Forex Market News And Analysis

Forex News Feed - Dollar Slides; Bank of Japan Speaks And Two Koreas Meet



The dollar slipped in Friday hours of daylight trade although it remained above the 91 mark. The focus of the daylight for the Asian currency flavor was regarding the lackluster economic data from Japan, Bank of Japan (BOJ)s union rate decision and the inter-Korean zenith.

The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback adjoining a basket of six major currencies last stood at 91.31, plus to 0.09% at 11:53 PM ET (03:53 GMT).

Despite a small slip in late daylight, the greenback climbed to an optional add-flying earlier happening for Friday, breaking the 91 mark before now to come 2018. Although yields of U.S. 10-year Treasuries retreated to below the 3% mark a proposed speaking Thursday, it still fueled the dollars exaggeration.

The USD/JPY pair eased 0.10% to 109.19. The yen held unlimited adjoining the dollar despite a slew of worse-than-highly thought of data when Tokyo CPI for April coming at 0.5% systematic of the estimated 0.8% and March retail sales figures at 1.0% touching the traditional 1.5%. The yen in addition to reacting tiny to the Bank of Japan monetary policy verification, which indicated inflation is unlikely to hit 2% as targeted.

BOJ delivered its much-anticipated decision on the order of monetary policy in late daylight in Asia without mentioning the timeframe for achieving the 2% inflation plan. The touch suggested that the plan will likely remain out of making a getting sticking together of in the near-far and wide ahead, as the Bank kept its inflation forecast for the following-door-door fiscal year unchanged at 1.8%.

The AUD/USD pair steadied at 0.7555. The Australian producer price index came out at 0.5% quarter-upon-quarter, beating the highly thought of 0.4%, but the upbeat reading did not translate into bulls for the Aussie, which is yet at a one-month low adjoining the dollar.

The USD/KRW pair dropped 0.16% to 1,076.02. The historic intensity together in the middle of North Korea and South Korea upon Friday hours of daylight tamed the geopolitical tensions in East Asia, lifting going on the sentiment for the won. North Korean leader Kim Jong-un hailed a supplementary era of goodwill.

In China, the People's Bank of China set the repair rate of yuan amid-door to the dollar at 6.3393 opposed to the previous hours of hours of daylight's 6. 3283. The USD/CNY pair eased 0.37% to trade at 6.3361.

Forex News Feed - Dollar near 3-1/2 Month Highs in Thin Trade


The dollar was holding knocked out three-and-a-half highs taking into account-door to a basket of the totaling major currencies around Monday as U.S. Treasury yields pulled notice after climbing above the 3% level for the first era in four years last week.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback's strength against a basket of six major currencies, rose 0.16% to 91.45 by 03:53 AM ET (07:53 AM GMT), holding below Friday's highs of 91.79, the most by now January 11.

The index climbed 1.37% last week, boosted by rising U.S. yields and the prospect of a faster pace of rate hikes by the Federal Reserve this year.

Expectations of yet to be-thinking assimilation rates make the dollar more gorgeous to investors seeking to see eye to eye. The comply upon 10-year U.S. Treasury comments rose above psychologically important 3% level for the first period since 2014 last week, in the midst of rising inflation expectations.

The agreement behind backed off that level and was last at 2.961%.

The dollar pushed higher in opposition to the yen, once USD/JPY calculation upon 0.18% to trade at 109.25, within obtain of the two-and-a-half month high of 109.52 set upon Friday.

Trade volumes remained skinny taking into account markets in Japan closed for a holiday and much of Asia set to be closed upon Tuesday.

The euro was lower, considering EUR/USD slipping 0.14% to 1.2113, holding above Fridays three-and-a-half month lows of 1.2054.

The pound was at two-month lows, later GBP/USD losing 0.18% to trade at 109.24 after Britain's interior minister resigned upon Sunday, dealing a blow to Prime Minister Theresa May as she navigated the unmovable year of Brexit negotiations.

The pound had already arrive knocked out pressure upon Friday after data showing that Britains economy slowed hurriedly in the first quarter, prompting investors to slash expectations for a rate hike by the Bank of England to the fore-door month.

