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This is a discussion on Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News. within the Analytics and News forums, part of the Trading Forum category; Date : 1st September 2022. Market Update – September 1 – New Month Same Story – Dollar Bid. Trading Leveraged ...

      
   
  1. #151
    Junior Member HFblogNews's Avatar
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    Date : 1st September 2022.

    Market Update – September 1 – New Month Same Story – Dollar Bid.


    Trading Leveraged Products is risky

    *USDIndex – holds at 109.00 highs from a test of 108.50 support. Yields rallied again, Dollar on the frontfoot ahead of NFP & Labor Day Holiday, ADP (following revisions to calculation) big miss 132k vs 300k). Chengdu (120 million) in new lockdown.
    *EUR – Record Inflation (9.1%) pressures ECB action (40% chance of 75bp rise next week) – EUR holds at 1.0018.
    *JPY rallies again (new 24 yr highs) eyes key 140.00 & trades; 139.50 BOJ holding accommodative policy line.
    *GBP new pandemic era lows under 1.1600 now, to 1.1568 lows.
    *Stocks US stocks weak again (S&P500 -31.00pts (-0.78%) 3955). Energy & Tech stocks led the decline again as weak news from Nvidia, Tencent & AMD weighed. Futs. -1% at 3930 now.
    *Oil down again on weake outlook, under $90.00 and trades at $88.90 now.
    *Gold – also down and within $1.50 of $1700 earlier, trades at $1707 now.
    *BTC – under 20k again today.



    Overnight – CNY Manufacturing PMI data missed (49.5) and returns to contraction. German Retail Sales better than expected (1.9% vs. 0.0%).



    Today – EZ, UK & US Manufacturing PMIs, German Retail Sales, Swiss CPI, EZ Unemployment, US ISM Manufacturing, Construction Spending, Speech from Fed’s Bostic.



    Biggest FX Mover (06:30 GMT) EURCHF (-0.48%). Rejected 0.9830 today following 5-day rally from 0.9559, trades at 0.9786. MAs aligning higher, MACD histogram positive but signal line falling, RSI 43.00, H1 ATR 0.00132, Daily ATR 0.000723.

    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

    Click HERE to READ more Market news.

    Stuart Cowell
    Head Market Analyst
    HFMarkets

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  2. #152
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    Date : 2nd September 2022.

    Market Update – September 2 – USD Holds at Highs, Stocks stem losses.


    USDIndex – spiked to 109.95 highs yesterday and holds the BID @109.50 now. A strong NFP could lift the USD even higher. A weak number could prick the USD bubble from 20-yr highs. Strong Weekly Claims and PMI’s added to USD demand. Fed Fund Futures now at 74%/26% for 75bp vs. 50 bp at next Fed meeting.


    EUR – ECB action expected next week, but EUR remains under Parity lows of 0.9910, trades at 0.9970 now.
    JPY rallies again (new 24 yr highs) broke 140.00 & holds at 140.30 BOJ holding accommodative policy line, & yield differentials driving trend.
    GBP new multi-year lows under 1.1500 yesterday, back to 1.1550 now. New PM next week.
    Stocks US stocks halted 4-day slide (S&P500 3966). Nvidia -7.67%, AMD -3% weighed again. Futs. flat at 3968 now.


    Oil down again on weak outlook, lows at $86.25 and trades at $88.20 now.
    Gold – also down under $1700 to $1688 lows, back to $1702 now.
    BTC – recovers 20k again today, from 19.5k lows yesterday.


    Overnight – NZD Trade Balance missed (-2.4% vs 0.6%) German Trade Balance better than expected (see below).



    Today – US NFP & Factory Orders, EZ Producer Prices.



    Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) EURNZD (+0.68%). Continued to recover from weekly lows at 1.6185 on Tuesday to 1.6450 today, next resistance 1.6485. MAs aligning higher, MACD histogram positive & signal line rising, RSI 63.62, H1 ATR 0.00238, Daily ATR 0.01615.

    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

    Click HERE to READ more Market news.

    Stuart Cowell
    Head Market Analyst
    HFMarkets

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  3. #153
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    Date : 5th September 2022.

    Market Update – September 5.


