Forex Technical/Fundamental Analysis & Forecast by RoboForex

Brent rebounds slightly, but the sell-off is not over yet

Brent oil has recovered to 61.17 USD. The sharp two-day drop has paused. Discover more in our analysis for 6 May 2025.

Brent technical analysis

On the H4 chart, Brent prices have rebounded from a local low of 58.72 and moved up towards 61.00. For the bounce to transition into a sustained reversal, prices must consolidate above 62.11. This would pave the way for further gains towards 62.63.



Brent prices have recovered after a steep drop, but still trade near four-year lows.

Read more - Brent Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

Wedge pattern on USDJPY chart – sellers gear up for downward move

The USDJPY rate is currently undergoing a correction but remains under pressure, with the price now at 142.99. Find more details in our analysis for 7 May 2025.

USDJPY forecast: key trading points

• Japan’s services PMI for April was revised upwards from 52.2 to 52.4
• New orders in the service sector reached the highest level in nearly a year, indicating strong domestic demand in Tokyo
• USDJPY forecast for 7 May 2025: 141.45

Fundamental analysis

The USDJPY rate is recovering after declining for three consecutive trading sessions, as investors continue to monitor trade negotiations between the US and Japan. Tokyo authorities aim to finalise a bilateral agreement by June, supporting interest in risk assets and currency markets.

Last week, the Bank of Japan kept its interest rate unchanged at 0.5% as expected. However, the central bank downgraded its forecasts for economic growth and inflation, reinforcing market expectations that further monetary tightening is unlikely in the near term.

Meanwhile, Japan’s services PMI for April 2025 was revised upwards to 52.4 from a preliminary 52.2, marking the fastest pace of new order growth in nearly a year and indicating steady domestic demand. These figures could push the USDJPY pair lower as part of today’s forecast.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

EURUSD poised for reversal: outcome depends on meeting in Brussels

Ahead of the Eurogroup meeting, the EURUSD pair may complete its correction and head towards the 1.1330 resistance level. Discover more in our analysis for 12 May 2025.

EURUSD technical analysis

On the H4 chart, the EURUSD price has formed a Shooting Star reversal pattern near the upper Bollinger Band. The pair is currently undergoing a downward wave in response to this signal. However, since quotes remain within the ascending channel, they could climb to the nearest resistance level at 1.1330 after the correction.



With the Eurogroup meeting as today's main market driver, the outlook for EURUSD appears optimistic.

Read more - EURUSD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

EURUSD tumbles to the 1.1100 area; will the decline continue?

The EURUSD pair plunged to 1.1100 following the US-China agreement on reducing reciprocal tariffs. Today's spotlight is on the US inflation report. Find more details in our analysis for 13 May 2025.

EURUSD forecast: key trading points

• Market focus: today’s highlight is the US April inflation statistics, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) scheduled for release
• Current trend: a downtrend prevails
• EURUSD forecast for 13 May 2025: 1.1200 and 1.1000

Fundamental analysis

The EURUSD pair continues to decline as the US dollar gains strength amid optimism over a de-escalation in the US-China trade dispute. The two countries agreed to a 90-day reduction in tariffs after talks in Geneva, signalling a meaningful thaw in trade tensions that had intensified last month.

Today, all eyes are on the US CPI data for April. The consensus forecasts suggest an increase of 0.3% month-on-month and 2.4% year-on-year. Any substantial deviation from these expectations could fuel heightened volatility in the EURUSD pair.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

Gold under pressure: XAUUSD losing ground – is a reversal near?

Gold (XAUUSD) continues to retreat. Prices are moving towards the support zone at 3,160 USD. See our full analysis for 14 May 2025.

XAUUSD technical analysis

On the H4 chart, XAUUSD formed a bearish Engulfing pattern near the upper Bollinger Band. The price is now developing a downward wave within the longer-term upward channel, signalling a short-term correction.



The reduction in US-China tariffs has lifted the US dollar, placing short-term pressure on gold.

Read more - Gold Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

USDJPY on the verge of reversal: Double Bottom may trigger a rally to 149.05

The USDJPY rate continues to decline as sellers gear up for another attempt to test the key support level. The price currently stands at 146.03. Discover more in our analysis for 15 May 2025.

