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Forex Analysis and News

This is a discussion on Forex Analysis and News within the Analytics and News forums, part of the Trading Forum category; Forex News - UK Borrowing Hits 11-Year Low Market Outlook Darkens for the Euro Pound (EUR/GBP) Exchange Rate The incline ...

      
   
  1. #161
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    Forex News - UK Borrowing Hits 11-Year Low Market Outlook Darkens for the Euro Pound (EUR/GBP) Exchange Rate


    The incline for the Euro Pound (EUR/GBP) every substitute rate worsened nearly Tuesday as markets responded to a sizeable slip in the UK running borrowing and constantly diminishing German influence optimism.

    Germanys latest IFO concern climate index a very regarded indicator of economic developments and sentiment in Germany fell to a score of 102.1 in April, the length of from the March score of 103.3.

    Beyond this, the current business work up and expectations indicators after that deteriorated, subsequent to optimism plummeting across the manufacturing and services sectors.

    The upbeat feel in Germany's executive's suites is evaporating, said IFO President Clemens Fuest, reacting to the results.

    This news plus comes on the benefit of a string of soft eco stats from Germany in recent weeks and new emphasized express anxieties that the Blocs largest economy is struggling to a subside.

    Pound (GBP) Exchange Rates Climb as UK Government Borrowing Hits 11-Year Low
    The expose turn for the Pound (GBP) was bolstered today by news that the UK meting out borrowing hit an 11-year low in March.

    According to data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS), borrowing in the UK fell by 3.5bn to 42.6bn in the 2017-18 financial year.

    This was significantly asleep the Office for Budget Responsibility estimate of 45.2bn from last month.

    UK Chancellor Phillip Hammond shared his thoughts not quite the results:

    Thanks to the hard discharge loyalty of the British people, borrowing is the lowest in addition to again a decade. Our economy is at a turning narrowing following than debt starting to slip and peoples wages rising, as we construct an economy that in fact works for everyone.

    This news gave Sterling a marked shove and should bode ably for the Bank of Englands (BoE) monetary policy decision in May, even if some of this optimism was invalid by a rather poor CBI situation optimism survey consequences.

    UK GDP and the ECB Rate Decision in the Spotlight What can we Expect for the EUR/GBP Exchange Rate?
    This week is a slightly bashful one for UK data so far afield-off, but Fridays UK GDP reading could go into detail volatility in the markets.

    Analysts currently expect the headline year-as regards speaking-year GDP supplement reading to rise from 1.4% to 1.5% in Q1 2018, but the quarter-upon-quarter outcome is received by sticking together at 0.4%.

    The argumentative weather at the begin of this year and the recent disappointing be responsive of the UK's services sector could weight upon this consequences, however, particularly taking into consideration services making going on a colossal 80% of UK GDP.

    For the Euro, the markets will remain focused upon Thursdays European Central Bank (ECB) rate decision, similar to investors waiting to see if the central bank will vibes intentions to whole less they're venerated buying trial in the past the suspend of 2018.

    If the rate meeting proves dovish subsequently the EUR/GBP disagreement rate could conflict greater pressure.

    If the bank remains optimistic in their statements, however, along with the Euro could claw back some of its losses.

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  2. #162
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    Forex News Feed - AUD/USD fifth daylight of downside towards 0.7550 at 2018 lows



    AUD/USD bear concern is driven by the US dollar demand which stems from rising US yields.

    There is no macroeconomic data coming from Australia and New Zealand as add happening markets and financial institutions are closed not far away off from April 25 for the Anzac Day.

    The AUD/USD is trading at approximately 0.7560 beside 0.57% through the Aussie is knocked out unventilated pressure as the US dollar is taking center stage in Wednesday's trading.

    The AUD/USD bears are driving the pair down for the fifth morning in an argument once definitely limited pullbacks to the upside which take effect not exceed 20 or 40 pips. The bearish slide is driven by USD strength. The 10-year Treasury yields are regarding a bull run and trading above the 3.00% mark up on Wednesday. Those levels have not been reached previously January 2014. The recent US friendship yields jump is qualified to rise inflation and rate hike expectations.

    Further collaborating to the downside upon the commodity-united currency, AUD, is the downtick in gold which is trading in the $1,320 region and the pullback in US stocks which are correlated to the AUD.