    Trading Leveraged Products is risky

    *USDIndex – holds at 110.25 highs. Yields plunged after NFP and as the curve bull steepened. Asian markets struggled after Wall Street closed in negative territory following news that Russia won’t be re-opening gas deliveries to Europe via Nord Stream 1 as scheduled.
    *EUR – 20-year lows – tumbled back below parity, today’s low at 0.9876 as the standoff with Russia continues.
    *JPY holds at 140 area.
    *GBP fell to 1.1442, the weakest since March 1985.
    *Stocks – US closed for Labour Day today. GER40 & UK100 are down -3% and -1% respectively this morning, with recession concerns deepening. ASX and Nikkei closed narrowly mixed. Major stock markets are posting 1-month declines from nearly -2% (TSX) to over -8% (NASDAQ).
    *Oil got a boost from the jump in gas prices as traders look ahead to the OPEC+ meeting. USOIL is at $88.45 from $85.70.
    *Gold – also down and within $1.50 of $1700 earlier, trades at $1707 now.
    *BTC – 19.4K-20.5K.

    Weekend – Gazprom announced on Friday that the main pipeline to Germany would remain closed indefinitely, against expectations of a restart on Saturday after three days of maintenance work.

    Today - Today – All eyes will be on the monetary policy decisions from the ECB, BoC, RBA.Final readings for Eurozone and UK Services and Composite PMs are due today. In the UK the Conservative Party is set to announce that Liz Truss won the leadership contest and will succeed Boris Johnson as the next Prime Minister for the UK.



    Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) EURUSD(-0.48%) found a near term support at 0.9877. MAs aligning lower, MACD lines extend southwards, RSI 38, H1 ATR 0.00199, Daily ATR 0.00996.

    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

    Click HERE to READ more Market news.

    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HFMarkets

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  4. #154
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    Date : 6th September 2022.

    Market Update – September 6 – Eyes on the deepening EU energy crisis.


    Trading Leveraged Products is risky

    *USDIndex – pulled back to 109.60 but still highlighting that the USD remains the haven asset of choice for now. Yields are on the rise again and stocks are struggling as the US returns from the holiday and markets keep a close eye on the deepening energy crisis in Europe and China’s Covid situation as the ECB meeting on Thursday comes into view. US 10-year rate at 3.24% 5.3 bp higher than on Friday.
    *EUR – weaker than expected German orders numbers at the start of the session, only added to signs that Europe is heading for a recession but EUR trades at 0.9957 now.
    *JPY remained under pressure and USDJPY lifted to 24-year highs at 141.20.
    *GBP at 1.1587 after on Monday near its weakest level in decades in a sign of faltering investor sentiment in UK markets as Liz Truss prepares to take the reins as prime minister.
    *AUD -RBA raised rates by 50 bp and signalled further rate hikes to come but noted that it is not on a pre-set path. AUDUSD is below 0.68 following a spike to 0.6832.
    *Stocks – GER40 & UK100 futures are down -0.2% and -0.3% respectively. Asian markets traded narrowly mixed.
    *Oil at $88.75. OPEC+ announced an output cut of 100K barrels per day and amid signs that a revival of Iran’s nuclear deal has run into difficulties.
    *Gold – rose to $1726.80.

    Overnight – RBA raised rates by 50 bp & weaker than expected German factory orders.

    Today - UK Industrial and Manufacturing Production and Trade Balance, US ISM Services PMI.



    Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) GBPJPY(+1.14%). Spiked to 1-month peak at 163.80. MAs aligning higher, MACD histogram positive & signal line rising, RSI 83, H1 ATR 0.3130, Daily ATR 1.28.

    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

    Click HERE to READ more Market news.

    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HFMarkets

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  5. #155
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    Date : 7th September 2022.

    Market Update – September 7 – King Dollar; Yen crushed.


    Trading Leveraged Products is risky

    *USDIndex – remains above 110 and the ongoing strength of the dollar, fueled by aggressive Fed hikes and the firm push back against inflation continues to weigh on stock markets, as traders assess recession risks amid Europe the escalating energy crisis in Europe.
    *Bonds sold off hard with yields surging double digits and Wall Street stumbled amid renewed concerns over inflation, the FOMC’s hawkish response, and the concomitant threat to growth – amid a deluge of corporate debt offerings and as ISM services index increase to 56.9 further presser yields higher.
    *20 companies slated bond offerings totaling an estimated $30 billion to $40 billion.
    *EUR – break 0.9900 area than expected German orders numbers at the start of the session, only added to signs that Europe is heading for a recession but EUR trades at 0.9957 now. – German industrial production contracted – less than feared and at the same time the June number was revised up.
    *JPY crushed! USDJPY at 144.35.
    *GBP – 1.1490. Eyes to parliamentary testimony from the Bank of England governor.
    *Stocks – Asian stocks fell to 2-year low on the back of disappointing Chinese trade number (China’s exports slowed in August). US100 fell -0.74% and the US30 and US500 slid -0.55% and -0.41%, respectively.
    *Oil at $85.60
    *Gold – extends for a 2nd day below $1700

