The Euro recoiled from twelve-month down trend resistance against the US Dollar, validating earlier signs of ebbing upside momentum. Confirmation of a larger top implying continuation downward is still pending however as prices test the bounds of the short-term uptrend. A daily close below trend line support at 1.0934 opens the door for a test of the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at 1.0862. Alternatively, a break above major resistance at ...
Traders hoping to gain an understanding of the LT direction of the USD would do well to keep an eye on the Trendline connecting higher lows since 2014. Currently, DXY is showing good Trendline support over the longer-term near 98.50. The test of the 3-year Trendline aligns with long-term seasonality studies where DXY has risen in 9 of the past ten years. However, recent momentum in past months have been disappointing DXY bulls, and the EUR is a key reason why DXY fails to gain upside traction. ...
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