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This is a discussion on The News / Hottest within the Analytics and News forums, part of the Trading Forum category; The price of oil recovers from the collapse in the May futures contract, but the economic shock from COVID-19 may ...

      
   
  1. #1711
    Senior Member TheNews's Avatar
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    Oil Price Fundamental Outlook Mired by Great Lockdown

    The price of oil recovers from the collapse in the May futures contract, but the economic shock from COVID-19 may continue to drag on crude as the Great Lockdown disrupts global demand, with the oil surplus raising the cost of storage.

    The fundamental outlook for crude remains bearish even though the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) plan to reduce oil production by another 10M b/d starting in May as the Great Lockdown disrupts global demand.

    The International Energy Agency’s most recent monthly report warns “global oil demand is expected to fall by a record 9.3 mb/d year-on-year in 2020,” with the group going onto say that “there is no feasible agreement that could cut supply by enough to offset such near-term demand losses.”

    The IEA points out that “floating storage is becoming more expensive as traders compete for ships,” and the price of oil may continue to exhibit a bearish behavior as the group emphasizes that “never before has the oil industry come this close to testing its logistics capacity to the limit.”

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  2. #1712
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    А 52-year old woman has been arrested by the police in Australia for illegal transactions involving digital currencies for millions of dollars.

    The woman in question was apprehended by the New South Wales State Police in a shopping mall in Sydney on Thursday and around $40 000 in cash and 3.8 bitcoin were confiscated by the Australian police.

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  3. #1713
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    Fed Minutes Highlight Uncertainty, Risks Created By Coronavirus Pandemic

    In addition to the severely adverse near-term effects of the coronavirus pandemic, the minutes of the Federal Reserve's latest monetary policy meeting noted the outbreak and the measures undertaken to contain it have also created an extraordinary amount of uncertainty and considerable risks to economic activity in the medium term.

    The minutes said participants at the late-April meeting discussed several alternative scenarios with regard to the behavior of economic activity in the medium term that all seemed about equally likely. "These scenarios differed in the assumed length of the pandemic and the consequent economic disruptions," the Fed said. A number of participants believed there was a substantial likelihood of additional waves of the coronavirus outbreak, which could lead to further economic disruptions. The participants warned the disruptions, including additional periods of mandatory social distancing, greater supply chain dislocations, and a substantial number of business closures and loss of income, could lead to a protracted period of severely reduced economic activity.

    At the same time, the minutes noted economic activity could recover more quickly if the pandemic subsided enough for households and businesses to become sufficiently confident to relax or modify social-distancing behaviors over the next several months.

    "Participants stressed that measures taken in the areas of health-care policy and fiscal policy, together with actions by the private sector, would be important in shaping the timing and speed of the U.S. economy's return to more normal conditions," the Fed said.

    The central bank added, "In addition, participants agreed that recent actions taken by the Federal Reserve were essential in helping reduce downside risks to the economic outlook."

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  4. #1714
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    Spain Unemployment Rises In May

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    Registered unemployment rises in May by 26,573 people compared to the previous month.

    Besides, the data shows that employment actually grew in May: new Social Security registrations for measure of job creation estimated the growth by an average of 97,462 new contributors for a total of 18.5 million.
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  5. #1715
    Senior Member mlawson71's Avatar
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    The Securities Commission of The Bahamas has taken a serious step into implementing new regulations with the aims of attracting more serious brokerages. The Bahamas have always been associated with harbouring legitimate firms, even if the status of the said broker will be labelled as offshore, which many traders see an a negative thing. Here as some of the most important new regulation that will take effect:

    - the SCB will be capping the leverage to 1:200, except for for crypotcurrencies. Crypto coin leverage will be taken with a case-by-case approach;

    - the commission will require a minimum of 0.5% margin;

    - the ban of binary options trading for retail clients;

    - interestingly, the SCB will be putting a restriction on certain marketing approaches, most notably cold calling and other similar aggressive tactics;

    - bonuses and similar incentives will be banned;

    - there will be a negative balance protection requirement;

    - the SCB will be requiring additional reporting for CFD transactions;

    - risk warnings will have to be included;

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  6. #1716
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    Mnuchin “Seriously Looking” At More Stimulus

    Is more stimulus on the way?

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  7. #1717
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    Powell Warns Of 'Significant Uncertainty' About Timing, Strength Of Recovery

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    Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged recent signs of improvement in the economy during congressional testimony on Tuesday but cautioned that "significant uncertainty remains about the timing and strength of the recovery."

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  8. #1718
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    International Monetary Fund - deeper recession for this year

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    The International Monetary Fund on Wednesday forecast a deeper recession for this year and a slower and uncertain recovery for next year after the coronavirus, or Covid-19, pandemic plunged the global economy into a crisis like no other. The global economy is set to shrink 4.9 percent this year, which is worse than the 3 percent contraction predicted in April, the lender said in an update to its World Economic Outlook.

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  9. #1719
    Senior Member mlawson71's Avatar
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    The Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) published an intriguing report concerning Australian consumer losses caused by scams in 2019. It accounted for USD $435.2 million in losses, equaling to AUD $624 million.

    The data was gather by Scamwatch, ANZ, Commonwealth Bank, NAB, Westpack, and other agencies.

    The 2019 losses saw a 34% increase as compared to 2018's AUD $489 million number. However, the increase of losses in 2019 does not mirror the number of scam reports made to Scamwatch that same period. In fact the agency saw a 5% decrease in reports in 2019, when compared to the previous year.

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