Forex Technical/Fundamental Analysis & Forecast by RoboForex

Investors buy USDJPY ahead of BoJ policy decisions

The USDJPY pair continues to strengthen amid ongoing political uncertainty and expectations of the upcoming Bank of Japan meeting, currently trading at 151.56. Find out more in our analysis for 21 October 2025.

USDJPY technical analysis

The USDJPY pair continues its upward trajectory after breaking above the upper boundary of a Head and Shoulders reversal pattern. Buyers have confidently held the price above the 151.00 resistance level, confirming a sustained bullish momentum.



Political uncertainty in Japan and investor focus on the upcoming Bank of Japan meeting continue to drive demand for the US dollar.

Read more - USDJPY Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

US 30 forecast: the index recovers from the decline and renews its all-time high

Volatility in the US 30 index remains elevated, with the trend reversing upwards once again. The US 30 forecast for today is positive.

US 30 forecast: key trading points

• Recent data: the US federal budget balance came in at 198 billion USD
• Market impact: the data has a moderately positive effect on the equity market

Fundamental analysis

The latest US federal budget data for October 2025 showed a surplus of 198 billion USD, far exceeding both the forecast of 42.3 billion USD and the previous figure of -345 billion USD. This improvement in the budget balance signals strong revenue inflows from tariffs, which could have a mixed macroeconomic impact on US equities. On the one hand, a positive budget balance reduces the government’s borrowing needs, which can ease pressure on Treasury yields – a development typically seen as supportive for the stock market.

For the US 30 index, the short-term reaction is likely to be moderately positive: a stronger fiscal position boosts confidence in the sustainability of public finances and reduces sovereign debt risks. However, in the medium term, the trajectory of the index will depend on whether investors interpret this surplus as a sign of underlying economic strength or not.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

Brent awakens: oil prices rise amid new sanctions

Brent crude oil prices are once again recovering and trading near 64.20 USD per barrel. Find more details in our analysis for 23 October 2025.

Brent technical analysis

On the H4 chart, Brent quotes tested the lower Bollinger Band and formed a Hammer reversal pattern. They are currently following the signal in the form of an upward wave.



Despite ongoing risks of global oversupply, Brent crude shows signs of recovery.

Read more - Brent Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

Gold (XAUUSD) pulls back after strong rally

XAUUSD prices declined to around 4,100 USD following last week’s sharp rally, when a new all-time high at 4,380 USD was reached. Find more details in our analysis for 24 October 2025.

XAUUSD forecast: key trading points

• Market focus: investors await the outcome of US-China trade talks on tariffs
• Current trend: moderately correcting
• XAUUSD forecast for 24 October 2025: 4,380 or 4,000

Fundamental analysis

XAUUSD quotes fell by more than 5% this week, marking the largest intraday drop in five years. The sell-off coincided with significant outflows from gold-backed ETFs, which posted their largest one-day decline in assets in five months.

Nevertheless, gold remains up approximately 55% year-to-date, supported by ongoing trade tensions, with trade talks between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping taking centre stage next week. Geopolitical risks remain elevated following the new US sanctions on Russia, aimed at pressuring Moscow to negotiate a ceasefire in Ukraine.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

USDCAD falls below 1.4000

The USDCAD rate has slipped below the key 1.4000 level amid a corrective pullback, as markets anticipate an upcoming interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve. Discover more in our analysis for 27 October 2025.

USDCAD technical analysis

On the H4 chart, the USDCAD pair continues to move lower within its ongoing correction phase. The broader daily trend remains bullish, suggesting that after the current pullback, the pair could resume its upward trajectory.



The USDCAD pair has slipped below the psychologically significant 1.4000 level.

Read more - USDCAD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

Brent forced to reassess its outlook

Brent crude prices have slipped to 65.86 USD per barrel as the market reacts swiftly to changing headlines and shifting sentiment. Details — in our analysis for 28 October 2025.

Brent forecast: key trading points

• Brent continues to decline and may enter a sideways range.
• Rapid changes in news flow are forcing investors to reassess the outlook.
• Brent forecast for 28 October 2025: 64.00 and 63.50.

Fundamental analysis

On Tuesday, Brent crude oil fell for the third consecutive session, dropping to 64.86 USD per barrel amid growing concerns of oversupply following signals from OPEC+ about a potential output increase.

According to sources, at the upcoming Sunday meeting, members of the alliance are expected to discuss a moderate production hike for December, with Saudi Arabia reportedly pushing to regain lost market share.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

USDJPY extends gains following central bank decisions

The USDJPY pair maintains its upward momentum amid the ongoing monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. The rate currently stands at 153.05. Discover more in our analysis for 30 October 2025.

USDJPY technical analysis

The USDJPY pair continues to recover after rebounding from the lower boundary of its ascending channel. Prices remain above the EMA-65, confirming bullish momentum and sustained buying interest.



The combination of the BoJ’s dovish stance and the Fed’s cautious tone continues to support demand for the US dollar.

Read more - USDJPY Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

Gold (XAUUSD): volatility eases, but demand persists

Gold (XAUUSD) remains volatile around 4,010 USD. While risk sentiment has improved, investor interest in the precious metal persists. Find more details in our analysis for 31 October 2025.

XAUUSD forecast: key trading points

• Reduced geopolitical risk is weighing on gold (XAUUSD)
• October ends on a positive note, with gold up roughly 50% year-to-date
• XAUUSD forecast for 31 October 2025: 4,045

Fundamental analysis

Gold (XAUUSD) prices have retreated to around 4,010 USD per troy ounce, marking the second consecutive week of losses. The metal remains under pressure due to shifting expectations around the timing of future Federal Reserve rate cuts and news of the US-China trade truce.

The two countries reached a one-year agreement on rare earth metals and strategic resources. Donald Trump announced a 10% reduction in tariffs on fentanyl-related products, while Beijing pledged to curb mining output and resume imports of US soybeans. However, the long-term stability of the deal remains uncertain.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

EURUSD weekly forecast: pressure on the euro increases

The Fed lowered interest rates, while the ECB left its rate unchanged. The contrast in their rhetoric set the tone for the currency market this week. A December rate cut by the Fed is not guaranteed – this strengthened the dollar and increased pressure on the euro.

EURUSD technical analysis

On the daily chart, the EURUSD pair continues to trade within a narrow range after an extended decline, holding around 1.1560. Since late August, the pair has hovered between 1.1530 and 1.1730, reflecting a consolidation phase and the absence of a clear trend.



The EURUSD pair is consolidating around 1.1560 after a volatile week.

Read more - EURUSD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

US 30 forecast: the index enters a correction, but the uptrend remains intact

The uptrend in the US 30 index remains strong, suggesting the potential for another all-time high. The US 30 forecast for today is positive.

US 30 forecast: key trading points

• Recent data: US ISM manufacturing prices for October came in at 58.0
• Market impact: the data has a moderately positive effect on the equity market

Fundamental analysis

The ongoing US government shutdown has now become the longest in history after the Senate once again failed to pass a funding bill yesterday. Meanwhile, the ISM manufacturing prices index came in at 58.0, below the forecast of 62.4 and the previous reading of 61.9. This means that prices paid by manufacturers for raw materials and components are still rising (as the index remains above 50.0), but the pace of growth has slowed significantly and fallen short of expectations. This is effectively a disinflationary signal from the manufacturing sector.

For the US 30 index, the data is moderately positive. Large industrial companies benefit from easing cost pressures and potentially lower discount rates. However, the short-term reaction will depend on whether investors interpret the data as primarily disinflationary or as a sign of weaker end demand.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team