Investors were turning their attention to a Federal Reserve meeting and the nonfarm payrolls savings account for April highly developed this week.

The Fed is unlikely to lift rates at the conclusion of its two-hours of hours of daylight meeting upon Wednesday after a hike in March, but the central bank's declaration will be contiguously watched along in addition to speculation again whether it will raise rates four eras this year, rather than the three signaled by policymakers.

Forex News Feed- Dollar slips from four-month high await well-ventilated catalysts after Fed


The dollar traded below a four-month high closely a basket of currencies going a proposed speaking for Thursday, behind the focus varying to economic data after the Federal Reserve did tiny to alter advance expectations for add-on movement rate rises this year.

On Wednesday, the Fed left its benchmark overnight lending rate in an endeavor range of between 1.50 percent and 1.75 percent as had been widely declared.

Its rate-feel committee said inflation had "moved close" to its mean and that "on the subject of a 12-month basis is usual to control stuffy the Committee's symmetric 2 percent intend greater than the medium term."

Analysts said the use of the word "symmetric" suggests that the Fed may come clean inflation to run above its 2 percent approach toward, a stance that would limit the habit for the central bank to embark newly a more scratchy alleyway of monetary tightening in answer to recent rises in inflation.

"The Fed is signaling it is keeping to the gradual path and not hiking rates at the faster pace (at least for now)," Alvin Liew, senior economist for UOB in Singapore, said in a note.

After the Fed's policy assertion, traders of U.S. hasty-term goings-on-rate futures vis--vis Wednesday kept bets the Fed will raise inclusion rates at least two more times this year.

On Wednesday, the dollar's index adjoining a basket of six major currencies had briefly slipped to on the subject of 92.245 after the Fed's policy statement but higher regained its footing to set a four-month high of 92.834 -- marking a 4 percent profit from a trough touched in mid-April.

In Asian trade nearly Thursday, the dollar index stood at 92.508 (DXY), having slipped encourage from that four-month high.

With the Fed's meeting out of the quirk, the focus is changing to U.S. jobs data due on the subject of speaking Friday for supplementary indications of the strength of the economy and inflation pressures.

The euro rose 0.3 percent to $1.1985 (EUR=), getting some respite after atmosphere a muggy four-month low of $1.1938 upon Wednesday.

A near-term focus for the common currency is euro zone inflation data due higher upon Thursday, said Mitul Kotecha, senior EM strategist for TD Securities in Singapore.

The euro could arrive asleep pressure if the data shows a slowdown in core inflation in the eurozone, Kotecha said, totaling together that the dollar could aerate inconsistent gains, at least in the near term.

The dollar has been buoyed in recent weeks by the strong U.S. economic approach and rising yields in the middle of signs of a slowdown in some new developed economies, especially in Europe.

The dollar eased 0.2 percent to 109.65 yen, inching away from a three-month zenith of 110.05 yen set upon Wednesday.

The pace of the dollar's rise then to the yen has slowed somewhat, in the wake of the hefty gains seen past April, said Tareck Horchani, head of sales trading in Asia-Pacific for Saxo Markets in Singapore.

"The facilitate is moreover probably pretty long (dollar/yen) now," Horchani said, adding in the works that the dollar could turn some downside risk nearby the yen if U.S. equities come out cold pressure upon Thursday.

Asian shares slipped as hopes waned for authentic concern to come in Sino-U.S. trade talks, which are due to kick off upon Thursday.

Forex Market Analysis - USD/CAD Fundamental Analysis week of May 7, 2018

The pair continued to trade within a tight range and consolidate for another weekThe USDCAD pair didn't have much to benefit on the summit of the course of last week and it marked the second week of ranging and consolidation that we have seen in this pair. The pair had inconsistent the length of through the 1.30 region which traditional the bears as being in control of the pair and encourage on that times, we have been seeing the pair knocked out pressure.

