The Euro failed to make good on an attempted break higher from a range confining price action against the US Dollar since late October. The pair briefly breached resistance in the 1.1456-81 area but the upswing ran out of steam on a test of trend line resistance set from January 2018. A test of this barrier produced a bearish Evening Star candlestick, which was soon followed by a drop back into familiar territory. Sellers are now eyeing ...
After being confined to trading within a horizontal range between 0.89525 and 0.90607 since December, the Euro is quickly losing ground against the British Pound after a rising support line was breached as anticipated. Not only has EUR/GBP fallen about 2.25% since January 11th, but also the pair achieved its longest daily losing streak since October 9th (5 days). Fundamentally, this has been due to the latest Brexit developments. ...
As I see it, there are three main options: 1) leave the EU without a deal (the “hard” Brexit); 2) halt the entire Brexit process, leaving open the possibility of another referendum; and 3) go back to the drawing board and renegotiate. By any measure, a hard Brexit would be disastrous. more...
German investor confidence rose strongly in December, defying expectations for a modest weakening, but caution prevailed as financial analysts' assessment of the current economic situation again deteriorated sharply due to sluggish economic growth and uncertainties linked to global trade and Brexit. The ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany rose 6.6 points to reach minus 17.5 points. more...
GBP/USD has put in a bearish move to start the week, pulling up shy of the 1.2500 psychological level as the pair tumbled down to fresh 18-month lows. At the source of the selling was another negative headline around Brexit as Theresa May called off this week’s Parliamentary vote. This adds an element of chaos to an already uncertain situation, and the net response from traders was a 200+ pip sell-off as additional uncertainty was incorporated into GBP prices. ...