    Corporate bond update: there has been a flood of issuance to kick off September. It looks like corporations are jumping in while the going still looks relatively good and before rates go up further. Nestle plans a hefty 5-part sale with 3-, 5-, 7-, 10-, and 30-year coupons. Walmart announced a $5 bln 4-part deal to include a $1.75 bln 3-year, a $1 bln 5-year, a $1.25 bln 10-year and a $1 bln 30-year. Lowe’s plans a $4.75 bln 4-tranche deal with 3-, 10-, 30-, and 40-year tranches. MUFG has a $4.4 bln 4-parter including 3NC2 fixed and FRN, a 6NC5, and an 11NC10. John Deere Capital is selling $2.25 bln in 3-, 5-, and 10-year notes. There is a $2.3 bln 4-parter from Dollar General with 2-, 4-, 10-, and 30-year tranches. McDonald’s announced a $1.5 bln 10- and 30-year. Target has a $1 bln 10-year. ORIX has a $1 bln 2-oarter. And this is not even the full list. The explosion of offerings has added to the selling pressures on Treasuries. Rates are up double digits with the 10-year 15 bps cheaper at 3.34%.

    Today - Attention will be on the BOC’s rate decision and BOE Monetary Policy Report Hearings along with BOE Governor Bailey testimony. Of importance will be remarks from VC Brainard, Michael Barr who will discuss financial systems. Barkin and Mester speak at an MIT event and the US trade deficit will also be important for what it says about global activity.



    Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) CHFJPY (+0.97%) at record highs, 146.48. MAs aligning higher, MACD histogram positive & signal line rising, RSI 83, H1 ATR 0.284, Daily ATR 1.116.

    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

    Click HERE to READ more Market news.

    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HFMarkets

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  6. #156
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    Date : 8th September 2022.

    Market Update – September 8 – Stocks Rise, USD Slips, Oil Tanks.


    Trading Leveraged Products is risky

    *USDIndex – spiked to 110.75, before slipping below 110.00 yesterday, but still holds the bid close to 20-year highs and trades at 109.50 now. Yields also slipped, but the curve remains inverted. Fed Fund Futures now at 79%/21% for 75bp vs. 50 bp September 21. Fedspeak Collins – inflation at 2% is the Fed’s “Job One,” Vice Chair Brainard said tight monetary policy will continue “for as long as it takes to get inflation down.”
    *EUR – ECB action today and 75bp also in the frame. EUR rallied back to Parity yesterday and trades at 1.0093 now. EU plans a price cap on Russian gas prices – Putin warns of “winter freeze”.
    *JPY rallies again (yet more new 24-year highs) tested to 145.00 & holds at 143.50. Japan MOF, FSA, and BOJ to hold meeting at 0745 GMT today.
    *GBP new 37-year lows tested 1.1400 yesterday, back to 1.1515 now. New PM Truss set to announce £100bln emergency energy plan, via massive increase in government borrowing.
    *Stocks US stocks rallied as Dollar & Yields cooled (S&P500 3979). Nasdaq best performer (+2.14%). TWTR +6.6%, TSLA +3.38%, Globalstar +21% (new satellite partner for APPLE’s new iPhone 14, Watch 8 Ultra and new AirPods (no news on new services). Share price unmoved after hours.



    *USOil tanked (-5%+) on Russia/EU situation; and global outlook. Trades at $82.65 now from overnight lows at $81.40 now. Summer highs were north of $123.50.
    *Gold – also rallied from lows under $1700 at $1691, to $1718.60 now.
    *BTC – plunged to 18.5k lows yesterday and remains under 20k at 19.3k now.

    Overnight & Today – US Weekly Claims, ECB Announcement, Speeches from ECB’s Lagarde, Fed’s Powell, Evans, Kashkari & BoC’s Rogers.



    Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) GBPCHF (-0.31%). Continues to decline, yesterday breaking under 1.1300 to 1.1220 lows which are being re-tested now. MAs aligning lower, MACD histogram negative & signal line neutral, RSI 39.90, H1 ATR 0.00137, Daily ATR 0.00814.



    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

    Click HERE to READ more Market news.

    Stuart Cowell
    Head Market Analyst
    HFMarkets

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  7. #157
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    Date : 9th September 2022.

    Market Update – September 9 – USD Sinks, Yen & BTC Rally.


    Trading Leveraged Products is risky

    *USDIndex – Slumps as YEN & EUR spike. A brief rally back to 110.00, faded following ECB’s hawkish 75bp hike and similarly Hawkish comments from both Lagarde and Powell. Trades at 108.90. Comments from Japanese officials lift the YEN and weak Chinese inflation data exposes demand weakness.
    *EUR – ECB moved by 75bp and suggested more significant hikes to come. EUR rallied back to through Parity and trades at 1.0065 now.
    *JPY having rejected 145.00, combined comments from Suzuki, Matsuno & Kuroda lifts the YEN and the pair trades at 142.90.
    *GBP 1.1500 support held yesterday and a follow through move today takes Cable to 1.1600 resistance.
    *Stocks US stocks moved higher again as Dollar & Yields cooled (S&P500 4006) FUTS trade at 4011. Asian stock markets have rallied, and European FUTS are little changed, the FTSE100 up 0.3%.



    *USOil recovered from $81.40 lows to $83.50 now on chatter of more supply issues. 20-day moving average sits at $90.00.
    *Gold – also rallied to $1725 and holds the key $1700 at $1721 now.
    *BTC – rallied higher as the ETH merge (offering a 99.9% reduction in power consumption!!). Spiked from $18.5k on Wednesday to $20.6k now.

    Overnight & Today – Canadian jobs report, EU energy meeting, Speeches from ECB’s Lagarde, Fed’s Evans, Waller & George.



    Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) AUDUSD (+1.31%). Continues to rally from a test of 0.6700 on Wednesday, trades at 0.6850 now. MAs aligning higher, MACD histogram negative & signal line positive & rising, RSI 79.22 & OB, H1 ATR 0.00142, Daily ATR 0.00850.



    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

    Click HERE to READ more Market news.

    Stuart Cowell
    Head Market Analyst
    HFMarkets

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  8. #158
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    Date : 12th September 2022.

    Market Update – September 12 – USD slips again, EUR lifts, Stocks firm.


    Trading Leveraged Products is risky

    *USDIndex – Slips again as EUR and YEN see demand. Final FedSpeak remained Hawkish as news blackout starts. 88-90% chance of 75 bp hike up from 57% last week.
    *EUR – ECB looking at 2% interest rates (currently 0.75%) to bring inflation to 2% target (currently 9.1%). 2024 exceptions 2.4% and 2% by 2025. Market expects 2-3 more rate hikes into December. Trades at 1.0100 now.
    *JPY Govt spokesman (Kihara) – need to take steps to curb “excessive” Yen declines, stopped short of calling for BOJ intervention. However, USDJPY rallied from test of 142.00 Friday to 143.25 now.
    *GBP Trades at 1.1643 despite miss for GDP earlier. London remains muted (politics suspended) but open ahead of Queen’s funeral next Monday (bank holiday).
    *Stocks US stocks moved higher again as Dollar & Yields cooled (S&P500 4067) FUTS trade at 4076. Asian stock markets have rallied too, and European FUTS are higher pre-open.



    *USOil topped at $87.50 on Friday on more chatter of supply issues. Trades at 86.30 now. 20-day moving average sits at $90.00.
    *Gold – also rallied to $1728 and holds the key $1700 at $1720 now.
    *BTC – rallied higher again, touching $22.2k earlier from $18.5k lows last week. Trades at 21.7k now.

    Overnight & Today – UK Monthly GDP missed (0.25 vs 0.5%), ECB Survey of Analysts, Speeches from ECB’s Schnabel & de Guindos.



    Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) EURJPY (+1.01%). Continues to rally from a test of 142.75 on Friday, trades at 144.80 now. MAs aligning higher, MACD histogram & signal line positive & rising, RSI 72.56 & OB, H1 ATR 0.00142, Daily ATR 0.00850.



    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

    Click HERE to READ more Market news.

    Stuart Cowell
    Head Market Analyst
    HFMarkets

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  9. #159
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    Date : 13th September 2022.

