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Date : 4th January 2022.

Market Update – January 4 – USD & Tesla shine as Treasuries get hammered.

Treasuries were hammered to kick off 2022 action as bond bears were in full control, making this the worst start to a year since 2009. Sentiment remains positive, as markets continue to buy into the recovery story. Apple breached the $3 trillion market capitalization mark and TESLA shares rallied +13.5% after block buster deliveries. Sarah Raskin rumoured to be FED Vice Chair for Supervision, suggesting a tighter regime.

* USD (USDIndex 96.30) rallied at US open from 95.50 lows. US stocks hit new all-time highs & Yields lept higher as US Treasuries were slaughtered. USOil dipped under $74.00 before recovering & Gold sank to $1800.
* US Yields 10 yr rocked up to close at 1.62% and trade at 1.63% now
* Equities – USA500 +30 (+0.26%) at 4766, NASDAQ +1.2%; APPL +2.5%, FB +4.01%, ABNB +3.75%, PFE -4.06%, USA500 FUTS now 4795.
* USOil – slipped under $74.00 (rumours of 400k b/d production increase for Feb.) before recovering to $75.60 now ahead of OPEC+ meeting today.
* Gold – spiked down under $1800 from $1831 on open and trades at $1805 now.
* Bitcoin slipped again, down to 45,600, trades at 46,500 now.
* FX markets – EURUSD under 1.1300 at 1.1285, USDJPY moves higher, testing 115.80, Cable back under key 1.3500 at 1.3470.

Overnight – Strong Asian Manu.PMI’s (led by China & JPY) suggest initial Omicron impact on Q4 may be limited. German Retail sales beat significantly (0.6% vs -0.2%)

European Open – The March 10-year Bund future is down -14 ticks, underperforming versus US futures, although they are also in the red. DAX and FTSE 100 futures are posting gains of 0.3% and 1.1% respectively, the latter outperforming in catch up trade, as markets returned from the extended holiday weekend. US futures are up 0.2 to 0.3% and it seems overall sentiment remains positive, as markets continue to buy into the recovery story, which is also underpinning a rise in yields.

Today – German Unemployment, UK Manufacturing PMI Final, US ISM Manufacturing PMI, US JOLTS, JMMC/OPEC+ meetings.



Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) AUDJPY (+0.43%) Formed a base at 82.85 yesterday rallied on risk-on mood to 83.50 MAs aligned higher MACD signal line & histogram higher & above 0 line. RSI 59 & rising, H1 ATR 0.130 Daily ATR 0.76.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.

Stuart Cowell
Head Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Date : 5th January 2022.

Market Update – January 5 – Yields higher again, FED minutes in focus.


Trading Leveraged Products is risky

Treasuries continued under pressure as yields moved up supporting USD, Equities were mixed; Financials and Automaker’s (EV) rallied, US data (Jolts, & ISM Manu PMI’s) missed expectations, OPEC+ delivered production increase for February. Goldmans talked of $100k Bitcoin. US reported 1 million daily COVID cases, Israel says 4th dose effective at increasing antibodies, France discovers new variant with 46 mutations.

* USD (USDIndex 96.30) holds gains supported by higher yields – pressuring the YEN in particular. US stocks (Dow & S&P) hit new all-time highs but Nasdaq lost -1.33%.
* US Yields 10 yr rocked up to close at 1.668% trades at 1.64% now.
* Equities – USA500 -3 (+0.06%) at 4793 Ford (new 20-yr high) +11.67%, GM +7.47% TSLA -4.18%, USA500 FUTS now 4780.
* USOil – spiked over $77.00 trades at $76.75 now post OPEC+ big drawdown in private inventories –
* Gold – holds over $1800 significantly at 1813 now.
* Bitcoin holds over 45,000, trades at 46,400 now.
* FX markets – EURUSD recovered back to 1.1300, USDJPY new-5-yr high at 116.30 now 116.00, Cable back over 1.3500 at 1.3530.

Overnight – Tech stock in particular were under pressure in Asia from stronger USD & higher US yields.

European Open – The March 10-year Bund future is up 6 ticks, Treasury futures are outperforming, as stock markets started to correct from recent highs. Travel and tourism shares boosted indexes yesterday, but market sentiment started to turn overnight and DAX and FTSE 100 futures are down -0.2%.