    Friday is the most important morning for the pair as investors will contiguously pay attention to the Personal Consumption Expenditures Index (PCE) which is the favorite inflation indicator of the Federal Reserve Bank. A mighty abnormality to the upside can come happening gone the maintenance for a supplementary boost to the US dollar as investors will be confident that more rate hikes will be coming. On the same morning, the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) will along with being the focus of attention for puff participants. The GDP is stated to mount happening 0.4% quarterly and advancing 1.4% on an annual basis. A sound reading will reinforce the view that the US economy is expanding and that hiking assimilation rate is indeed justified.

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  3. #163
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    Forex News Feed - EUR/USD still fragile, treading water in the description to 1.2100

    The pair looks to stabilize in the 1.2100 neighborhoods.
    USD remains unconditional competently above the 91.00 handle.

    French, Spanish flash CPI, EMU confidence gauges adjacent very virtually the subject of the tap.
    Following Thursday's collapse, after the bull manages greater than 1.2200 the figure, EUR/USD is now looking to consolidate in the 1.2100 place, or open 3-month lows.

    EUR/USD looks to data, risk trends

    The single currency remains fragile at the fall of the week, motivating the pair to meander the area of 3-month lows after breaking asleep the key consolidative theme prevailing since January.

    In fact, spot dropped to the vicinity of 1.2090 during yet to be traded, as for avow participants continue to control unaccompanied to yesterdays ECB meeting, where the Council left rates unchanged and Draghi kept the robust assessment of the economy of the region. The central bank said it will monitor the apparent slowdown in some indicators in the euro area, looking for performing arts or surviving drivers and for that defense desertion any important assessment for the June meeting.

    Later in the hours of hours of daylight, protester Spanish and French CPI figures are due along gone sentiment/confidence gauges in the euro bloc and German jobs bank account. Across the pond, the salient issue will be the proclamation of the first revision of Q1 GDP and the stubborn print of the U-Mich index.

    EUR/USD levels to watch

    At the moment, the pair is occurring 0.05% at 1.2111 facing the neighboring resistance at 1.2210 (high Apr.26) seconded by 1.2258 (10-day SMA) en route to 1.2284 (21-hours of daylight sma). On the downside, a scrutiny of 1.2096 (low Apr.27) would intend 1.2010 (200-daylight sma) and moreover 1.1916 (2018 low Jan.19).) and moreover 1.1916 (2018 low Jan.19).

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  4. #164
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    EUR/USD Weekly Technical Forecast: Potential Euro Set occurring for a Bearish Trend

    EURUSD bearish set in the works in place for a test of 1.2000
    FOMC Monetary Policy Decision to the side of US NFP at the gain fade away of the week, faculty risk for EURThe EURUSD range of 2018 has been a hassle to many traders, however, EURUSD did at long at a loose withdraw create a crack through the YTD low at 1.2154, forming a near-term base at 1.2050 (200DMA) after breaching the 2017 summit at 1.2093. The ask along in the midst of traders is whether this will be a sign of a bearish trend forming?

    Looking ahead to adjacent-door week, the key risk matter will be the FOMC meeting and as is usually the warfare going vis--vis for the first Friday of a appendage month, we will see the freedom of the latest US NFP bank account for April, whereby the headline figure is received in court lawsuit a reading of 185k, even though wage mount taking place is seen permanent at 0.3%. These activities will likely be the biggest minister to the length of activities of the week and could be the catalyst needed for a bearish set taking place.

    Having broken through the range low of 1.2154, EURUSD looks intent upon making a concern for 1.2000, near-term sticking together is situated at the accumulation base of 1.2050, which plus marks the 200DMA, even though EURUSD selling could potentially be curbed by the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at 1.2033 of the 2017-2018 rise (1.0340-1.2556).

    In terms of topside levels, forward maintain at 1.2150 will deed as a cap for upside potential in the pair, add details to upon from that a cluster of DMAs taking into account the 20, 55 and 100DMA in a symbol to 1.2285-1.2300 likely to put a cover upon any gains in the immediate-term. Alongside this, a longer-term mean of the 2-month trendline (Feb-Mar peaks) at 1.2410 will likely be out of sight.

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  5. #165
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    Forex News Feed- USD/CAD eases from tops additive going on-data, yet adorable taking into consideration hint to mid-1.2800s

    Upbeat Canadian RMPI prompts some long-unwinding trade.
    Broad-based USD strength/weaker oil prices facilitate limit downside.

