Analytics News and Market Forecast

W1 price is located below 200 period SMA (200-SMA)and below 100 period SMA (100-SMA) for the primary bearish with secondary ranging between Fibo support level at 1077.20 and Fibo resistance level at 1232.41:
The price is ranging between Fibo support level at 1077.20 and Fibo resistance level at 1232.41;
100-SMA crossed 200-SMA from above to below for the bearish trend to be continuing;
If weekly price will break Fibo resistance level at 1232.41 so the price will start to be reversed to the bullish trend;
If weekly price will break Fibo support level at 1077.20 so the primary bearish will be continuing;


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Some analytics are predicting for the Federal Reserve to rise the rates in September, some of them are expecting it in December or in the first half of 2016. So, when do you believe the Fed will raise rates?
1. Howard Simons, President of Rosewood Trading Inc.: "They will raise rates, probably in September, possibly in December, by 25 bp and then say they were sorry and it will not happen again for a long time."
2. Pete Thomas, Sr. Vice President of Zaner Precious Metals: "If we raise the rate by a quarter this year and another quarter in the first period of next year, I foresee the euro at 107—a survivable amount of damage—and the rate of return at a half of a percent at the federal lending window."


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W1 price is located above 200 period SMA (200-SMA) and 100 period SMA (100-SMA) for the primary bearish with secondary ranging between Fibo resistance level at 125.85 and Fibo support level at 116.13:

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W1 price is below 200 period SMA (200-SMA) and below 100 period SMA (100-SMA) for the primary bearish ranging between Fibo resistance at 0.8166 and Fibo support at 0.7039:
The price is ranging between Fibo support level at 1077.20 and Fibo resistance level at 1232.41;
If weekly price will break Fibo support at 0.7039 so the primary bearish will be continuing, otherwise - ranging;
"The zone between .7085 and .7165 marks a nice confluence of the 61.8% retracement of the 2001 – 2011 advance, the 78.6% retracement of the 2008 “Global Financial Crisis” low and 2011 high, the measured move of 2011 to early 2014 decline as well as a trendline connecting the secondary low in 2001 and the 2008 bottom."
"Traction over .7200 would start to change things, but for now we’d need to see a close north of .7415 to get more excited about the upside. A close sub .7085 increases the risk a downside acceleration."


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Ichimoku analysis.
Weekly price is on bullish market condition for the breakdown which was started in the previous week on open weekly bar: the price is crossing 18905 support level from above to below for the secondary correction, and Chinkou Span line is crossing the price to below for good breakdown to be continuing and with 18495 and 16515 as two bearish targets. Absolute Strength indicator is estimating the secondary correction to be continuing.
Pivot Points.
The price is breaking R1 YR1 pivot from above to below for Central Pivot at 16483 as the next target. If the price crosses Central Pivot so we may see the global reversal of NIKKEI 225 Index to the primary bearish market condition.
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H4 price is located near and above Ichimoku cloud for primary bullish market condition. The price is on breakdown now for trying to cross Ichimoku cloud with 1.1202 support level located in the bearish area of the chart. If the price crosses 1.1202 level so we may see the reversal of the price movement to the primary bearish on intra-day basis.
Chinkou Span line crossed the price from above to below for the breakdown to be continuing.
The price is crossing Ichimoku cloud/kumo and Sinkou Span line (which is the virtual border between the primary bullish and the primary bearish on the chart) for possible reversal of the price movement to the primary bearish condition.
The nearest key resistance level is 1.1466.
The nearest key support level is 1.1202.


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Ichimoku analysis.
Weekly price is located above Ichimoku cloud for the primary bullish market condition: the price is on secondary correction for trying to break 4575.0 support level together with Ichimoku cloud to come to the bearish area of the chart. If the price breaks 4575.0 support so we may see the reversal to the bearish market condition, if the price breaks 5267.5 resistance level so the bullish trend will be continuing.
Pivot Points.
The price is breaking R1 YR1 pivot at 4637 from above to below for Central Pivot at 4210 as the next target. If the price crosses Central Pivot so we may see the global reversal of CAC 40 Index to the primary bearish market condition.
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Ichimoku analysis.
Weekly price is on breakdown: Chinkou Span broke the price from above to below, and the price is breaking Ichimoku cloud and 1963.97 support level for the breakdown to be continuing. If this 1963.97 level is broken so the price will start to be reversed to the primary bearish market condition on weekly chart with 1727.90 as a next bearish target.
Pivot Points.
The price is breaking Central Pivot at 1963.05 to come to the bearish area of the chart. If this YR1 Central Pivot is broken so the S&P 500 will be in total bearish market condition with S1 Pivot at 1832.78 as the next real target.
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Morgan Stanley made some technical analysis for EUR/JPY using 10-Year EUR/JPY Chart, 2-Year Chart and 90-Day chart, and they made a conclusion about bearish for this pair with some important levels to be mantioned.
10-Year Chart:
"We believe EURJPY traded a major top at the 149.78 level at the end of last year, completing a major b wave rally. This implies that a major C wave decline is now developing. Still within the early stages of this C wave decline, EURJPY is starting to develop a series of impulsive bearish structures."
2-Year Chart:
"Indeed, the substructure from the 149.78 peak has completed the 1st wave lower, followed by a second wave correction. EURJPY is now entering a 3rd wave decline, we believe, of the anticipated 5-wave structured C wave down. This is usually the sharpest part of the structure and often provides attractive risk/reward for positioning."


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Ichimoku analysis.
Weekly price is on bearish breakdown for 10005.5 key support level crossing from above to below. The price is reversed to the bearish market condition by breaking the borders of Ichimoku cloud with 9214.0 as the next bearish target.
Pivot Points.
R1 YR1 Pivot at 10453 level was broken by price by close weekly bar. The price is on breakdown with Central Pivot at 9400 as the next reversal target. If the price breaks this YR1 PP at 9400 from above to below so we may see the reversal of the price movement to the primary bearish market condition.
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