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  1. Trading the News: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Interest Rate Decision

    by , 12-16-2015 at 05:26 PM
    - Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Widely Expected to Remove Zero-Interest Rate Policy (ZIRP).
    - Will There Be a Unanimous Vote to Implement Higher Borrowing-Costs?

    Trading the News: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Interest Rate Decision

    Based on Fed Funds Futures, market participants are pricing a 76% probability for a rate-hike a the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) December 16 interest rate decision, and the fresh updates coming out of the central ...
  2. The Federal Reserve Wouldn't Be Crazy To Delay A Rate Hike Into 2016

    by , 12-16-2015 at 11:57 AM
    Ben Bernanke waited for certainty before making changes to monetary policy. Under Bernanke, the Fed took far longer than expected to taper its third round of bond buying. Yellen and members of the FOMC, although they would surely send markets scrambling, might not be entirely crazy to ask for more time before raising rates.

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    Two justifications for raising rates are steady jobs gains over the course of 2015, which have brought the unemployment ...
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  3. Weekly Trading Forecast: Dollar Solidifies Its Dominance, Surges to 12-Year Highs

    by , 11-09-2015 at 12:28 PM
    US Dollar Forecast – US Dollar Breaks a 12-Year High but is Momentum A Guarantee?
    Eight months of congestion have been brought to a dramatic end this past week as the US Dollar mounted an impressive rally in the aftermath of the October labor report.

    British Pound Forecast – GBP/USD 2015 Rebound to Unravel Further as BoE Lags Behind Fed

    GBP/USD stands at risk of extended the decline from the beginning of the month should the key developments coming out of the U.K./U.S. ...
  4. Goldman Sachs: No Rate Hike Until Mid-2016

    by , 09-21-2015 at 07:32 PM
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    Q: Is October on the table?

    A: Not really. We believe that Chair Yellen’s baseline since the June meeting has been a December liftoff, and it would be very unnatural for her to pull forward given the information received in the meantime. Besides, there is only one round of monthly economic data on the calendar before then. Last but not least, the logistics are daunting. There will not be a fresh SEP, and the committee would need to announce ...
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  5. Goldman Sachs about Next Week's FOMC: 'the first hike is not likely to come until December'

    by , 09-12-2015 at 05:20 PM
    Goldman Sachs made some forecast concerning USD related to the FOMC meeting which will be held next week on Thursday:
    1. "With an all-important FOMC meeting coming up next week, focus on the USD factor may increase once again. That has not typically been helpful for EM FX in recent years. But given our US Economics team’s view that the first hike is not likely to come until December and given the very sharp sell-off in EM FX in recent days, some stabilisation is certainly possible in
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