Forex Technical/Fundamental Analysis & Forecast by RoboForex

Gold (XAUUSD) continues its rally: Fed rate outlook provides support

Gold (XAUUSD) prices stand at 3,550 USD by the end of the week. Pressure on the Fed is opening new opportunities for the precious metal. Find more details in our analysis for 5 September 2025.

XAUUSD forecast: key trading points

• Gold (XAUUSD) prices continue to climb, hitting new record highs
• Expectations of more aggressive Federal Reserve rate cuts provide strong support for gold
• XAUUSD forecast for 5 September 2025: 3,564 and 3,578

Fundamental analysis

Gold (XAUUSD) rose to 3,550 USD per ounce on Friday and remains near record highs, showing a weekly gain of over 3%. Support for the metal comes from expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and increased demand for safe-haven assets.

Weakness in the labour market – falling job vacancies, rising layoffs, and an increase in initial jobless claims to a two-month high – has strengthened expectations of Fed easing. The market is now pricing in not only a September rate cut but also up to three moves by the end of the year. This is favourable for gold, as lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding a non-yielding asset.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

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Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

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The RoboForex Team

Brent prices recover after collapse – can oil break above the 70.00 USD level?

A moderate increase in output agreed by OPEC+ could drive Brent quotes higher towards 67.50 USD. Find more details in our analysis for 9 September 2025.

Brent technical analysis

Having tested the lower Bollinger Band, Brent prices formed a Harami reversal pattern on the H4 chart. At this stage, the market is following the signal with a recovery wave.



Brent crude remains in a zone of uncertainty: restrained growth on the back of OPEC+’s limited decision is countered by risks of price decline.

Read more - Brent Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

US 30 forecast: the uptrend continues, but resistance has not yet been broken

After reaching a new all-time high, the trend in the US 30 index remains unstable. The US 30 forecast for today is positive.

US 30 forecast: key trading points

• Recent data: the US PMI for August came in at 55.5
• Market impact: for US equities, this result signals a cautious investor sentiment

Fundamental analysis

The US unemployment rate stood at 4.3% in line with market forecasts but above 4.2% in July. From a macroeconomic perspective, this indicates a gradual cooling of the labour market: a moderate rise in unemployment eases wage pressure and reduces service-sector inflation. In terms of financial conditions, this is generally favourable, as expectations of a softer monetary policy path increase, Treasury yields tend to decline, and funding costs for companies decrease. At the same time, the fact that unemployment is rising points to a slower pace of economic growth.

For the US 30, the signal is mixed. If markets interpret the figure as evidence of a soft landing, we may see a short-term improvement in risk appetite driven by lower yields and stronger expectations of Fed easing. However, if focus shifts to risks for growth momentum, the index could show a more restrained performance given its heavy weighting in cyclical sectors.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

AUDUSD consolidates above 0.6600 ahead of US inflation data

The AUDUSD rate shows moderate growth, consolidating above the 0.6600 mark. Today, the market focus is on the US CPI data. Discover more in our analysis for 11 September 2025.

AUDUSD technical analysis

The AUDUSD pair is showing steady growth after rebounding upwards from the daily support level at 0.6420. The Alligator indicator is pointing upwards, confirming the bullish price momentum. The key resistance level is the high at 0.6635.



AUDUSD quotes are moderately rising, consolidating above the 0.6600 level.

Read more - AUDUSD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

CPI will decide everything: XAUUSD balances between correction and a new all-time peak

Amid weak US economic indicators, gold (XAUUSD) may test the 3,700 USD mark. Find out more in our analysis for 12 September 2025.

XAUUSD technical analysis

On the H4 chart, XAUUSD prices formed a Hanging Man reversal pattern near the upper Bollinger Band. At this stage, it is completing a corrective wave following the signal from the pattern. Considering that XAUUSD quotes remain within an ascending channel and given geopolitical factors, the uptrend will likely continue.



Gold is balancing on the edge of an explosion.

