Trading the News: U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) A 180K expansion in U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) paired a pickup in household earnings may trigger a near-term pullback in EUR/USD as it puts pressure on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to further normalize monetary policy sooner rather than later. Why Is This Event Important: With the U.S. economy approaching full-employment, signs of higher wage growth ...
EUR/USD was looking good during the last full week of August and remained range-bound. What’s next? The inflation figures stand out as we turn the page into September. Monetary data: Monday, 8:00. The European Central Bank measures the amount of money in circulation (M3 Money Supply) and private loans. The ECB’s expansionary policies pushed the volume of loans back to growth after a period of declines.German GfK Consumer Climate: ...
EUR/USD was pressured and slipped lower, but did not go far. Will it stay in range?. The upcoming week features Pthe PMIs, key German surveys and Draghi’s highly anticipated speech in Jackson Hole. German ZEW Economic Sentiment: Tuesday, 9:00. The all-European measure stood at 35.6 in July.Flash PMIs: Wednesday, 7:00 for France, 7:30 for Germany and 8:00 for the euro-zone.Consumer Confidence: Wednesday, 14:00. A small increase ...
EUR/USD captured headlines today as it printed a fresh 2.5 year high on the heels of Yellen cautiously looking at inflation. We have been bullish EUR/USD since May 22 targeting a retest of the 1.16 highs. Now that we have arrived, what’s next? Is this new 30 month high a fresh breakout or a fake out to draw the bulls in? The model we are following shows the shorter term trend may be nearing the end of this upward trend. Multiple models are pointing to a sell off towards 1.1250-1.1400. From there, ...
EUR/USD took another step forward, but could not hold onto the highs. What’s next? The big event on the agenda is undoubtedly the ECB meeting. Here is an outlook for the highlights of this week. Final CPI: Tuesday, 9:00. According to the initial figures, the consumer price index rose by 1.3% y/y in June and core CPI advanced by 1.1%. Both figures were better than expected and both will likely be confirmed in the final read, even though ...
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