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Analytics News and Market Forecast

This is a discussion on Analytics News and Market Forecast within the General Discussion forums, part of the Trading Forum category; A proper and detailed market analysis can help a trader to recognize how he can react to the market situations ...

      
   
  1. #931
    Senior Member Taylor Woods's Avatar
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    A proper and detailed market analysis can help a trader to recognize how he can react to the market situations and how he can ensure right trade execution decisions for him. It is not that no more than analysis can help a trader. A foreign currency exchange trader must develop the required expertise where he can arrive at decisions after understanding the nature of the market by analyzing all essential aspects.

  2. #932
    member mql5's Avatar
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    Practical Use of Kohonen Neural Networks in Algorithmic Trading. Part I. Tools

    The subject of Kohonen neural networks was approached to in some articles on the mql5.com website, such as Using Self-Organizing Feature Maps (Kohonen Maps) in MetaTrader 5 and Self-Organizing Feature Maps (Kohonen Maps) - Revisiting the Subject. They introduced readers to the general principles of building neural networks of this type and visually analyzing the economic numbers of markets using such maps.


    However, in practical terms, using Kohonen networks just for algorithmic trading has been confined with only one approach, namely the same visual analysis of topology maps built for the EA optimization results. In this case, one's value judgment, or rather one's vision and ability to draw reasonable conclusions from a picture turns out to be, perhaps, the crucial factor, sidelining the network properties regarding representing data in terms of nuts-and-bolts matters.


    In other words, the features of neural network algorithms were not used to the full, i.e., they were used without automatically extracting knowledge or supporting decision making with specific recommendations. In this paper, we consider the problem of defining the optimal sets of robots' parameters in a more formalized manner. Moreover, we are going to apply Kohonen network to forecasting economic ranges. However, before proceeding to these applied problems, we should revise the existing source codes, get something fixed, and make some improvements.


    It is highly recommended to read the above articles first, if you are not familiar with the terms such as 'network', 'layer', 'neuron' ('node'), 'link', 'weight', 'learning rate', 'learning range', and other notions related to Kohonen networks. Then we will have to saturate ourselves in this matter, so re-teaching the basic notions would lengthen this publication significantly.
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  3. #933
    Senior Member TheNews's Avatar
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    Dow Jones, US Dollar, Crude Oil, Earnings, Euro, EU Summit: Week Ahead

    The Dow Jones and S&P 500 rose last week despite the US accumulating a grand total of 22 million jobless claims over the course of four weeks. This is the equivalent of wiping out the progress in employment gains since the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis. While the haven-linked US Dollar saw some weakness, its downside progress has notably slowed.

    Sentiment-linked crude was unable to capitalize on the rise in stocks as OPEC estimated oil demand dropping to a 30-year low. Meanwhile the growth-linked Australian Dollar cautiously rose despite China’s economy shrinking 6 percent y/y in the first quarter which was a historical downturn. Markets were able to look forward to slowing virus case growth globally.

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  4. #934
    Senior Member TheNews's Avatar
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    US Dollar Forecast: Fed Says No to NIRP, China Tension Flares

    US Dollar outlook appears increasingly positive in consideration of fundamental developments that occurred over the last few trading sessions. USD price action edged higher post-Powell after the Federal Reserve Chair reiterated the central bank’s stance against using negative interest rate policy, or NIRP.

    Analytics News and Market Forecast-dxy-w1-alpari-international.png


    Along with several other Federal Reserve officials, Fed Chair Powell spoke out against the idea of adopting negative interest rates in the United States as a channel of monetary stimulus. In response to recent Fed rhetoric, the US Dollar churned higher considering forward rate guidance from Powell was relatively less dovish than hoped by market participants.

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