Here are a few interesting ideas gathered this weekend: * Here's a post that caught my eye on the Dunning-Kruger effect--a cognitive bias in which people who don't know tend to also not know that they don't know. This excellent article puts the DK effect into context and makes the observation that experts are more likely to accurately assess their level of knowledge and success--and even modestly understate their gifts--relative to those ...
Deja Vu In The European Bond Market Judging by the renewed optimism in the European sovereign debt market, one could be forgiven for thinking that the worst of the European economic crisis was behind us. After all, European sovereign bond yields have now declined toward levels last seen immediately before the onset of the European sovereign crisis some five years ago. However, it would be a grave mistake for European policymakers to allow currently buoyant market sentiment to ...
The Signal And The Noise Fed, investors have become complacent about inflation.Technical and cyclical forces are pushing consumer prices higher.Late in this bull market, Fed must beware of making a mistake. U.S. Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen's press conference last week came just hours after Consumer Price Index data revealed inflation of 2.1 percent year over year. Nevertheless, she was exceptionally dovish and sanguine on inflation. Yellen contended ...
Want to buy and hold? Here's one expert's view. 7) Korean won South Korea has become a manufacturing powerhouse. The quality of Korean goods such as Samsung Electronics, Hyundai and Posco meets and often exceeds Japanese competitors. In spite of a weak yen, South Korea maintains competitive advantage versus Japan. South Korea’s fiscal health is also strong with a 35% debt to GDP, 3.3% GDP growth, and 3.8% current account surplus. ...
Intel, TSMC, Samsung, Apple: Who's On First? Seems unlikely that TSMC will supply a 20nm A8 chip to Apple.Samsung might have won the business after all.Could Intel be the stealth supplier of the A8 chip? The common, and I DO mean common, wisdom is that TSMC (TSM) will be building the Apple (AAPL) A8 chip to be used in the iPhone 6. It's right here in black and white. According to the article, Samsung can't yield 20 nm. Hmmm, that seems to be a recurring theme, with ...
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