Today – EZ & US Composite/Services PMI (Final), US ADP, FOMC minutes.



Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) AUDJPY (+0.43%) Formed a base at 82.85 yesterday rallied on risk-on mood to 83.50 MAs aligned higher MACD signal line & histogram higher & above 0 line. RSI 59 & rising, H1 ATR 0.130 Daily ATR 0.76.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Stuart Cowell
Head Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Date : 6th January 2022.

Market Update – January 6 – Hawkish Fed – Rate hikes on the way.


Trading Leveraged Products is risky

‘A “very tight” job market and unabated inflation might require the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates sooner than expected and begin reducing its overall asset holdings as a second brake on the economy, US central bank policymakers said in their meeting last month.’ – Reuters.

Stocks tanked, Yields spiked and the USD held firm as EM & commodity currencies sank.

* USD (USDIndex 96.30) holds gains supported by higher yields – pressuring the commodity complex in particular. US stocks tanked (Dow & S&P) down -1% & -1.94% respectively with NASDAQ losing 522 points -3.34%
* US Yields 10-yr rocked up to close at 1.70% trades higher again at 1.73% now.
* Equities – USA500 -96 (-1.94%) at 4700 TSLA -5.35%, AT&T +2.22%. As value stocks gained and growth stocks were hit the hardest, USA500 FUTS now 4691.
* USOil – spiked over $78.00 trades at $76.84 inventory drawdown not as big as expected and a big build in gasoline storage
* Gold – down to $1800 sagain after test & rejection of 1830.
* Bitcoin sinks under holds over 45,000, trades at 43,200 now.
* FX markets – EURUSD back to 1.1285, USDJPY off 5-yr highs under 116.00 at 155.90, Cable tested 1.3600 aback to test 1.3500 now.

Overnight – Chinese Services PMI’s & German Factory Orders both better than expected. Asian share followed US lower.

European Open – Risk-Off – The March 10-year Bund future is down -38 ticks, underperforming versus Treasury futures. Overnight and mounting concern of an accelerating tightening schedule in the US has been adding to pressure on stock markets overnight. DAX and FTSE 100 futures are currently posting losses of -1.5% and -1.4% respectively and US futures are down -0.3-0.6% with the NASDAQ future underperforming as tech stocks continue to struggle.

Today – Preliminary German inflation data for December, Eurozone PPI, final UK Services PMI, US Weekly Claims, ISM Services PMI and US Factory Orders.



Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) AUDJPY (-1.10%) RISK OFF Fed inspired tank to Sank to 82.90 from 84.34 yesterday. MAs aligned lower, MACD signal line & histogram lower & well below 0 line. RSI 16.06 and significantly OB, H1 ATR 0.1820 Daily ATR 0.8000.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Stuart Cowell
Head Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Date : 7th January 2022.

Market Update – January 7 – Yields dominate sentiment.


Trading Leveraged Products is risky

Risk aversion recedes – Stocks stabilize but it’s all about the Yields & sharp rise in short-term 2-yr in particular. USD softer again, Oil rallies, Gold & BTC sink again. Key FED hawk Bullard, talked of actual rate hikes as early as March & that inflation will remain over 3% for all of 2022. Claims missed a tad at 207k vs 200k but remain in strong downtrend, but Services PMI’s missed significantly (62 vs. 67 & 69.1 prior). Another Chinese real estate developer (Shimao) missed bond payments.

* USD (USDIndex 96.20) slips but holds gains supported by higher yields – pressuring the commodity complex in particular.
* US Yields 10-yr rocked up AGAIN to close at 1.733% trades at 1.72% now.
* Equities – USA500 -4.53 (-0.10%) at 4696 as value & cyclical stocks gained and growth stocks pressured. USA500 FUTS now 4700.
* USOil – has spiked over $79.00 trades at $79.75 – 3 key drivers – (i) further unrest in Kazakhstan (Govt removed cap on fuel & heating oils on Jan 1 – prices have rocketed & Russia have sent troops! (ii) Supply cuts in Libya & shutdowns in Canada (iii) Tight inventories.
* Gold – down under $1800 again to test support at $1788.
* Bitcoin sinks to test next support at 42,000 now.
* FX markets – EURUSD back to 1.1300, USDJPY under 116.00 at 115.85, Cable back to 1.3545 from 1.3500.

Overnight – JPY data – weaker, German Industrial Production missed.

