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Forecast for AUD/USD on November 24, 2020

AUD/USD
The Australian dollar lost 15 points under the overall optimistic pressure of the US dollar on Monday. But while the Australian currency is in no hurry to leave the range of the last six trading sessions, it needs to make sure that the market intends to further strengthen the US currency. During this waiting time, even if it does not work out the upper target of 0.7380, AUD/USD can form a double divergence with the Marlin oscillator. The most important economic data for Australia will only be available next week, such as Quarter 3 GDP, trade balance, PMI, and construction. Since the RBA meeting will take place on Tuesday, December 1, the "kangaroo" can feel quite free until the end of the week.



On the four-hour chart, the price consolidated under the MACD indicator line, the Marlin oscillator briefly went into the negative zone, and this morning it is trying to get back into the growth zone. Neutrality is also observed here on the four-hour scale. It still waits for the price to fall below the level of 0.7260, which is under the daily MACD line.



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AUD/USD Forecast for November 25, 2020

AUD / USD
The Australian Dollar successfully took advantage of yesterday's weakness of the US Dollar. On the weakening of the dollar index by 0.40%, 75 points (1.02%) were added to the Australian currency. The price reached the target level of 0.7380 this morning and at the same time formed a triple divergence (on the bodies of candles) with the Marlin oscillator.



With the greatest probability, the price can now turn down with an attack on the support of the Kruzenshtern line (0.7255), which coincides with the level of the lows on November 19 and 10 (and also on September 4).



On the four-hour chart, the price is above the balance line and the Kruzenshtern line. The Marlin oscillator held yesterday's price growth in the sideways direction which may be an early sign of a reversal or correction. Fixing the price under the Kruzenshtern line (0.7342) will be the first sign of a reversal, after which it is advisable to wait for confirmation of this signal and opening short positions. Confirmation may be the departure of Marlin in the negative area, this will be approximately when the price reaches the level of 0.7330.

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Forex Analysis & Reviews: AUD/USD Forecast for November 26, 2020

AUD/USD
The Australian Dollar was ready yesterday to turn from the target resistance 0.7380, a decline of 50 points, but the European currencies showed the optimism of American investors out of the market before today's holiday. As a result the Aussie closed the day up 5 points. The potential for divergence formation on the daily chart remains. The level of 0.7380 has not been overcome but the probability of this has increased. The target in this case is the 0.7440 level.



On the four-hour chart, the price punctured the Kruzenshtern line twice yesterday but this was in a growing trend, as the price remained above the balance indicator line. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator has created a wedge-shaped structure, from which an upward exit is expected.



So, with a probability of 80%, the price is likely to go above the level of 0.7380 and further increase to 0.7440.

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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on November 27, 2020

EUR/USD
In the absence of American investors in the market, the euro did not dare to overcome the important resistance of the upper line of the price channel on the daily chart on Thursday. Confusion made it possible for a divergence reversal to form with the Marlin oscillator. European stock indexes also showed no desire to rise yesterday, the main ones closed the day with a slight decline. Obviously, the markets will not grow today either, as any negotiations between the UK and the EU on Brexit may end on Monday.



At the moment, the daily price is between the MACD line and the price channel line. The price can't go up, but now it can slightly go down on closing long positions. Direct short deals on the euro may begin next week.



The four-hour chart shows that the price is still receiving support from the MACD line, but the signal line of the Marlin oscillator did not rise from its own range (gray rectangle), as we expected yesterday, but now this line can go down from the range. A signal to open short positions is when the price falls below yesterday's low of 1.1885.

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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Gold price breaks $1,800

Gold is trading below $1,800 and today it made a new lower low at $1,773. In our latest Gold analysis when price was trading near $1,810-20 resistance area by the bearish channel, we noted the bearish flag pattern and that we expect Gold price to move to new lows towards $1,770-50. The upper side of the target range has been reached today.



Blue lines - bearish channel
Gold price is moving lower in a textbook style as price gets rejected at the upper channel boundary resistance and breaks lower towards $1,770. Trend is clearly bearish and no sign of reversal yet. Gold price will most probably continue lower. A bounce towards $1,800 is not out of the question but it would not be something we would bet on.

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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on December 1, 2020

EUR/USD
According to news agencies, stock market participants took profits yesterday, due to which the S&P 500 fell by 0.46%, and the Dow Jones -0.91%. Trading volumes were large, a sign of flight from the stock market before the announcement of the UK's exit from the EU without a deal. The euro lost 35 points on the same expectations, falling from the day's high with 77 points. The price slightly fell short of the target level 1.2010/40. Divergence on the daily chart is gaining strength



Taking the high volumes of yesterday's trading into account, which were the highest for the euro over the past two weeks, investors are unlikely to want to try to take it a second time. Now we are waiting for the price to move under the MACD line (1.1896) and the attack on support at 1.1750. If successful, it will be followed by - reaching the lower embedded line of the price channel in the 1.1620 area.



