Marlin oscillator. If this convergence is completed and it turns out to be strong, the price will be able to return to the area above the MACD line and then a new downward momentum will be carried over for several more days. In the meantime, the correction is limited by the resistance of the MACD line at 1.2083.



    There are no clear reversal signs on the 4-hour chart. The Marlin oscillator is growing in a downward trend zone. The price and the oscillator are growing within a moderate correction. The main scenario - the imminent end of the correction and the price falling to the first target of 1.1980 and to the second target at 1.1915 has higher chances, about 70%.

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  3. #853
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Technical Analysis of GBP/USD for February 4, 2021



    Technical Market Outlook:
    The bearish pressure on GBP/USD has increased and the market has broke below the technical support located at the level of 1.3608. This level will now act as an intraday technical resistance. The local low was made at the level of 1.3586, so the next target for them is the intraday technical support located at the level of 1.3519. The market is coming off the overbought conditions and the momentum is weak and negative, pointing down. The key mid - term technical support is seen at the level of 1.3428, but please pay attention to any breakout below the trend line support around the level of 1.3500 first. This might be the first indication of a potential move lower.

    Weekly Pivot Points:
    WR3 - 1.4011
    WR2 - 1.3877
    WR1 - 1.3788
    Weekly Pivot - 1.3646
    WS1 - 1.3564
    WS2 - 1.3416
    WS3 - 1.3342

    Trading Recommendations:
    The GBP/USD pair keeps developing the up trend and the trigger for this trend was the breakout above the level or 1.3518 on the weekly time frame chart. The recent top was made at the level of 1.3744 and this was the higher close in over two years. All the local corrections should be used to open a buy orders as long as the level of 1.2674 is not broken. The long-term target for bulls is seen at the level of 1.4370.

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  4. #854
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecasts for GBP/USD on February 5, 2021

    GBP/USD
    The Bank of England kept its monetary policy at yesterday's meeting, but announced that it does not consider negative rates as a mandatory instrument and will not introduce them without warning at least six months in advance. The verbal attack was successful, the pound jumped 130 points from the day's low, closing the day by 27 points. This morning, inertial growth continues, but it is unlikely to be significant, as in the evening US employment data and forecasts for them are optimistic: the growth of jobs in the non-agricultural sector is expected to 50,000 after December - 140,000. The Marlin oscillator continues to move sideways on the daily chart. The task is the same - to gain a foothold below the 1.3648 level, in order to calmly go to 1.3550 and 1.3500.



    The price went above the MACD line on the four-hour chart this morning, while Marlin is in the growth zone. The price may rise to the local high of 1.3710 before the release of US statistics.



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  5. #855
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for AUD/USD on February 8, 2021

    AUD / USD
    The Australian dollar rose by 77 points last Friday, breaking the level of 0.7641. Now, you should wait for the price to go back under this level so that you can start selling again. Today, the important macroeconomic data are not released, and the weakened indicators on the trade balance in Germany are expected tomorrow, which can move European currencies going down even more and along with them the "Australian" will weaken.



    As we can see on the daily chart, the signal line of the Marlin oscillator has almost reached the upper limit of its own descending channel, and here the indicator may linger.



    Based on the four-hour chart, the price is fixed above the indicator lines of the balance and the Kruzenshtern line. The Marlin is at the top but it is turning slightly. It is quite possible that the AUD/USD pair will have enough potential to stay here for a day.

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  6. #856
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for AUD/USD on February 9, 2021

    AUD / USD
    On the back of yesterday's pronounced increase in risk appetites given by the large-scale growth of cryptocurrencies - the value of this market for the day increased by 143 billion dollars, which led by bitcoin with a trading volume of 120 billion dollars, and the total capitalization of this market yesterday was 1.316 trillion dollars. Dollars, increased to 1.363 trillion, which strongly affected the market of real national currencies and stock markets: the Australian dollar rose by 26 points, the S & P500 added 0.74%.



    As we can see on the daily chart, the signal line of the Marlin oscillator has left the descending channel up and is currently preparing to enter the zone of positive values. The price itself went to the target range of 0.7765 / 83 (defined by the peaks of January 21 and 13), after which it can go to storm the January high of January 6, the target of which is slightly higher - 0.7830.



