We are now trading at the top of a channel drawn with the same slope as the support that we had been focusing on throughout the 2016 rebound and into 2017 (rising trendline in black on the chart above) drawn from the first higher low off the rebound from the February low. While we remain Bullish due to fundamental and technical factors, there is a rising wedge pattern developing that should warrant attention. The rising wedge pattern has ...
Japanese Yen Q1 2017 Forecast - Japanese Yen Poised to Gain Further For Three Key Reasons Fundamental Analysis "The Bank of Japan started the year in fairly dramatic fashion as it cut its benchmark interest rate into negative territory, but the BoJ went on to disappoint those looking for further monetary policy easing through the rest of the year. This fact is especially surprising given that National Japanese Consumer ...
British Pound Q1 2017 Forecast - Pound to Chart Disparate Path vs. Major Currencies in Early 2017 Fundamental Analysis "Much of what happens to the British Pound in 2017 will depend on implementation of the outcome of the Brexit referendum. Markets will have ample fodder for speculation, from the formal initiation of the process pulling the UK out of the European Union and the subsequent negotiation to the indirect influence ...
Euro Q1 2017 Forecast - EUR/USD Enters 2017 Positioned for More Downside Fundamental Analysis "On the US Dollar’s side, the decision in December 2016 to signal three rates in 2017 – as opposed to the market-priced two ahead of the policy statement – has sent US Treasury yields higher. As a gauge of long-term growth and inflation expectations, the US Treasury yield curve steepening is a reflection of the market's belief ...
US Dollar Q1 2017 Forecast - Dollar Draws on Many Sources to Extend 14-Year High Fundamental Analysis "While the US economy is not on a runaway pace, it has nevertheless proven robust over the years while other major economies have wavered. In this environment where appetite for return is so prominent, a competitive economic pace can draw capital as readily as a central bank rate hike – and critically, more consistently. ...
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