Read more - Gold Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

DE 40 forecast: the index moves into a sideways channel

The DE 40 stock index has entered a sideways channel. The DE 40 forecast for today is positive.

DE 40 forecast: key trading points

• Recent data: the ECB key interest rate remains at 2.15% per annum
• Market impact: for the German equity market, this signals no additional borrowing cost pressure, which is seen as a stabilising factor

Fundamental analysis

The ECB decision to keep rates unchanged at 2.15% signals status quo in monetary policy. For the DE 40 index, this reduces short-term uncertainty and helps form a neutral sentiment among investors.

The financial sector, including banks and insurance companies, faces limited margin growth potential as lending yields remain stable. Industrial companies and exporters benefit from favourable financing conditions, which support investment in production and external trade. The consumer sector also gains indirect support: unchanged rates keep credit conditions affordable, sustaining household demand.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

Fed, BoJ and political chaos: the fate of USDJPY is being decided right now

Political instability in Japan and the Fed’s policy are shaping USDJPY behaviour, with quotes possibly surging to 147.70. Discover more in our analysis for 16 September 2025.

USDJPY technical analysis

On the H4 chart, the USDJPY pair tested the upper Bollinger Band and formed a Shooting Star reversal pattern, now trading near 147.00. At this stage, the pair may extend its corrective wave in line with the pattern signal, with a potential move down towards the support level around 146.60.



The USDJPY pair remains close to 147.00, balancing between political uncertainty in Japan and expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut.

Read more - USDJPY Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

US 30 forecast: the uptrend continues, resistance remains unbroken

After reaching a new all-time high, the US 30 index trend remains unstable. The US 30 forecast for today is positive.

US 30 forecast: key trading points

• Recent data: the US core CPI rose 3.1% year-on-year in August
• Market impact: the current reading may have a mixed effect on the US equity market

Fundamental analysis

The US core CPI for August 2025 showed growth of 3.1% year-on-year, matching analysts’ forecasts and remaining unchanged from the previous month. This reflects persistent inflationary pressure in the economy, excluding volatile food and energy categories.

The index’s stability at above 3% highlights that inflation remains higher than the Federal Reserve’s long-term target of around 2%. This signals to markets the need to maintain tight monetary policy. For US stocks, the data sets a neutral-to-restrained tone: on the one hand, the lack of deterioration (no sharp inflation spike) reduces the risk of aggressive Fed tightening, but on the other hand, inflation staying above target caps expectations of an imminent policy easing.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

AUDUSD struggles under weak labour market signals

The AUDUSD pair slipped to 0.6648, with the Australian dollar pressured by employment data. Find out more in our analysis for 18 September 2025.

AUDUSD technical analysis

On the H4 chart, the AUDUSD pair shows a downward correction after testing the 0.6707 resistance level. The recent trading range is narrowing.



The AUDUSD pair is correcting amid fundamental data.

Read more - AUDUSD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

USDJPY steady: volatility fades, but risks remain

The USDJPY pair has stabilised around 148.00. Although inflation data improved slightly, market tension remains. Find more details in our analysis for 19 September 2025.

USDJPY forecast: key trading points

• The USDJPY pair recouped losses and is stabilising
• The market awaits the Bank of Japan’s decision and assesses fresh inflation data
• USDJPY forecast for 19 September 2025: 148.26

Fundamental analysis

The USDJPY rate is consolidating at 148.00 on Friday amid expectations of the Bank of Japan decision. The market generally expects the key rate to remain at 0.5%, although the likelihood of a 25-basis-point hike in October is gradually increasing amid economic resilience.

Core inflation in Japan slowed to 2.7% in August, the lowest since November 2024. The decline is mainly due to the resumption of government subsidies for electricity and gas, as well as price adjustments for food products. At the same time, the rise in rice prices remains the main factor of inflationary pressure: in August, the price increased by 68.8% year-over-year, following jumps of almost 100% in June and 90.7% in July.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team