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Forex Technical/Fundamental Analysis & Forecast by RoboForex

This is a discussion on Forex Technical/Fundamental Analysis & Forecast by RoboForex within the Analytics and News forums, part of the Trading Forum category; Brent gains momentum: China and OPEC+ are changing the rules of the oil market Brent crude prices are recovering after ...

      
   
  1. #481
    Senior Member Vlad RF's Avatar
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    Brent gains momentum: China and OPEC+ are changing the rules of the oil market

    Brent crude prices are recovering after a decline, with quotes testing the 65.40 USD level. Discover more in our analysis for 7 October 2025.

    Brent technical analysis

    Having tested the lower Bollinger Band, Brent prices formed a Hammer reversal pattern on the H4 chart. At this stage, the market is developing a growth wave following this signal.



    Overall, Brent crude dynamics on 7 October 2025 remain moderately positive.

    Read more - Brent Forecast

    Attention!
    Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

    Sincerely,
    The RoboForex Team

  2. #482
    Senior Member Vlad RF's Avatar
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    US 30 forecast: the index hit a new all-time high and entered a correction

    After reaching a new all-time high, the US 30 index has begun to decline, although the overall trend remains upward. The US 30 forecast for today is positive.

    US 30 forecast: key trading points

    • Recent data: US services PMI (preliminary) came in at 54.2 in September
    • Market impact: the data has a moderately positive effect on the stock market

    Fundamental analysis

    The US services PMI for October 2025 stood at 54.2, slightly above the forecast of 53.9 but marginally below the previous reading of 54.5. A PMI reading above 50.0 indicates an expansion in business activity in the service sector, which remains the primary driver of the US economy. A stronger-than-expected reading signals steady demand and positive sentiment among businesses, supporting expectations of moderate economic growth without signs of overheating. For the equity market, such data is generally viewed positively, as it confirms the resilience of corporate earnings and overall economic activity.

    However, the slight decline compared to the previous month may be interpreted as a sign that the economy is gradually stabilising after a phase of robust expansion. This reduces overheating concerns but may also temper excessive investor optimism. For the US 30 index, the PMI results are moderately positive.

    RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

    Attention!
    Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.


    Sincerely,
    The RoboForex Team

  3. #483
    Senior Member Vlad RF's Avatar
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    Weak Japanese data supports USDJPY growth

    The USDJPY rate continues a steady upward movement, supported by weak economic data from Japan and uncertainty surrounding the BoJ’s policy direction. The rate currently stands at 152.96. Find out more in our analysis for 9 October 2025.

    USDJPY technical analysis

    The USDJPY rate continues to move within an ascending channel and has consolidated above the upper boundary of a Triangle pattern. Prices are hovering above the Moving Average, confirming ongoing buying pressure and opening the door for further growth.



    The USDJPY rate continues to show bullish sentiment amid weak economic data from Japan and the BoJ’s cautious stance, further pressuring the yen.

    Read more - USDJPY Forecast

    Attention!
    Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

    Sincerely,
    The RoboForex Team

  4. #484
    Senior Member Vlad RF's Avatar
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    USDJPY rises to the 153.00 area

    The USDJPY rate is on the rise, climbing to around 153.00 following the recent elections in Japan. Discover more in our analysis for 10 October 2025.

    USDJPY forecast: key trading points

    • Market focus: Japan’s PPI rose by 0.3% in September
    • Current trend: upward momentum persists
    • USDJPY forecast for 10 October 2025: 154.00 or 152.00

    Fundamental analysis

    The pair continues its upward trajectory after Sanae Takaichi won Japan’s election for the position of prime minister, reinforcing expectations of increased fiscal spending and a dovish monetary policy stance.

    Takaichi stated that the Bank of Japan would conduct policy independently while aligning with government objectives, adding that she aims to avoid excessive yen weakening, although her comments failed to support the currency. Markets now estimate the likelihood of a BoJ rate hike in December at less than 50%, with expectations shifting towards March next year.

    RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

    Attention!
    Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.


    Sincerely,
    The RoboForex Team

  5. #485
    Senior Member Vlad RF's Avatar
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    Gold gains support from geopolitical risks

    XAUUSD is rising amid increasing geopolitical tensions and expectations of further monetary easing by the Federal Reserve, currently trading at 4,073 USD. Find more details in our analysis for 13 October 2025.

    XAUUSD technical analysis

    XAUUSD prices continue to move within an upward channel. Buyers maintain control after breaking above the 4,050 USD resistance level, confirming the ongoing bullish momentum. The XAUUSD price forecast suggests a correction towards 4,060 USD, followed by a renewed rise targeting 4,120 USD.



    The technical and fundamental backdrop for XAUUSD indicates a steady upward momentum and retains a strong potential for continued growth towards 4,120 USD after a short-term correction.

