We’ve seen Canadian Dollar strength that is backed by much of the Commodity run and subsequent USD weakness since the Fed hiked in December. However, February has been a sideways affair. I’m awaiting a price breakdown and close below the support levels of 1.3083/76 to validate the view. However, we do see a lot of support at 1.3000 as the price continues to hold up above 1.3000 or find bids. Regarding resistance, the price has had a difficult ...
The Euro recoiled sharply higher after hitting the weakest level in two months against the British Pound but overall positioning still seems to favor the downside. Continued selling from here puts the spotlight on a major double bottom capping losses since early September 2016. Near-term support is in the 0.8334-70 area (double bottom, 50% Fib expansion), with a daily close below that exposing the 61.8% level at 0.8257. Alternatively, a ...
Price consolidations that are visualized as a sideways move are very boring to watch, but their bias is rather clear. Consolidation tends to favor continuation of the prior trend. Since Mid-August, the price of Crude Oil has march confidently higher alongside many other commodities and commodity currencies. While Crude Oil has lagged many of its commodity brethren, there does appear to be a unified march higher in the commodity field that could continue if the anticipation of inflation persists. ...
The three keys components that provided support were the Ichimoku Cloud base on the Daily Chart, which is comprised of the 50% retracement over the last 52 data periods. While price did break below the cloud technically, we did not see the lagging line (bright green) break into the cloud, and we did not see a strong move lower once price pierced the cloud, but rather price moved sideways before beginning this week’s retracement. An eventual break below last week’s low of 99.23, followed by ...
Daily -“As is the case with EUR/USD and USD/CHF, continued failure at trend extremes warrant caution although there is nothing ‘solidly bearish’ to work with just yet. Weakness below 100.51 (December 2015 high) would suggest a broader reversal.” 100.51 (2015 high) is classified as a decision point (make or break level). It’s OK to lean towards the long side as long as that level holds. Weakness below would suggest a broader reversal is ...