    Market Update – September 13 – Cooler USD & Stocks Higher Ahead of CPI.


    Trading Leveraged Products is risky

    *USDIndex – Slips (108.00 tested) for a 5th straight day, lifting EUR & GBP. Fed Funds Futures back to 90% chance of 75 bp (third consecutive) hike. 10-yr Bond Auction was weak, only filled after it hit 3.33% (2.76% last time). “Higher for longer” mantra from Reuters Poll¹. Has Inflation peaked ?
    *EUR – Trades at 1.0135 now from a test of 1.0200 yesterday.
    *JPY markets not convinced BOJ intervention is imminent. Although Yen up today against others still weak vs. USD, touched 143.50 yesterday and holds 142.30 now.
    *GBP traded over 1.1700 yesterday and holds 1.1723 now, following good jobs data. London remains muted (politics suspended) but open ahead of Queen’s funeral September 19 (Bank Holiday).
    *Stocks US stocks moved higher again as Dollar & Yields cooled (S&P500 +1.06% 4110) FUTS trade at 4121. Nasdaq best performer (APPL +3.85%, PTON +7.18%). Asian stock markets have rallied too, and European FUTS are higher pre-open.



    *USOil topped at $89.00 on Monday on more chatter of supply issues and possible easing of geopolitical tensions. Trades at $86.75 now. 20-day moving average sits at $89.00.
    *Gold – also rallied to $1735 and holds over $1720 now.
    *BTC – rallied higher too and holds at $22.3k.

    Overnight & Today – UK Jobs, (Wages beat & Unemployment Rate fell back, Claimant Count reversed sharply (+20.8k) German HICP (steady at 8.8%). To come German ZEW and US CPI.



    Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) AUDJPY (-0.51%) Signs the 6-week rally from 90.00, maybe cooling. Topped at 98.45 earlier back under 98.00 to 97.76 now. MAs aligning lower, MACD histogram & signal line positive but falling, RSI neutral 43.20, H1 ATR 0.174, Daily ATR 0.972.



    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

    Click HERE to READ more Market news.

    Stuart Cowell
    Head Market Analyst
    HFMarkets

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  10. #160
    Junior Member HFblogNews's Avatar
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    Nov 2021
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    Date : 14th September 2022.

    Market Update – September 14 – Inflation IS Sticky – Risk Off.


    Trading Leveraged Products is risky

    *USDIndex – Exploded higher (to110)ending a 4-day dip. US CPI much hotter than expected. Fed Funds Futures – a 34% chance of 100bp – from 0% this time yesterday. Inflation may still have peaked but it is NOT receding as quickly as some expected, Inflation is ALWAYS sticky and often takes longer to get under control.



    *EUR – Trades at 0.9980 now from a test of 0.9950 yesterday, 1.0000 resistance.
    *JPY BOJ apparently conducting rate checks ahead of intervention. USDJPY hit 145.00 yesterday from 142.00 and trades at 143.75 now following the BOJ chatter.
    *GBP traded over 1.1700 yesterday ahead of the US data, but tanked under 1.1500 to 1.1485 and holds at 1.1500 now.
    *Stocks US stocks had their worst day since June 2020 (S&P500 -4.32% 177pts 3932) FUTS trade at 3940. NASDAQ worst performer (-5.16%) Asian stock markets down over -2.5%, with European FUTS showing some resilience (-0.4%).





    *USOil topped at $89.00 again on Tuesday, crashing to the key $85.00 level before recovering to $87.00 now. 20-day moving average sits at $89.00.
    *Gold – also tested lower under $1700 from $1730 and holds at $1700 now.
    *BTC – slumped from $22.7 highs to $19.8k and holds at $20.2k now.

    Overnight & Today – UK inflation a tick lighter at 9.9% vs 10.0% & 10.1% last month, US PPI, New Zealand GDP, Speeches from European Commission State of Union Address & ECB’s Lane.



    Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) AUDJPY (-0.87%) The BOJ gossip and risk off mood has lifted safe haven YEN. Collapsed under 98.00, 97.00 & 96.50. MAs aligning lower, MACD histogram & signal line negative & falling, RSI 20.85 & OB, H1 ATR 0.241, Daily ATR 0.972.



    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

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    Click HERE to READ more Market news.

    Stuart Cowell
    Head Market Analyst
    HFMarkets

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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