Silver still has a fully-loaded boat of large silver traders long in the futures market (record long), of which their net position may have been reduced this week, but we won’t likely find that out in today’s COT report given it is for the week ending on Tuesday. The real meaty move lower came on Wednesday. At any rate, crowded trades are not where we want to be, but if price action suggests the crowd is right, though, then they are, at least until they aren’t. So far, broadly speaking they have ...
USD/CAD looks to be breaking out of a period of consolidation as the US Dollar’s strength may resume. In such a case, we’d expect to see an aggressive move higher toward the 38.2-61.8% Fibonacci Retracement of the January 20-May 3 Range, which could push USD/CAD up to ~1.3307-1.3832. Therefore, if USD/CAD will resume a Bull-Run, a break above 1.3028/3187 will be the first indication that we could be on our way to multi-100 pip rally. After ...
Silver prices printed $21 intraday for the first time since July 2014 as the Brexit vote has traders anticipating more central bank easing. Lower interest rates make metals like silver and gold generally more attractive. With silver prices poised to finish higher 5 sessions in a row, you would think they just won the Miss Universe contest. However, later this week we have the US non-farm payrolls printing. Though the market is pricing ...
The pair blasted through the 6.6 handle and the 6.6500 resistance following the vote, and have since traded between the 6.7 handle as resistance and the 6.5000 level on what appears to be “resistance turned support” basis. The fact that the pair has managed to find support at 6.6500 in the context of an uptrend might imply focus will be out on the 6.7 figure, while the next resistance level may be found around the January high at the 6.7584 level. A move below 6.6500 may put ...
A daily close below the 50% Fibonacci retracement at 0.6986 opens the door for a challenge of the 61.8% level at 0.6913. Alternatively, a reversal back above the 38.2% Fib at 0.7060 clears the way for a test of the 23.6% retracement at 0.7150. It seems tempting to enter a short NZD/USD position. The available trading range is too narrow relative to ATR-measured volatility however, arguing against taking the trade on risk/reward grounds. With that ...
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