Last week, EUR/USD traded relatively in-line with our tempered expectations – the euro chopped around with little net effect for the week as the ECB-driven move from the Thursday before took time to digest. Overall, a second test of significant support held this past week, keeping sellers at bay for the time-being. Will one side or the other win-out in the days ahead, or will it be another week-long bout of choppy price action? The thinking in this corner is that there will be a little more ...
GBPUSD: Retail trader data shows 72.4% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 2.62 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-long since Apr 20 when GBPUSD traded near 1.41803; price has moved 7.0% lower since then. The number of traders net-long is 7.0% higher than yesterday and 4.5% higher from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 0.1% lower than yesterday and 14.2% lower from last week. We typically ...
On Thursday, the ECB's cautious stance on the removal of monetary stimulus sent EUR/USD down sharply, the biggest move in recent memory. This has price support running back to 2015 and the January 2017 trend-line squarely under assault again. The thinking on this end is that we will see some backing-and-filling in the days ahead as the market digests the impact of Thursday's outcome. This could make for less-than-ideal trading conditions ...
Lately, the DAX has been displaying messy price action, see-sawing back-and-forth with few clues as to what all the chop may mean. There is, however, one possibly bearish sequence developing should a lower-high maintain and continue along the path of building of a bear-flag. The bear-flag, if that is the eventual outcome, is arriving at an interesting spot given the underside parallel of the pattern is also the trend-line rising up from the March low. A break of the pattern would then have trend ...
There is a key zone of support from around 11730 down to 11660, which EURUSD held on several occasions during the latter part of last year. The euro was able to recapture this once strong level of support last week and will be our first zone to watch for a higher-low to develop. Should we see buyers step up in the aforementioned zone, we'll be look for at least one more thrust higher towards the 11900/12000-area. A successful test could ...
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