European Open – The March 10-year Bund future is fractionally higher as are US Treasury futures. DAX and FTSE 100 futures are posting gains of 0.04% and 0.16% respectively. Markets are waiting for key US payroll numbers in the afternoon, which will be an important piece of the puzzle for the increasingly hawkish Fed. In Europe the calendar is also pretty busy with trade and production numbers for Germany, consumer spending data for France and preliminary inflation numbers and the latest ESI economic sentiment reading for the Eurozone. Overall the data is likely to support the hawkish camp at the ECB and after Lagarde committed to keep net asset purchases going for most of this year, it will likely become clear that the ECB is falling behind the curve, as Omicron is unlikely to derail the global recovery.

Today – UK Construction PMI, EZ CPI (Flash), Economic Sentiment, US & Canadian Labour Market Reports, Fed’s Barkin, Bostic & Daly.



Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) GBPAUD (+0.18%) Rallied from 1.8640 lows on Wednesday to 1.8940 now. MAs aligned higher, MACD signal line & histogram lower but well above 0 line. RSI 73 OB but still rising, H1 ATR 0.00198 Daily ATR 0.01000.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Stuart Cowell
Head Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Date : 10th January 2022.

Market Update – January 10 – Cautiousness ahead of US CPI.


Trading Leveraged Products is risky

Inflation worries and the Fed’s hawkishness prompted buying in shares like banks that usually perform well in a high interest rate environment, while high-growth stocks were routed. Share markets made cautious gains so far today as US jobs report giving the greenlight to investors to counted down to another US inflation reading that could well set the seal on an early rate hike from the Federal Reserve, lifting bond yields yet further. Going from uber-accommodation in November liftoff as soon as March, multiple rate hikes in 2022, and subsequent balance sheet shrinkage in a matter of two months spiked Treasury yields. Volatility in stocks jumped as investors repriced for the new conditions.

The explosion in coronavirus cases globally also threatens to crimp consumer spending and growth just as the Fed is considering turning off the liquidity spigots, tough timing for markets addicted to endless cheap money. – Reuters.

* USD (USDIndex 96.20) slips but holds gains supported by higher yields – 95.88 currently.
* US Yields 10-yr is coming off of its worst week in years thanks to the FOMC’s pivot to the hawkish side, and as government and corporate supply picks up. Key technical levels were also broken to exacerbate the selloff. It will be hard pressed to rally unless there are signs Omicron will take more of a toll on growth than currently anticipated, suggesting the FOMC will not need to boost rates as aggressively as feared.
* Equities – US equities closing in the red. USA100 had struggled at the end of last week, but frayed nerves have started to calm – for now – USA100 at 15664. USA500 at 50DMA below 4700. Tech stocks in Hong Kong rebounded, which saw the Hang Seng lifting 0.8%. Stock markets across Asia traded mixed, in quiet trade, with Japan on holiday today.
* USOil – held firm,sustaining last week’s gains at 78.70
* Gold – at $1794.
* FX markets – EURUSD corrected to 1.1341 amid broader pressure on the Euro, USDJPY rebounded to 115.75, Cable steady at 2-month high at 1.3590.

European Open – The March 10-year Bund future is down -13 ticks, US futures are posting similar losses, as yields continue to rise against the background of rising inflation and easing virus concerns. GER40 and UK100 futures are up 0.2%, as stock market sentiment improved at the start of the week.

Today – Central bank outlooks and virus developments will remain the focus of attention this week, with investors likely to keep a close eye on upcoming Fedspeak. For today though the calendar is pretty light on both sides of the Atlantic with only Eurozone unemployment and US Wholesale inventories are scheduled.



Biggest FX Mover @ (09:30 GMT) CADCHF (+0.33%) Rallied to 0.7289 extending to Decmber’s highs. MAs aligned higher, MACD signal line & histogram well above 0 line. RSI 75 OB but still rising.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Date : 11th January 2022.

Market Update – January 11 – Directionless Dollar Ahead of Powell.


Trading Leveraged Products is risky

Some of the more intense selling pressure seen so far in 2022 took a break this morning. Indeed, though Wall Street opened with sharp declines, the major indexes rebounded through the afternoon and the USA100 managed a modest 0.05% gain. The USA500 was -0.14% lower at the end of the day, while the USA30 lost -0.45%. Bonds traded mixed, as Treasury yields corrected slightly after the move higher in the wake of stronger than expected data yesterday.

