Forex Technical/Fundamental Analysis & Forecast by RoboForex

Gold (XAUUSD) continues its rally: Fed rate outlook provides support

Gold (XAUUSD) prices stand at 3,550 USD by the end of the week. Pressure on the Fed is opening new opportunities for the precious metal. Find more details in our analysis for 5 September 2025.

XAUUSD forecast: key trading points

• Gold (XAUUSD) prices continue to climb, hitting new record highs
• Expectations of more aggressive Federal Reserve rate cuts provide strong support for gold
• XAUUSD forecast for 5 September 2025: 3,564 and 3,578

Fundamental analysis

Gold (XAUUSD) rose to 3,550 USD per ounce on Friday and remains near record highs, showing a weekly gain of over 3%. Support for the metal comes from expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and increased demand for safe-haven assets.

Weakness in the labour market – falling job vacancies, rising layoffs, and an increase in initial jobless claims to a two-month high – has strengthened expectations of Fed easing. The market is now pricing in not only a September rate cut but also up to three moves by the end of the year. This is favourable for gold, as lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding a non-yielding asset.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

Brent prices recover after collapse – can oil break above the 70.00 USD level?

A moderate increase in output agreed by OPEC+ could drive Brent quotes higher towards 67.50 USD. Find more details in our analysis for 9 September 2025.

Brent technical analysis

Having tested the lower Bollinger Band, Brent prices formed a Harami reversal pattern on the H4 chart. At this stage, the market is following the signal with a recovery wave.



Brent crude remains in a zone of uncertainty: restrained growth on the back of OPEC+’s limited decision is countered by risks of price decline.

Read more - Brent Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

US 30 forecast: the uptrend continues, but resistance has not yet been broken

After reaching a new all-time high, the trend in the US 30 index remains unstable. The US 30 forecast for today is positive.

US 30 forecast: key trading points

• Recent data: the US PMI for August came in at 55.5
• Market impact: for US equities, this result signals a cautious investor sentiment

Fundamental analysis

The US unemployment rate stood at 4.3% in line with market forecasts but above 4.2% in July. From a macroeconomic perspective, this indicates a gradual cooling of the labour market: a moderate rise in unemployment eases wage pressure and reduces service-sector inflation. In terms of financial conditions, this is generally favourable, as expectations of a softer monetary policy path increase, Treasury yields tend to decline, and funding costs for companies decrease. At the same time, the fact that unemployment is rising points to a slower pace of economic growth.

For the US 30, the signal is mixed. If markets interpret the figure as evidence of a soft landing, we may see a short-term improvement in risk appetite driven by lower yields and stronger expectations of Fed easing. However, if focus shifts to risks for growth momentum, the index could show a more restrained performance given its heavy weighting in cyclical sectors.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

AUDUSD consolidates above 0.6600 ahead of US inflation data

The AUDUSD rate shows moderate growth, consolidating above the 0.6600 mark. Today, the market focus is on the US CPI data. Discover more in our analysis for 11 September 2025.

AUDUSD technical analysis

The AUDUSD pair is showing steady growth after rebounding upwards from the daily support level at 0.6420. The Alligator indicator is pointing upwards, confirming the bullish price momentum. The key resistance level is the high at 0.6635.



AUDUSD quotes are moderately rising, consolidating above the 0.6600 level.

Read more - AUDUSD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

CPI will decide everything: XAUUSD balances between correction and a new all-time peak

Amid weak US economic indicators, gold (XAUUSD) may test the 3,700 USD mark. Find out more in our analysis for 12 September 2025.

XAUUSD technical analysis

On the H4 chart, XAUUSD prices formed a Hanging Man reversal pattern near the upper Bollinger Band. At this stage, it is completing a corrective wave following the signal from the pattern. Considering that XAUUSD quotes remain within an ascending channel and given geopolitical factors, the uptrend will likely continue.



Gold is balancing on the edge of an explosion.

Read more - Gold Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team