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  1. EUR/JPY Technical Analysis: 123.08 Fib Resistance In-Play

    by , 05-05-2016 at 03:35 PM
    Nothing really happened; no new policies were unleashed and no new announcements were made, but that was somewhat of the issue. Markets were looking for some kind of extension or increase to Japanese QE and after the incredibly salient report had made the rounds a week earlier, it looked like something new would be announced.

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    But when no additional information was unveiled by the Bank of Japan at that April rate meeting, that bullish structure ...
  2. EUR/GBP Technical Analysis: daily correction

    by , 04-25-2016 at 06:57 PM
    The Euro accelerated lower against the British Pound, putting in the largest daily loss in six months and exposing the 0.77 figure. Prices established a top with the formation of a Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern as expected, with subsequent losses hinting the long-term down trend may be resuming.

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    Near-term support is in the 0.7683-0.7703 area, marked by a horizontal pivot and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. A break below this barrier ...
  3. AUD/USD Weekly Tweezer Top; Cycle Influence Next Week

    by , 04-10-2016 at 12:01 PM
    AUD/USD

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    -FXTW was looking for resistance in AUD/USD from the October 2013-January 2014 line near .7800. That level has not been reached and a tweezer top (candlestick pattern…tweezer bottoms identified the lows in September 2015 and January) warns that it may not be reached. Also, risk of a top is heightened given COT considerations. Don’t forget about the cyclical influence next week…
    -“The 2nd week of April is lining up as a potentially ...
  4. Crude Oil - Medium-term Forces vs. Long-term Forces

    by , 04-10-2016 at 06:32 AM
    • Crude holds key support symmetry
    • Timing relationship next week should prove critical

    Crude Oil - Medium-term Forces vs. Long-term Forces

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    I have been touching upon a similar theme in most of my writings over the past couple of weeks. We are at a point in the markets where some pretty strong medium-term term trends have developed against opposing longer-term trends (copper, USD, stocks to name a few). Are we going to see the ...
  5. AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Reversal Lower Hinted Ahead

    by , 03-10-2016 at 12:11 PM
    Talking Points:
    • AUD/USD Technical Strategy: Flat
    • Aussie hits 8-month high but RSI divergence warns of downturn ahead
    • Waiting for technical confirmation, passage of event risk to enter short

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    The Australian Dollar resumed the push upward against its US counterpart after brief one-day respite, rising to the strongest level in eight months. The emergence of negative RSI divergence warns of ebbing upside momentum however, hinting a ...
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