Fed remarks: Little insight with no mention of the policy plans. Powell reiterated the economy is expanding at its fastest pace in many years and the labor market is strong, while facing “persistent supply and demand imbalances” with the resulting jump in inflation taking its toll. That outlook was the underpinning for the shift toward tightening policy sooner than later. He also stressed the Fed will use its tools to support the economy and the labor market.

* USD (USDIndex 95.82) slips from yesterday’s 96.22 high from temporary yields support.
* Goldman Sachs expects the Federal Reserve to raise rates four times this year, one more than previously forecast.
* US Yields 10-yr rose to an almost 2-year high above 1.8% overnight, but provided only muted support for the Greenback.- 1.759% currently.
* Today, treasuries cheapened further with the front end underperforming as more hawkish Fed bets were made on the heels of Goldman Sachs’ outlook. The advent of Chair Powell’s Senate Banking Committee hearing today has also added to the weakness amid uncertainties whether he would push back against the markets’ views on the FOMC and concomitant selloff. The upcoming $52 bln 3-year auction also weighed.
* Equities – in the red, with the USA100 leading the way USA100 at 15638. Topix and JPN225 lost -0.4% and -0.9%, the ASX corrected -0.8%, and mainland China bourses are also in the red, while the Hang Seng essentially moved sideways. GER30 and UK100 futures, however, are up 0.3%.
* USOil – up at 78.40.
* Gold – north for a 3rd day – at $1808.
* FX markets – EURUSD at 1.1334, USDJPY at 115.27, Cable steady at 1.3595.

European Open – The March 10-year Bund future is fractionally higher, underperforming versus Treasury futures. In cash markets US bonds have also found a footing after being pressured by stronger than expected data yesterday. The ECB is struggling to assure consumers that they are not blind to the uptick in inflation, although the central bank risks falling behind the curve.

Today – Fed Chair Powell’s testimony headlines today. Along with Powell, there is also Fedspeak from Mester and George (Bullard’s discussion on policy and the economy was postponed). The only data on tap is the NFIB small business optimism index. Wednesday brings the main event, CPI.



Biggest FX Mover @ (09:30 GMT) CADJPY (+0.33%) Rebounded to 91.13 reversing nearly half of this week’s losses. MAs currently flat, MACD signal line & histogram below 0 line. RSI 51, Stochastics started rising.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Date : 12th January 2022.

Market Update – January 12 – Not as hawkish as priced in.


Trading Leveraged Products is risky

Fed Powell, Mester and George, along with a 3-year auction added to the action in the markets. This saw yields pick up, and equities retreat. Commodities also caught a boost and oil touched pre-Omicron highs in Asia.

Powell confirmed the shift to normalization and stressed the Fed will fight inflation aggressively, but also indicated liquidity would not be pulled back anytime soon.

“FOMC would use its tool to ensure price pressures would not become entrenched, and would act aggressively if necessary.”.Fed Chair Powell said inflation could last into mid-2022 , while the Committee has not made any decisions on the timing of raising rates and allowing the balance sheet to shrink. He promised more clarity on that is coming soon.

* USD (USDIndex 95.50) – 6-weeks low on less hawkish Powell than expected, while data indicate more room for policy easing in China. –China CPI inflation slowed to 1.5% y/y in December from 2.3% y/y.
* Treasury yields are richer, with the US Yields 10-yr closing at 1.745%, and though the 2-year was only fractionally lower at 0.895%, it has managed to hold below the 0.90% level since March 2, 2020.
* Equities – a drop in rates, saw yields up and helped underpin Wall Street where the USA100 outperformed with a 1.4% gain for the day, its best since December 21. The USA500 rallied 0.92%, and the USA30 was up 0.5%. JPN225 rose about 2%. Equities moved higher in Japan and Australia, with tech leading the rise once again.
* BoJ’s Kuroda: “Japan’s inflation is set to accelerate gradually, and the Japanese economy is picking up as a trend.“
* Boeing and Salesforce.com led the USA30, while Illumina topped the USA500, up 14% after giving better 2022 revenue guidance. The energy sector rallied 3%, while utilities were down 1%.
* USOil – up at 81.06 & UKOIL at 83.98.
* Gold -spiked to $1823.
* BTC steady close to at $40,000 support.
* FX markets – EURUSD at 1.1360, USDJPY steady at 115.30, Cable at 2-month high at 1.3645. – UK overcoming a wave of COVID-19 cases led by Omicron & priced in a nearly 80% chance of BoE rate hike in February.