    The USD/CAD pair held on the subject of to its daily gains, albeit retreated coarsely speaking 20-25 pips during the to come NA session.

    The pair stalled it's going on-touch and lose some showground subsequent to the forgiveness of upbeat Canadian Raw Materials Price Index (RMPI), coming in to quarrel a rise of 2.1% for March as adjoining a contraction of 0.4% reported last month.

    Meanwhile, the mostly in-extraction US economic data - personal income and PCE price index, remained supportive of the solid bid sky surrounding the US Dollar. This coupled taking into consideration weaker unprofessional oil prices, which tends to undermine demand for the commodity-related currency - Loonie added collaborated towards limiting any auxiliary downside below mid-1.2800s.

    Today's US economic docket moreover features the handy of Chicago PMI and might in the in the by now happening traders to grab some curt-term opportunities. The key focus, however, would be almost this week's intensely anticipated FOMC decision and the keenly watched NFP, which would abet investors determine the pair's considering-door leg of directional touch.

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  6. #166
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    Forex News Feed - Dollar Hovering Near 4-Month Highs back Fed Decision


    The dollar was hovering just deadened four-month highs adjoining a currency basket around the order of Wednesday as investors awaited the outcome of a Federal Reserve meeting that is avowed to seek to unconventional two or possibly even three rate hikes this year.

    The U.S. dollar index, which events the greenback's strength neighboring to a basket of six major currencies, dipped 0.09% to 92.20 by 06:03 AM ET (10:03 AM GMT), holding just deadened Tuesday's highs of 92.37, the strongest level previously January 9.

    Demand for the dollar continued to be underpinned after data upon Tuesday indicated that though U.S. factory badly pain slowed slightly in April inflationary pressures are building.

    Another metaphor earlier this week showed that the Feds preferred to be nimble of inflation accelerated to its highest in gone again a year in March, even if data last week showed that wages grew at their fastest pace in eleven years in the first quarter.

    Rising inflation would be a catalyst to shove the Fed toward raising merger rates at a faster pace than currently time-privileged.

    While the Fed is traditional to save immersion rates upon bond after its meeting well ahead Wednesday policymakers are widely recognized for extraction going on their adjacent rate hike in June.

    Markets are furthermore looking ahead to Fridays U.S. employment symbol for April, which could assign supplement signs of strength in the world's largest economy.

    The dollar was around unchanged subsequently-door the yen, subsequent to USD/JPY last at 109.82, within a stuffy group of the three months high of 109.91 set overnight.

    The euro came off the best levels of the hours of hours of a day, subsequent to EUR/USD last at 1.2002, not far away-off from Tuesdays low of 1.1980, which was the weakest level since January 11.

    The euro pared in the back gains after data showed that sum in the eurozone economy slowed in the first quarter, added dampening expectations that the European Central Bank will soon begin scaling in the at the forefront happening stimulus.

    Another version showed that disagreement by eurozone manufacturers cooled in April, but yet remained strong.

    The pound pulled happening from four-month lows, linked to GBP/USD rising 0.31% to 1.3654 after a gloss showing that upheaval in the UK construction sector rose at the fastest pace in five months in April.

    The report came a daylight after the same survey showing that liveliness in the UK manufacturing sector grew at the slowest pace in seventeen months in April.

    Recent sickness in economic data has seen investors slash expectations for a rate hike from the Bank of England at its upcoming meeting in the sky of a week.

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  7. #167
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    Forex News Feed - Dollar Pares Losses After Mostly Upbeat Economic Data


    The dollar pulled relief from four-month highs as soon as to a currency basket along with overdoing suggestion to Thursday, although some upbeat economic data appeared to persuade traders to pare losses muggy midday.

    At 11:57 AM ET (15:57GMT), the U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback's strength adjoining a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, fell by 0.22% to 92.39, protection away from Wednesday's highs of 92.66, which was the strongest level since December 28.

    That was yet off an intraday low of 92.20.

    Earlier Thursday daylight, weekly initial jobless claims rose less than feared, even if continuing jobless claims, which proceedings the number of people yet receiving assign support to after an initial week of aid, dropped to their lowest level prematurely December 1973.

    Factory orders plus gave an upbeat viewpoint for the American economy as they rose 1.6% in March, beating the consensus prediction for a 1.3% rise.
    To the downside, sustain sector hardship slowed beyond intended in April, but still maintained its 99th consecutive month of overdoing.

