The barriers are the January-March line and 2016 trendline. A move on either side of these lines (daily close) ideally ushers in the next directional move.” The drop below the line indicates a potentially major trend change. If DXY bounces, then pay attention to the underside of the line (99.50s) for resistance. more...
USD/JPY has broken higher by nearly 4% from the April 17 low at 108.13. If you look at the chart below, you can see that the price was already extended lower and a rebound was due. Since then, we’ve had a run higher in specific risky assets like equity and an unwind of bearish EUR positions, which has lifted EUR/JPY higher by ~6.3% in the sametimeframe that USD/JPY has moved higher by ~4%. Thursday will provide the April Bank of Japan ...
No change to Cable, which has flat-lined since the breakout. A minor reaction following a breakout indicates a strong market. Additional sideways trade can’t be dismissed but realize that the reaction low after the breakout is 1.2755. That low represents a re-test of the December high (former resistance providing support…which is bullish). more...
The primary initiator of the move were French elections over the weekend; as this weekend’s election results ushered-in a return of risk tolerance. And with this return of risk tolerance came another bump-higher in equities, a bump-lower in Gold prices, and another leg of weakness for the Japanese Yen. The bullish move in EUR/JPY extended on Tuesday to cross-above the pivotal ¥120.00 level; but another level/zone of resistance is showing ...
While OPEC may be winning in their battle to balance the global Oil market, it is not necessarily happening on the timeframe they would prefer. Naturally, it is not helpful that Shale production is at its highest levels since 2015. The U.S. Shale resurgence coupled with OPEC’s supply management continues to provide hope for Oil bulls. While Crude dropped ~3% on Wednesday, there is also likely to be volatility on expiration-position squaring is occurring ...
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