European Open – The GER30 future is up 0.3%, the UK100 future 0.6%, as markets remain in full risk on mood ahead of key US inflation data. Fed Chairman Powell yesterday seemed to provide some reassurance by sticking to the script. That will likely bring the German 10-year rate closer to lifting out of negative territory, as the ECB is still trying to reassure consumers that it is still committed to keeping inflation at bay, while at the same time trying to keep spreads in. A difficult balancing act that will get harder in the coming months.

Today – The December CPI headlines today. Results in line with forecasts would leave annual rates at a 7.0% y/y pace for the headline, a fresh 39-year high and besting that set in November at 6.8% y/y, and 5.4% y/y for the core versus 4.9% y/y, and a new 30-year high.



Biggest FX Mover @ (09:30 GMT) USDCAD (-0.10%) Pullback to 1.4268 extending to November’s low area. Fast MAs keep sliding lower, MACD signal line & histogram turned below 0 line. RSI 38 and sloping lower, Stochastics entered OS area.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Date : 13th January 2022.

Market Update – January 13.


Trading Leveraged Products is risky

Trading was lackluster on Wednesday and consolidative mid-week as the markets equilibrate to the new reality with the FOMC on the move to normalize. Sentiment has turned cautious again and Asian equity markets are narrowly mixed at the moment, with indices struggling to add to yesterday’s gain. Chinese tech stocks retreated after jumping yesterday and troubles at China’s property firms have come back in focus ahead of a wave of key payments.

* USD (USDIndex 94.80) – dips breaking the 2-months range – inflation ( the biggest jump since June 1982) didnt surprise and kept intact expectations for the Fed’s tapering or timeline for the first rate rise as early as March.
* US Yields 10-yr at 1.74%.
Chinese property developer Sunac China Holdings Ltd plans to raise HK$4.52 billion ($580.09 million) from a share sale for repayment of loans and general corporate purposes
* Real estate developers extend declines in afternoon trading amid a Bloomberg report that several of the nation’s biggest banks have become more selective about funding real estate projects by local government financing vehicles.
Equities -Topix and JPN225 meanwhile are down -0.7% and -1% respectively. The ASX managed to move up 0.5%, but Hang Seng and CSI 300 are down -0.07% and -1.4% respectively
* USOil – slips at 81.58 from 82.40 highs, after EIA inventory data showed fuel demand has taken a hit from Omicron.
* Gold -steady above $1820, as the US dollar and Treasury yields retreated after inflation data reinforced the need for quicker interest rate hikes.
* Prime Minister Boris Johnson apologised for attending a party in the Downing Street garden during a coronavirus lockdown.
* FX markets – EURUSD at 1.1449, USDJPY steady at 115.30, Cable at 1.3711,the pound generally supported amid signs that PM Johnson managed to survive yet another scandal.

European Open – The March 10-year Bund future is down -8 ticks, US futures are also lower. In cash markets the 10-year Treasury has pared earlier gains and is unchanged on the day at 1.74% at the moment. Stocks mostly corrected in Asia, with the rally in tech stocks running out of steam after a cautious close higher on Wall Street yesterday. Central bank moves and virus developments remain in focus and while GER30 and UK100 futures are posting fractional gains, U.S. futures are broadly lower.

Today – The data calendar today bring December PPI and weekly jobless claims. There are some ECB speakers scheduled.



Biggest FX Mover @ (09:30 GMT) NZDUSD (+0.44%) extends above R1, to 0.6880 high. Fast MAs alighed higher, with MACD rising, RSI at 74 and stochastics sloping northwards.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Date : 14th January 2022.

Market Update – January 14 – USD longs trimmed positions.


Trading Leveraged Products is risky

The market has well priced in elevated inflation and an all but assured March rate liftoff, hence taking in stride a record clip in core PPI at 8.3% y/y and the drop in continuing jobless claims to 1,559k, the lowest since before the pandemic. Markets trimmed long positions and deemed, for now, that several US rate hikes this year are fully priced in.

