Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) has recovered well from the losses stemming from May 17. With DJIA printing above 21,078 late last week, it alters the pattern we were following some. Previously, we were looking for a small dip in price to offer a buying opportunity towards new highs. As we see below, the door is now opened for a slightly larger dip back towards 20,440. From an Elliott Wave perspective, we have the current wave higher ...
Our data shows a massive 83% of traders with open positions in the US 500 remain short, while positions on the Dow Jones-tracking ‘Wall Street’ contract stand at 85% short and FTSE 100 at a near-record 90% short. The major caveat is nonetheless simple: price and sentiment extremes are, by definition, only clear in hindsight. If we look at past incidences of such one-sided positioning it seems clear they precede key turning points: the ...