The four-hour chart shows that the signal line of the Marlin oscillator has returned to the lower border of its own range. At the same time, the price reached the support of the MACD indicator line. Since the price overcame yesterday's low of 1.1926, it is possible to open short deals while aiming for 1.1750 and 1.1620.

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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for AUD/USD on December 2, 2020

AUD / USD
The Australian dollar does not share the great optimism of European currencies and went up by only 27 points yesterday, remaining in the range of Monday until this morning. Even on today's GDP data for the 3rd quarter that showed growth of 3.3% against expectations of 2.5%, the "Aussie" did not react and the price is in no hurry to overcome the target level at the resistance of 0.7380.



Yesterday's RBA meeting was cautiously negative as the regulator does not expect the economy to recover until the end of next year. It is very possible that this definition includes a version of a hard Brexit. The double divergence of the price with the oscillator on the daily scale remains. We are waiting for a reversal in the target range of 0.7222 / 52 in the area of the Kruzenshtern line and the price level of the minimum on November 12.



Based on the four-hour chart, the price stopped at the Kruzenshtern line, which strengthened the level of 0.7380. The Marlin oscillator is held in the downward trend zone. Commodities and metals were cheaper yesterday and today keeping the Australian dollar from rising during a period of uncertainty in Europe. We are waiting for a slow decline in the Australian currency to 0.7340 with the overcoming of the level, the fall may accelerate.

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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for AUD/USD on December 3, 2020

AUD/USD
The Australian dollar managed to show yesterday another maximum of the last 3 months, which was caused by the growth of the Euro. But this "Australian" strengthened only the spring that is preparing to push down – the Marlin divergence has already become triple. The decline target is seen in the range of 0.7222 / 52, formed by the November 12 low and the Kruzenshtern line.



Based on the four-hour chart, the price is fixed above both the indicator lines - the balance line and the Kruzenshtern line, Marlin indicates growth. But here we see a repeat of the situation in recent weeks, when the price was freely wound on this indicator line in a relatively thin speculative market.



Fixing the price below 0.7384 could mean a start to overcome the level of 0.7340, which will already reveal the downward potential to the full. It is worth noting that the Australian dollar did not react to the excellent trade balance of Australia published this morning and the trade balance for October was 7.46 billion dollars against the forecast of 5.83 billion. Exports increased by 5.0%.

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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on December 4, 2020

EUR/USD
Brexit negotiations are ongoing. Only one agreement reached - to extend the negotiations over the weekend. As a result of this, the dollar index added 0.37%, the euro 32 points. Today we can expect data on labor in the US for November, unemployment is expected to drop from 6.9% to 6.8%, perhaps these data can stop the euro's growth. If investors do not close their long positions today, then they may suffer losses on Monday.



The euro has gone above the target level of 1.2117, reaching the upper level of 1.2230 is questionable, since the Marlin oscillator is turning down on the daily chart. Getting the price to settle under 1.2117 will mean a quick attack on the support line of the price channel at 1.2040, and going under it - falling further to 1.1922 - toward the MACD line.



The signal line of the Marlin oscillator has formed a triple top on the four-hour chart, which is a trend reversal pattern. Getting the price to settle below 1.2117 will make it possible for the price to attack the strong support at 1.2040 formed by the trend line of the higher chart, the low on December 2, approaching the level of the MACD line. Overcoming important support opens the way to 1.1922. We are waiting for the outcome of the Brexit negotiations.

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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Gold to end the week near intra weekly highs.

Gold price made another attempt towards $1,850 today but price got rejected once again. Bulls should get worried if after a rejection price moves away too far from $1,850. Bulls should be worried if after the rejection price breaks below short-term support of $1,820.



Blue rectangle - resistance area
Black lines -Fibonacci retracements

Gold price is trading near but below the key resistance of $1,850-60. This area was once key support and is now key resistance. I do not expect Gold to break this level, at least not now. I believe we will first see a pull back at least towards the 38% Fibonacci level if not towards the 61.8% before the resumption of the bullish move that started last week at $1,763. At current levels I prefer to be neutral if not bearish. Before weekend I avoid opening new positions. That is why I prefer to wait and see how Monday starts before jumping in the market and before choosing sides.

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