The stock market’s reaction to the September rate cut was forecast in advance by the deterioration in the market internals. Expectations are high, after last week ISM Manufacturing Index, that we will see another rate cut at the end of the month, but will it really help the stock market? more...
Here are some of the more interesting trends to monitor in the market as 2019 progresses. 1. Relatively High Valuation Of The U.S. Market This trend has persisted for longer than many expected, but remains notable in a historical context. At the time of writing, the S&P 500 trades at a PE of 18x, with other metrics telling a similar story. That's high by historical standards. On the other hand, developed markets outside of the U.S. trade at around 12x earnings, closer to average. ...
Lately, the DAX has been displaying messy price action, see-sawing back-and-forth with few clues as to what all the chop may mean. There is, however, one possibly bearish sequence developing should a lower-high maintain and continue along the path of building of a bear-flag. The bear-flag, if that is the eventual outcome, is arriving at an interesting spot given the underside parallel of the pattern is also the trend-line rising up from the March low. A break of the pattern would then have trend ...
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