"USD: EM and G10 Divergence. Bullish. We remain USD bulls but recognize that USD could see some correction against EUR in the near term as European yields head higher on the back of reflationary signs. This could spill over to mild weakness against other G10, but we remain bullish against EM. Higher volatility will reduce the attraction of EM carry, particularly as core yields rise across the board, narrowing interest rate differentials. In the medium term, we still expect USD to be ...
Article summary: Widening divergences in interest rate forecasts and the reality that volatility cannot continue to tread levels this low for much longer has traders on edge and looking for opportunity. US Dollar Will Settle for Euro As Recovery Driver in Absence of Volatility The most effective means for leveraging a significant rally from the US Dollar is for a shock to resonate through the global financial system. Yet, hoping for volatility is just that – hope. ...
Japanese Yen to Eyes Range Support on Less-Dovish BoJ The USD/JPY may continue to consolidate in the week ahead as it retains the wedge/triangle formation from earlier this year, but the Bank of Japan (BoJ) interest rate decision may heighten the appeal of the Yen. British Pound at Important Risk of Reversal Ahead of Key Data The British Pound finished the week almost exactly where it began, but key UK employment data releases on the calendar promise bigger moves ...
Aussie Dollar at Risk as US Data, FOMC Minutes Hurt Risk Trends Fundamental Forecast for Australian Dollar: Bearish Lull in Australian Economic News-Flow Puts Spotlight on External Catalysts Upbeat US Data, Hawkish FOMC Minutes to Hurt Aussie Amid Risk Aversion Another quiet week on the Australian economic data front keeps the spotlight on external factors, with the evolving outlook for Federal Reserve ...
Gold at Risk for Major Break Next Week- FOMC Policy Outlook in Focus Fundamental Forecast for Gold: Neutral USDOLLAR, Gold Setups Target Key Resistance- Breakouts Pending Gold Oscillates Around 200 Day Average Gold prices are marginally higher this week with the precious metal inching up 0.18% to trade at $1291 ahead of the New York close on Friday. Bullion has held a tight range for some time now ...