* USD (USDIndex 94.73) – found a floor above 94.50.
* US Yields 10-yr has lifted 2.0 bp to 1.72% overnight, as hawkish Fedspeak continued to fuel tightening speculation. – Fed Brainard acknowledged that she too could vote for a March rate hike.
* The Bank of Korea added to the hawkish tone by hiking the key rate to 1.25% from 1.00% and signalling that more moves could be on the way. Bank of Japan is deliberating how it can start telegraphing an eventual rate hike. – Yen on bid.
* China’s trade data showed a marked slowdown in both export and import growth.
* Equities – tightening speculation has put pressure on stocks. GER30 and UK100 are down -0.4%. USA100 dropped -2.5%, JPN225 corrected -1.3%.
* UK economy stronger than expected before Omicron. Monthly GDP data for November were a positive surprise, with a rise of 0.9% m/m that compensated somewhat for the disappointing October reading.
* USOil – at 81.68 after 80.75 bottom, amid concerns on Chinese fuel demand & whether US government will act to cool oil prices.
* Gold & Silver – best weekly rise since November – remains however below the key $1835 barrier.
* FX markets – EURUSD at 1.1482, USDJPY down at 113.63, Cable at 1.3725.

European Open – The March 10-year Bund future is down -6 ticks, broadly in line with moves in Treasury futures, while both the Schatz and the 30-year futures outperformed. The UK already signalled that virus measures will be relaxed further in coming weeks, which will add to the arguments of the hawkish camp at the BoE.

Today – Headlining is the ECB Lagarde speech and US December retail sales report.



Biggest FX Mover @ (09:30 GMT) AUDJPY (-0.40%) breaks below 20-day SMA at 82.60 (50-DMA). Fast MAs aligned lower, with MACD lines negatively configured, RSI at 36 but stochastics pointing higher suggesting correction.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

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Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Date : 17th January 2022.

Market Update – January 17 – USD Holds onto gains.


Trading Leveraged Products is risky

Big bank Earnings disappointed on Friday, the USD recovered from 8-week lows and Fedspeakers continued to worry about inflation as hawkish tones increased. Stocks recovered early losses, Yields moved up to close the week as Oil moved up and Gold moved down. China’s PBOC delivered the first rate cut in a while as signs of slow down persist and Covid cases once again spread.

* USD (USDIndex 95.20) holds on to gains from Friday. Bouncing from 8-week lows under 94.60.
* US Yields 10-yr moved higher again to close at 1.772%.
* Equities – USA500 +3.82 (+0.08%) at 4662 as Financials weighed following Earnings from JPM (-6.15%) Blackrock (-2.19%) and WFC (+3.68) Tech & Energies lead recovery into long weekend. USA500 FUTS lower at 4652.
* USOil – Spiked over $84.00 as markets look beyond Covid spikes with very tight supply.
* Gold – settled at $1816 from a test of 1830 again. Now at $1822.
* Bitcoin support once again at $42,000, Friday, back to 42,800 now.
* FX markets – EURUSD back to 1.1465, USDJPY now 114.40 at 115.85, Cable back to 1.33680.

Overnight – Chinese GDP and industrial production exceeded expectations, whilst retail sales disappointed. UK house price data from the Nationwide was strong. The Chairman of Credit Suisse has resigned due to Covid breaches.

Week Ahead A Bank of Japan meeting which concludes on Tuesday, UK inflation data on Wednesday and Australian jobs figures on Thursday. Earnings from GS, BAC, MS, P&G, Netflix

European Open – The March 10-year Bund future is down -36 ticks, alongside broad losses in US futures, which points to a further rise in yields across Europe. Stock market futures are trading mixed, with DAX and FTSE 100 futures posting gains of 0.4% and 0.2% respectively, while an 0.4% decline in the NASDAQ is leading US futures lower. Central bank outlooks and inflation expectations remain in focus, the Fed is gearing up for a round of central bank hikes this year that will also impact the outlook for BoE and ECB amid hopes that the pandemic phase of Covid-19 will start to fade.

Today – Little data from Europe & All US markets closed for MLK Day.



Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) CADJPY (+0.34%) Rallied from 90.50 lows on Friday to 91.37 (Fridays high) now. MAs aligned higher, MACD signal line & histogram higher & above 0 line. RSI 64 & rising, H1 ATR 0.121 Daily ATR 0.794.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Stuart Cowell
Head Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.