Forex Technical/Fundamental Analysis & Forecast by RoboForex

US 500 forecast: index hits a new all-time high

US 500 approached a resistance level and may enter a downward correction before resuming its upward movement. The forecast for US 500 today remains positive.

US 500 forecast: key trading points

• Recent data: US Leading Economic Index (LEI) for June declined by 0.3%
• Market impact: This is a negative signal for equities, as the LEI consists of 10 components reflecting future economic activity

Fundamental analysis

The US Leading Economic Index (LEI) dropped by -0.3% in June, compared to expectations of -0.2% and a flat reading the previous month. The decline in the LEI serves as a warning of a potential slowdown in economic activity over the next 6–12 months. While the drop isn’t critical, it signals a weakening growth momentum in the US economy. This could limit risk appetite in the stock market and strengthen expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts.

The decline in the LEI, against already subdued expectations, supports a more cautious approach. In the short term, investors may rotate from cyclical into defensive sectors. If signs of slowing growth persist, this could increase the likelihood of more accommodative monetary policy, potentially supporting the tech sector.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

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Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

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The RoboForex Team

JP 225 forecast: the index has entered a sideways channel

The JP 225 stock index has formed a sideways channel within an overall uptrend. Today’s JP 225 forecast is positive.

JP 225 forecast: key trading points

• Recent data: Japan’s core CPI came in at 3.3% in June
• Market impact: this signals slower price growth, which may positively affect the Japanese stock market

Fundamental analysis

Japan’s core Consumer Price Index (core CPI) for July 2025 stood at 3.3% year-on-year, below the forecast of 3.4% and the previous reading of 3.7%. Lower inflation reduces pressure on the Bank of Japan to tighten monetary policy. This creates a positive environment across most sectors. Consumer companies stand to benefit the most, as the risk of falling real incomes lessens. Technology and export-oriented firms also benefit, since weak inflation increases the likelihood of continued accommodative monetary policy.

The financial sector, on the other hand, may be at a disadvantage because easing inflation reduces the odds of interest rate hikes, thus capping banks’ margin growth. Meanwhile, the construction and real estate segments may gain support amid expectations of continued low borrowing costs.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

EURUSD declines after ECB decision

The EURUSD rate corrected towards the 1.1730 area following the ECB's decision to keep interest rates unchanged. The market awaits the outcome of trade agreement negotiations between the US and the EU. Find out more in our analysis for 25 July 2025.

EURUSD technical analysis

On the H4 chart, EURUSD is undergoing a downward correction, falling this morning to the 1.1730 area, with further decline towards the 1.1700 support level possible. The daily trend for the pair remains upward, so after the correction ends, the rally may continue.



The EURUSD pair corrected to the 1.1730 area following the ECB’s decision to leave rates unchanged.

Read more - EURUSD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

USDJPY climbs above 148.00, Fed and Bank of Japan rate decisions in focus

The USDJPY pair is moderately strengthening, rising above 148.00 ahead of this week’s key monetary policy decisions from the Bank of Japan and the US Federal Reserve. Find out more in our analysis for 28 July 2025.

USDJPY forecast: key trading points

• Market focus: this week, attention turns to interest rate decisions by the Bank of Japan and the Federal Reserve
• Current trend: upward momentum persists
• USDJPY forecast for 28 July 2025: 149.18 or 147.00

Fundamental analysis

The Japanese yen is weakening moderately following trade agreements with the US. This week, the market will focus on the monetary policy decisions from the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. The Fed is expected to keep rates unchanged on Wednesday, although markets will be closely watching for signals on a possible rate cut in September.

The Bank of Japan will announce its policy decision on Thursday. Rates are also expected to remain unchanged amid ongoing concerns about the economic impact of US trade tariffs. However, the central bank is likely to revise its inflation forecast upwards in its quarterly outlook, reflecting persistent price pressures.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

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Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

Brent prices jump towards 70.00 USD as trade tensions ease

Brent prices are on the rise, reaching the 70.00 USD area amid a trade agreement between the US and the EU. Discover more in our analysis for 29 July 2025.

