The Euro may be preparing to turn lower against the British Pound as the appearance of a Shooting Star candlestick hints at ebbing upside momentum. A reversal could ultimately lead to the formation of a double top below the 0.88 figure. Near-term supportis in the 0.8582-0.8607 area (trend line, 23.6% Fibonacci expansion), with a break below that on a daily closing basis exposing the 14.6% level at 0.8503. Alternatively, a push above the ...
“The gap to open trading post-Brexit is thus far of the breakaway variety. The current level (slope line near 1.2800) and/or 1.2500 could inspire a ‘squeeze’ as part of consolidation before another leg lower. 1.2500 relates the 2009-2014 range (127.2% of that range from the 2014 high) and decline from 2007 (decline from 2014 = .618% of 2007-2008 decline).” 1.2800 is still the low and the outside week (last week) suggests that Cable is ...
The Australian Dollar is testing familiar resistance above the 0.76 threshold against its US counterpart after prices found support above the 0.74 figure. The pair has been capped here since late June, with a sustained upward push this time around threatening April’s swing top. A daily close above the 50% Fibonacci expansion at 0.7649 clears the way for a challenge of the 61.8% level at 0.7768, a barrier reinforced by the April 21 high ...
Since the day after the Brexit vote, EUR/USD has been trading in a fairly tight trading range on low volume. In fact, the highest high to the lowest low for the past 20 trading days is the tightest range seen in EUR/USD since August 2014. Beginning June 24 to today, the highest high is 1.1185 and the lowest low price is 1.0951. Therefore, if price pushes down to 1.0900-1.0951, we could see some volatility kick up as traders jockey for bullish support versus a bearish break. ...
Silver still has a fully-loaded boat of large silver traders long in the futures market (record long), of which their net position may have been reduced this week, but we won’t likely find that out in today’s COT report given it is for the week ending on Tuesday. The real meaty move lower came on Wednesday. At any rate, crowded trades are not where we want to be, but if price action suggests the crowd is right, though, then they are, at least until they aren’t. So far, broadly speaking they have ...
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