    Based on a four-hour scale, the situation is completely growing: the price rises above the indicator lines, the Marlin oscillator rises without signs of a reversal. So, the nearest target of the Australian dollar is 0.7765/83.

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  7. #857
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for AUD/USD on February 10, 2021

    AUD / USD
    Yesterday, the Australian dollar rose by 36 points. There is still much time left to go to work out the target range of 0.7765 / 83. Thus, it is already becoming much more difficult for the "Australian". The Marlin oscillator outlines a reversal from the border with the territory of growth. The price can work out the target range with a declining oscillator, but the growth should slow down, respectively, the goal will be reached only tomorrow.



    Based on the four-hour chart, the Marlin is not pronounced but it is only discharged perhaps before the further growth. But be that as it may, the time for purchases is not suitable, it is only possible to hold previously opened positions.



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  8. #858
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    NEW ZEALAND ELECTRONIC CARD TRANSACTIONS SLIP 0.4% IN JANUARY



    The total value of electronic card transactions in New Zealand was down a seasonally adjusted 0.4 percent on month or NZ$24 million in January, Statistics New Zealand said on Thursday - following the 19.2 percent spike in December.

    Spending in the core retail industries slipped 0.7 percent on month or NZ$39 million.

    On a yearly basis, electronic retail card spending was up 1.9 percent - slowing from 3.5 percent in the previous month.

    By industry, the movements were: durables, up NZ$34 million (2.1 percent); motor vehicles (excluding fuel), up NZ$3 million (1.7 percent); fuel, down NZ$1 million (0.3 percent); apparel, down NZ$7 million (2.0 percent); and consumables, down NZ$31 million (1.3 percent).

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  9. #859
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for USD/JPY on February 11, 2021

    USD/JPY
    The yen has been lingering suspiciously long at 104.62, forming a new consolidation on it. Such consolidation indicates the intention of the market to continue the decline, in this case, the target is to support the embedded line of the price channel in the area of 104.02. The signal for such a breakthrough will be the transition of the price under yesterday's low of 104.42.



    If the price still intends to continue to grow, then it must do it today, overcoming the top of yesterday's 104.85. The Marlin oscillator on the four-hour chat is turning up, this sign preserves the probability of price growth.



    But before reaching the main target of 105.33, the price will need to overcome two previous levels: the already specified 104.85 and 105.05 along the MACD line on H4. It is the MACD line that is now of the greatest importance; if the price cannot overcome it, then a trend reversal will occur with the intention of working out 104.02.

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  10. #860
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Cryptocurrency for everyone: the oldest bank of US BNY Mellon will conduct operations with digital assets

    The cryptocurrency market, after a slight decline, began to strengthen its position again and grow in price. The euphoria after the news from Elon Musk has already faded, but bitcoin continues to grow and on February 11 sets a new historical high, rising by 4% over the past day. The cost of the main cryptocurrency reached the mark of $48.4 thousand. The reason for this growth was the news about the launch of operations with the Bank of New York Mellon and Mastercard cryptocurrencies.

    Even though large investment companies in America have already shown interest in cryptocurrency, the US Securities Commission quite categorically considers applications for the ability to conduct operations with digital money. Everyone thought that Visa and Tesla would launch the necessary wave of interest, but few could have predicted that the largest and oldest US bank would start working with cryptocurrency. The financial giant is already developing the necessary software for working with cryptocurrencies, which will be available this year.



    Against the background of this news, the value of bitcoin soared by 4%, which indirectly affected other coins. The cryptocurrency market is steadily growing in price, with small drawdowns, for the second week in a row. Large investors are showing increasing interest in bitcoin, which will become a flagship in the assimilation of the crypto market and global financial institutions. Given that these announcements are of a long-term nature, in the near future we should expect new historical highs in prices for other cryptocurrencies.

    The interest of retail and large investors, as well as the development of software for the introduction of crypto coins in global financial institutions, makes the interest in the crypto market more conscious and not spontaneous. In turn, this affects the dynamics of rising and falling prices, price correction and the flow of investment. Together, all these factors can affect the high volatility of the cryptocurrency, which will be the main step in the introduction of these assets in financial transactions at the household level.

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