USDJPY forecast: key trading points

• Weak US inflation data supported the Japanese yen
• The USDJPY pair remains under pressure amid ongoing global trade uncertainty
• USDJPY forecast for 15 May 2025: 149.05

Fundamental analysis

The USDJPY rate has been declining for the third consecutive trading session. The US dollar is losing ground due to sustained uncertainty in global trade and speculation that the US administration favours a weaker dollar in the current negotiations. According to Washington, the relative weakness of Asian currencies gives regional exporters an unfair advantage over US companies.

Additional pressure came from weak US inflation data. Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Austan Goolsbee stated that the Fed needs more information to assess how tariffs impact domestic prices. He noted that the central bank should not react to short-term stock market volatility or political commentary and cautioned against drawing quick conclusions about long-term trends amid high short-term fluctuations.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

AUDUSD reversed upwards – is the correction over?

The AUDUSD rate reversed to the upside, rising to 0.6450 amid weaker-than-expected US inflation. Discover more in our analysis for 16 May 2025.

AUDUSD technical analysis

The AUDUSD pair has reversed upwards on the H4 chart after rebounding from the 0.6400 support level. The Alligator indicator is also attempting to turn upwards, suggesting the downward correction may be ending. A Triangle pattern could form, with the potential for further growth towards the 0.6600 area.



The AUDUSD rate reversed to the upside, rising to the 0.6450 area as US inflation cooled.

Read more - AUDUSD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

EURUSD reversed upwards – will the rally continue?

The EURUSD pair has formed a local upward reversal after bouncing off the daily support level at 1.1065, with further growth possible. Discover more in our analysis for 19 May 2025.

EURUSD forecast: key trading points

• Market focus: today, the market awaits eurozone inflation data for April, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) scheduled for release
• Current trend: upward movement is in progress
• EURUSD forecast for 19 May 2025: 1.1130 and 1.1265

Fundamental analysis

Investor attention is currently drawn to the UK-EU summit in London, where both sides aim to improve relations after years of tension following the 2016 Brexit vote. Constructive agreements may be reached.

As for the economic data, the market awaits April inflation statistics for the eurozone. The CPI is expected to rise by 0.6% month-on-month and by 2.2% year-on-year. Higher-than-expected inflation would push the pair higher, while weaker figures could trigger a downward reversal.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

Bullish momentum fades: technical analysis signals EURUSD decline

The EURUSD rate strengthens amid US dollar weakness following the country’s credit rating downgrade. The current price is 1.1257. Discover more in our analysis for 20 May 2025.

EURUSD technical analysis

The EURUSD rate is rising within the boundaries of a Wedge reversal pattern. Today’s EURUSD forecast anticipates a test of the pattern’s upper boundary, with a risk of reversal and potential decline towards 1.1055.



The euro continues to rise as the US dollar weakens following Moody’s downgrade and Fed rate cut expectations.

Read more - EURUSD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

USDJPY crashes amid Japan’s export boom

The USDJPY pair continues to move within a strong bearish impulse, with the price currently at 143.57. Find more details in our analysis for 21 May 2025.

USDJPY forecast: key trading points

• Japan’s exports rose 2% year-on-year in April
• Japan’s trade balance for April showed a deficit of 115.85 billion yen
• Markets are watching for a possible meeting between the Japanese and US finance ministers
• USDJPY forecast for 21 May 2025: 141.45

Fundamental analysis

The USDJPY rate is falling for the seventh consecutive trading session, supported by strong Japanese trade data. In April, exports rose by 2% year-on-year to 9.157 trillion yen, marking the seventh straight month of export growth, although at the slowest pace in that period.

The yen also gained support from a narrowing trade deficit. In April 2025, Japan’s trade balance recorded a shortfall of 115.85 billion yen, significantly better than the 504.69 billion yen deficit a year earlier. However, the result still fell short of market expectations for a surplus.

Market participants are closely watching for a potential meeting between Japan’s Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato and US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. The talks are expected to address currency market developments, particularly the yen’s sharp appreciation.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team