Forex Technical/Fundamental Analysis & Forecast by RoboForex

US Tech forecast: the index continues to rise, but correction risks grow

The uptrend in the US Tech stock index has shifted into a downward correction. The US Tech forecast for next week is negative.

US Tech forecast: key trading points

• Recent data: the US manufacturing PMI preliminarily came in at 53.3 in August
• Market impact: this data strengthens expectations for overall economic momentum, which may be viewed positively by equity investors

Fundamental analysis

The US manufacturing PMI reached 53.3 points in August 2025, significantly above the forecast of 49.7 and the previous reading of 49.8. A PMI reading above 50 indicates an expansion in manufacturing activity. This result signals that the industrial sector is in a growth phase with increasing demand for goods.

Although PMI directly relates to industrial production, its positive reading indirectly impacts the high-tech sector. Rising manufacturing activity requires more automation, digitalisation of processes, and the use of advanced technologies. This boosts demand for semiconductor products, cloud services, software, and industrial robotics. As a result, the tech-heavy index may find additional support.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

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Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

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The RoboForex Team

USDCAD under pressure: dovish Fed and strong CAD weigh on USD

US monetary policy easing supports the CAD. After completing its correction, the USDCAD pair may decline towards the 1.3770 support level. Discover more in our analysis for 25 August 2025.

USDCAD technical analysis

On the H4 chart, the USDCAD pair formed a Hammer reversal pattern near the lower Bollinger Band. At this stage, the pair is building a corrective wave based on this signal. Since quotes remain within an ascending channel, a rebound towards the nearest resistance level at 1.3860 is possible.



US fundamentals remain unfavourable for the USD. USDCAD technical analysis suggests a decline after the correction.

Read more - USDCAD Forecast

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Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

US 500 forecast: after rebounding from support, the index aims to hit its new all-time high

The US 500 remains in an uptrend, with quotes poised to break above the resistance level. The US 500 forecast for today is positive.

US 500 forecast: key trading points

• Recent data: US initial jobless claims came in at 235 thousand last week
• Market impact: this has a dual effect on the US stock market

Fundamental analysis

US initial jobless claims stood at 235 thousand last week, above the forecast of 226 thousand and the previous reading of 224 thousand. The rise in claims indicates some weakening of the labour market. Higher applications may signal a slowdown in economic activity.

Signs of labour market cooling can ease pressure on the Federal Reserve to tighten monetary policy further, supporting expectations of stable or even lower interest rates. For the US 500, this data may trigger a mixed reaction in the short term. The technology and growth sectors may benefit, as they gain from prospects of looser monetary policy, while consumer-focused sectors may come under pressure due to expectations of weaker purchasing power.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

Gold (XAUUSD) rises to the 3,400 USD area

XAUUSD prices continue to strengthen, climbing to the 3,400 USD area amid dollar weakness driven by US President Trump’s pressure on the Fed. Discover more in our analysis for 27 August 2025.

XAUUSD technical analysis

XAUUSD prices are on the rise after rebounding from the 3,300 USD area. The Alligator indicator has turned upwards, confirming potential continuation of the uptrend after a minor correction.



Gold confidently rose to the 3,400 USD area amid ongoing dollar weakness.

Read more - Gold Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

JP 225 forecast: the uptrend continues, but a short-term correction is possible

The JP 225 index hit a new all-time high and then entered a correction. The JP 225 forecast for today is negative.

JP 225 forecast: key trading points

• Recent data: Japan’s core inflation rate for July rose by 3.1% year-on-year
• Market impact: market reaction may range from neutral to moderately negative

Fundamental analysis

Japan’s national core CPI came in at 3.1% year-on-year, compared to a forecast of 3.0% and the previous reading of 3.3%. The indicator shows that inflation remains above the Bank of Japan’s 2.0% target, although it continues to ease from earlier levels. While risks of persistent inflation remain, the pressure is gradually declining.