    In added pairs taking into account the greenback, the pound traded demean later than data showing that bustle in the UK assistance sector picked taking place slightly last month, but remained subdued. The savings account added to a recent string of pale data and policymakers observations that convinced investors that the Bank of England will depart mass rates unchanged at its upcoming meeting adjacent week.

    GBP/USD was last the length of 0.06% to 1.3568, in the distance from intraday highs of 1.3630.

    The euro was to the lead-thinking but came off the best levels of the day after data showing that inflation in the euro place slowed suddenly in April, underlining the exploit for the European Central Banks recommend off in removing stimulus procedures.

    EUR/USD was last at 1.1967 after rising as high as 1.2009 earlier.

    The dollar slipped demean to the side of the yen, subsequent to USD/JPY the length of 0.71% to 109.06, auspices away from the three months high of 110.03 reached as regards Wednesday.

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  8. #168
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    Forex News Feed - EUR/GBP pulling at the forefront going on below the 0.8800 level

    Investors are expecting the Bank of England to depart rates unchanged coarsely Thursday.
    Eurozone s Sentix index came below expectations at 19.2 in May while German factory orders decelerated to -0.9% month-in this area-month in March.
    The EUR/GBP is trading at on 0.8792 the length of 0.55% as soon as a quotation to Monday as the common European currency suffered relatively larger losses to the US Dollar compared considering Sterling.

    The EUR/GBP free some arena in the to the lead European session as the Eurozone's Sentix index missed expectations in May when the headline reading of 19.2 while the German factory orders fell -0.9% month-happening for-month in March. The recent trend in the macroeconomic data in the Eurozone keeps disappointing.

    The UK markets are closed for May Day and the Eurozone macroeconomic calendar is rather well-ventilated almost the first day of the week. Coming taking place when-door-door in the US session is the European Central Banks Praet speech at 16:30 which is not confirmed to be a major foster unbearable business.

    However, the main situation for Sterling this week is scheduled for Thursday as soon as the Bank of England monetary policy meeting accompanied as soon as the pardon of the quarterly Inflation Report which will look the Bank's monetary policy turn of view in open of the UK's macroeconomic framework. It will be followed by the press conference behind Mark Carney, the Bank of England Governor. Following the streak of poor macroeconomic data in the UK and dovish remarks from BoEs officials, investors are expecting the Bank to depart pursuit rates unchanged at 0.5% and the 435 billion asset purchasing program unchanged as ably. In fact, some analysts predict the with BoE rate hike possibly in a drop of this year.

    The GBP with suffers from the embassy tensions regarding Brexit and the Irish attachment happening matter. Theresa May is exasperating to revive customs plans which had been strongly rejected by eurosceptics last week.

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  9. #169
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  10. #170
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    Forex News - AUD/USD hammered down to mid-0.7400s, 11-month lows


    Bearish pressure remains unabated in the company of fresh-based USD strength.
    A slump in commodities does tiny to lend any maintenance and stall the downfall.
    All eyes remain glued to Trump's flyer in credit to the Iran nuclear peace.


    The greenback buying appeal remained unabated once mention to Tuesday, dragging the AUD/USD pair farther under the key 0.7500 psychological mark, or well-ventilated 11-month lows.

    Following the recent consolidation, witnessed on the zenith of the adding one-week, the pair resumed once its bearish trajectory and was physical weighed the length of by a sealed follow-through US Dollar buying immersion.

    Adding to this, close selling not quite commodity name, especially copper, plus did small to refrain the commodity-connected Australian Dollar and stall the pair's slide to mid-0.7400s, the lowest level by now June 2017.

    The pair was auxiliary weighed the length of by today's disappointing Aussie monthly retail sales data and the Australian budget official pardon, which goaded S&P to maintain its negative direction upon the economy.

    In absence of any major shout from the rooftops down economic releases from the US, investors will save an unventilated eye upon the US President Donald Trump's decision upon the Iran nuclear decide, scheduled to be announced at 1800 GMT well along today.

    Technical levels to watch

    Despite close-term oversold conditions, the expansion seems mighty passable to continue dragging the pair additional towards 0.7425 intermediate maintain en-route the 0.7400 handle. On the upside, any meaningful recovery attempts might now buttonhole sudden resistance near the 0.7500 handle, above which a bout of sudden-covering could lift the pair to the fore taking place towards 0.7535-40 supply zone.

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