    Read more - Gold Forecast

    Attention!
    Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

    Sincerely,
    The RoboForex Team

  6. #486
    Senior Member Vlad RF's Avatar
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    Gold (XAUUSD) soars above 4,100 USD

    XAUUSD prices continue to strengthen, setting a new all-time high around 4,170 USD amid ongoing US dollar weakness. Find more details in our analysis for 14 October 2025.

    XAUUSD forecast: key trading points

    • Market focus: the US government shutdown continues
    • Current trend: trending upwards
    • XAUUSD forecast for 14 October 2025: 4,250 or 4,100

    Fundamental analysis

    XAUUSD prices exceeded 4,100 USD per ounce, setting a new all-time record amid escalating trade tensions between the US and China and growing expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut.

    Gold’s rally intensified after President Donald Trump reignited trade disputes with Beijing, fuelling concerns among investors and driving demand for safe-haven assets. Traders are now pricing in a 97% likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut in October and fully expect another reduction in December.

    RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

    Attention!
    Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.


    Sincerely,
    The RoboForex Team

  7. #487
    Senior Member Vlad RF's Avatar
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    GBPUSD consolidates above 1.3300

    The GBPUSD rate climbed above 1.3300 despite mixed data on UK wage growth. Find out more in our analysis for 15 October 2025.

    GBPUSD technical analysis

    On the H4 chart, the GBPUSD pair shows strong upward momentum, holding firmly above 1.3300. The Alligator indicator is directed upwards and steadily growing, so the upward movement may continue.



    The GBPUSD pair has turned upwards and firmly consolidated above 1.3300.

    Read more - GBPUSD Forecast

    Attention!
    Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

    Sincerely,
    The RoboForex Team

  8. #488
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    EURUSD maintains bullish momentum amid political uncertainty in the US

    The EURUSD rate continues to strengthen amid US dollar weakness and expectations of further Federal Reserve policy easing, currently standing at 1.1659. Find out more in our analysis for 16 October 2025.

    EURUSD forecast: key trading points

    • The US government shutdown continues into its third week, delaying the release of key macroeconomic data
    • Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell noted signs of labour market weakness, reinforcing expectations for a rate cut this month
    • Markets anticipate another cut in December and three more next year

    Fundamental analysis

    The EURUSD rate is rising for the third consecutive session, showing a steady recovery after a prolonged correction. Buyers defended the 1.1550 level, increasing the likelihood that the downtrend has ended and a bullish impulse is underway. The US dollar remains under pressure from ongoing trade tensions between the US and China, the prolonged government shutdown, and expectations of further monetary easing by the Federal Reserve.

    The shutdown, now entering its third week, has delayed the publication of crucial economic reports that could influence policy decisions. In his latest remarks, Jerome Powell highlighted signs of labour market weakness, strengthening investor expectations for a rate cut this month, followed by another in December and three additional cuts in 2026.

    RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

    Attention!
    Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.


    Sincerely,
    The RoboForex Team

  9. #489
    Senior Member Vlad RF's Avatar
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    US dollar weakness opens the way for AUDUSD growth

    US industrial stagnation gives AUDUSD a chance to rise towards 0.6530. Find out more in our analysis for 17 October 2025.

    AUDUSD technical analysis

    On the H4 chart, the AUDUSD rate tested the lower Bollinger Band and formed a Hammer reversal pattern. At this stage, prices may develop a corrective wave following this signal, with the target for the pullback at the 0.6530 resistance level.



    The AUDUSD forecast for 17 October 2025 suggests a potential partial recovery of the Australian dollar.

    Read more - AUDUSD Forecast

    Attention!
    Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

    Sincerely,
    The RoboForex Team

  10. #490
    Senior Member Vlad RF's Avatar
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    DE 40 forecast: the index continues to decline

    The DE 40 stock index remains under pressure, although the pace of decline slowed significantly at the end of last week. The DE 40 forecast for today is negative.

    DE 40 forecast: key trading points

    • Recent data: Germany’s PPI decreased by 0.5% in September 2025
    • Market impact: the data creates a mixed backdrop for the German stock market

    Fundamental analysis

    Germany’s latest Producer Price Index (PPI) for September showed a 0.5% month-on-month decline, compared to an expected fall of just 0.1%. This indicates that price pressure at the producer level is easing faster than anticipated. For the stock market, this is a crucial signal on two fronts – capital cost (interest rate expectations) and corporate earnings (balance between demand and costs). If the decline in PPI persists alongside a deterioration in leading indicators such as PMI and industrial orders, the market may need to revise its revenue forecasts – a clear risk for cyclical stocks.

    For the DE 40 index, the short-term baseline scenario points to a moderately positive reaction. However, the medium-term trajectory will depend on whether leading indicators such as PMI, industrial orders, and exports confirm a sustained weakness in demand. Conversely, if data shows that the PPI drop is temporary and not systemic, while orders remain stable, there will be more room for growth.

    RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

    Attention!
    Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.


    Sincerely,
    The RoboForex Team

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