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NZD Technical Analysis

This is a discussion on NZD Technical Analysis within the Forex Trading forums, part of the Trading Forum category; NZDUSD is expected to be the most volatile currency. Ahead of the NZ inflation report, overnight implied vols have jumped ...

          
   
  1. #81
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    New Zealand Dollar Expected to be Most Volatile

    NZD Technical Analysis-nzdusd-h4-alpari-international.png


    NZDUSD is expected to be the most volatile currency. Ahead of the NZ inflation report, overnight implied vols have jumped by 4.9 vols to 12.25, which is the highest since the June RBNZ rate decision. This implies that NZDUSD ATM break-evens = 34pips(meaning that option traders need to see a move of at least 34pips in either direction in order to realise gains). Interestingly, risk reversals have flipped to positive at 0.1 (albeit relatively neutral), showing that demand is rising for topside protection in the short run.

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  2. #82
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    NZD/USD Technical Analysis: Breakdown

    A break of counter-trend support guiding the New Zealand Dollar higher since mid-June suggests the dominant downtrend established from July 2017 has resumed. Sellers have challenged support in the 0.6482-96 area, with a daily close below that opening the door for a test of the October 2018 low at 0.6425.

    NZD Technical Analysis-nzdusd-w1-fx-choice-limited.png


    Immediate resistance is in the 0.6559-91 congestion region. A break back above that eyes a dense layer of back-to-back support levels running up from 0.6653 through 0.6727. Beyond that, the dominant downtrend top intersects with the July swing top at 0.6791, making for a bias-defining barrier.

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