For the JP 225, this reading may have a mixed effect. On one hand, slower inflation versus the previous month reduces the risk of abrupt monetary tightening and supports risk appetite. On the other hand, a reading above forecast keeps alive the possibility of rate hikes, limiting equity revaluation. Overall, the effect for the JP 225 is neutral to moderately negative in the short term, as expectations for higher rates and bond yields increase.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

EURUSD: everything is complicated, dynamics depend on US data

The EURUSD pair is hovering near 1.1660. The market is weighing US GDP data and awaiting the key PCE report. Find more details in our analysis for 29 August 2025.

EURUSD technical analysis

The EURUSD H4 chart shows volatile sideways dynamics. The pair is trading within the 1.1581-1.1742 range, where the lower boundary acts as support and the upper as key resistance. In the middle, the 1.1628 level stands out as an intermediate balance point, repeatedly tested in August.



The EURUSD pair may break out of its sideways range based on US statistics.

Read more - EURUSD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

DE 40 forecast: the index enters a downtrend within the correction phase

The growth momentum of the DE 40 index has slowed. The DE 40 forecast for today is positive.

DE 40 forecast: key trading points

• Recent data: Germany’s unemployment rate for July 2025 stood at 6.3%
• Market impact: this supports consumer stocks

Fundamental analysis

Germany’s unemployment rate for August 2025 came in at 6.3%, in line with both forecasts and the previous reading. The stability of the indicator confirms that the German labour market remains resilient despite internal and external economic challenges. For the German stock market, this stability is highly significant. A steady unemployment rate points to sustained household demand, which underpins domestic consumption.

For the DE 40, the impact of this figure varies by sector. The financial sector reacts positively to labour market stability as it reduces credit risks. Industrial companies and exporters benefit indirectly since steady domestic demand can offset fluctuations in external markets. The consumer sector also stands to gain as stable employment supports household solvency and drives demand for goods and services.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

AUDUSD in correction: a pause needed before the next growth wave

The AUDUSD pair declined to 0.6540. Australian statistics remain highly mixed. Find more details in our analysis for 2 September 2025.

AUDUSD technical analysis

The AUDUSD H4 chart shows a strong rebound after the decline in the second half of August. Quotes reached the 0.6550-0.6560 area, from where a minor correction is observed. Support forms at 0.6500-0.6520, while resistance is located around 0.6565-0.6570, where local highs are clustered.



The AUDUSD pair entered a mild correction after five days of growth.

Read more - AUDUSD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

USDJPY rally: yen avoids risk

The USDJPY pair surged to 148.80, with political imbalance weighing on the yen outlook. Find out more in our analysis for 3 September 2025.

USDJPY forecast: key trading points

• The USDJPY pair is rising rapidly
• The market is monitoring political issues and pricing in these risks
• USDJPY forecast for 3 September 2025: 148.90

Fundamental analysis

The USDJPY rate climbed to 148.80 midweek. The yen reached a one-month low amid political uncertainty in Japan.

Hiroshi Moriyama, secretary of the ruling party and close ally of Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba, announced his resignation. This fueled speculation about Ishiba’s potential departure, with pressure mounting after his election defeat. Among possible successors is Sanae Takaichi, known for her support of low interest rates.

Meanwhile, Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino emphasised on Tuesday that the central bank will continue to raise rates gradually but noted the persistence of elevated global risks. This signals no urgency in tightening policy.

Investors now await fresh wage data, which should provide additional signals on the future course of monetary policy.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

Gold (XAUUSD) corrects after a sharp rally

XAUUSD prices are moderately declining after a strong rally and a new all-time high at 3,578 USD. Today, the market focus is on US employment data from ADP. Find more details in our analysis for 4 September 2025.

XAUUSD technical analysis

XAUUSD prices show a sharp rally on the daily chart, hitting a new all-time high at 3,578 USD. The Alligator indicator is also confidently trending upwards, suggesting the potential for continued bullish movement after a minor correction.



Gold is moderately correcting after a sharp rally and a new all-time high at 3,578 USD.

Read more - Gold Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team