Brent forecast: key trading points

• Market focus: today, the spotlight is on US crude oil inventory data from the American Petroleum Institute (API)
• Current trend: trading within a broad sideways range
• Brent forecast for 29 July 2025: 70.70 or 67.20

Fundamental analysis

Oil prices are moderately rising, supported by the US-EU trade deal that introduces a 15% tariff on most European goods. This agreement reduces fears that new tariffs could weigh on global economic growth and energy demand.

Today, market focus shifts to the US oil inventory data from the API. An increase in stockpiles may pressure Brent prices, while a decline could offer support.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

GBPUSD at 20 May low: no support from economic data

The GBPUSD pair dipped to 1.3357 on Wednesday as weak PMI data and a strong US dollar pressured the pound. Discover more in our analysis for 30 July 2025.

GBPUSD technical analysis

On the H4 chart, the GBPUSD pair remains under pressure, trading in a downtrend. After failing to consolidate above 1.3589, the pair reversed and reached a local low around 1.3300 by 30 July – its lowest level since the start of the month.



The GBPUSD pair has fallen to its lowest since 20 May and appears weak.

Read more - GBPUSD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

JP 225 forecast: the index enters a sideways channel

The JP 225 stock index is completing a downward correction within a broader uptrend. The JP 225 forecast for today is positive.

JP 225 forecast: key trading points

• Recent data: Tokyo core CPI in Japan preliminarily came in at 2.9% year-on-year in July
• Market impact: inflation falling below expectations may positively impact the stock market, as it reduces the likelihood of the Bank of Japan tightening monetary policy

Fundamental analysis

The Tokyo core CPI reflects inflation dynamics in Tokyo and serves as an important gauge of inflationary trends across Japan’s economy. The current reading of 2.9% is below both the previous value of 3.1% and the forecast of 3.0%. This indicates that inflationary pressure is easing, which could significantly influence the Japanese stock market, including the JP 225 index.

Inflation falling below expectations may boost the stock market as it lowers the likelihood of the Bank of Japan tightening its monetary policy. Investors may interpret this as a sign that the BoJ will continue with a loose monetary stance (low interest rates), which typically supports equities. However, the central bank has previously indicated plans to raise the key rate instead.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

EURUSD takes a breather: news supports the US dollar

The EURUSD pair has paused around 1.1416 as the market continues to favour the US dollar. Discover more in our analysis for 1 August 2025.

EURUSD technical analysis

On the H4 chart, the EURUSD pair consolidates near 1.1415, holding the local support level at 1.1399. After breaking below the 1.1550-1.1505 area in late July, the downward move accelerated, with recovery attempts remaining weak.



After a sharp drop, the EURUSD pair appears to have lost direction for the moment.

Read more - EURUSD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

USDJPY plunges, Bank of Japan remains silent, while US industrial sector hits negative records

The USDJPY outlook is at a tipping point. With US economic indicators pressuring the dollar, a rally towards 149.00 is possible. Find out more in our analysis for 4 August 2025.

USDJPY forecast: key trading points

• US factory orders: previously at 8.2%, projected at -4.9%
• Current trend: upward impulse remains possible
• USDJPY forecast for 4 August 2025: 149.00

Fundamental analysis

The release of actual US employment data triggered a USD sell-off. After testing the 150.00 level, the USDJPY rate dropped significantly and currently trades around 147.00.

Japan’s Ministry of Finance expressed concern over increased yen volatility and sharp rate swings. However, the Bank of Japan believes the current JPY exchange rate does not influence inflation, indirectly hinting that a yen intervention is unlikely in the near term. The central bank also suggests that a change in interest rates is improbable anytime soon.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

Gold (XAUUSD) rises towards the 3,400 USD area

XAUUSD prices continue to strengthen, taking advantage of the weaker dollar after disappointing US Nonfarm Payrolls data. Find more details in our analysis for 5 August 2025.

XAUUSD technical analysis

XAUUSD prices are rising after reversing upwards from the daily low at 3,268 USD. The Alligator indicator has also turned upwards, suggesting the possibility of continued upward movement after a brief correction.



Gold has surged towards the 3,400 USD area amid dollar weakness following disappointing US labour market statistics.

Read more - Gold Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team