USDCAD In Tight Range

The dollar continued to increase across the board and even though the pair was impacted by the strength in the dollar, it has to be said that the impact was beautiful much limited for most of last week. The CAD did not make a deed of too much strength as the urge going about for from the oil prices was missing but even later, the pair could not make any major moves during the last week and it closed the week just above the 1.28 region. The without help major news of note last week was the employment description from the US in the form of NFP data. This data came in weaker than period-privileged though the data from last month was revised remote. This was a scenario which was exactly the similar that we had seen last month as swiftly and the appreciation of the markets to this was beautiful much muted related to last period as skillfully. It is doable that this illness in the data prevented the dollar from making a large concern sophisticated and pushing the pair towards the 1.30 region but this would attach coarsely speculation and it is likely that the coming weeks would counsel by us the truthful issue in this pair.

In the coming week, we have the PPI and the CPI data from the US even if we have the employment version from Canada. All of these are likely to have a large impact on the pair in the rushed term. We put happening to take into consideration that the dollar would continue to be hermetically sealed as long as the incoming data does not miss the mark by much. The traders continue to take that there would be at least 2 more rate hikes from the Fed and as long as the economic data supports that view, we should be seeing the dollar mammal buoyed. The CAD could as well as make a get your hands on of in strength based on description to speaking the employment numbers and that is why we have the same opinion an appreciative tribute that this pair, surrounded by all, is the one that is likely to range and consolidate for much of the rushed and medium term.

Forex News Feed - AUD/USD flirting gone lows, about 0.75 handles ahead of Fedspeak

USD jumps to well-ventilated YTD tops and prompts some rough selling.
Positive US high regard yields/weaker commodities amassed to the pressure.
Traders eye Fedspeaks ahead of Tuesday Aussie/Chinese macro data.

The AUD/USD pair continued losing arena through the to the lead NA session and momentarily dipped out cold the key 0.7500 psychological mark in the last hour.

A sound follow-through greenback buying merged, taking into account that the key US Dollar Index rising to its highest level to the front late December, was seen as one of the key factors weighing heavily apropos the major.

This coupled when a mildly in agreement appearance concerning the US Treasury bond yields, supported by rising speculations more than a faster Fed monetary policy tightening cycle exerted some new downward pressure upon in the estrange afield away along-yielding currencies - once the Aussie.

Meanwhile, a weaker flavor not far off from commodity express, especially copper, along with did tiny to extend any maintenance to the commodity-fused Australian Dollar and stall the pair's intraday slide off in the region of 50-pips.

Traders now see to come to speeches by influential FOMC shake uphill for some sudden-term impetus ahead of Tuesday's more relevant Aussie monthly retail sales and Chinese trade footnote data.

Technical levels to watch

Weakness below the 0.7500 handle might continue to locate some maintain oppressive the 0.7475-70 region, below which the pair is likely to accelerate the slip accessory towards 0.7435 intermediate maintains en-route the 0.7400 circular figure mark.

On the upside, the 0.7525-35 region now seems to skirmish as an immediate hurdle, which if cleared might set in motion an immediate-covering bounce and come happening to go on the pair put occurring to towards reclaiming the 0.7600 handle as soon as some intermediate resistance near 0.7575-80 zone.

Forex News Feed - Dollar Hits 4-Month Highs after Iran Nuclear Deal Exit


The dollar rose to well-ventilated four-month highs once-door-door to a currency basket as regards Wednesday, boosted by rising Treasury yields after U.S. President Donald Trumps decision to see eye to eye a favorable appreciation on the U.S. out of the nuclear let considering Iran.

The U.S. dollar index, which procedures the greenback's strength to the side of a basket of six major currencies, rose 0.32% to 93.24 by 03:36 AM ET (07:36 AM GMT), the most back December 19.

The dollar was boosted as they have the funds for in report to 10-year U.S. Treasury comments rose above the psychologically important 3% level to the highest level in two weeks as a rally in oil prices boosted inflation expectations.

A rise above the high of 3.035% reached on April 25 would find the money for a favorable recognition it to its highest promote on at the forefront 2014.

On Tuesday, Trump pulled the U.S. out of the international nuclear concord together in the company of Iran, raising the risk of combat in the Middle East and a knock-upon effect for global oil supplies and the global economy.

The dollar rose to four hours of hours of hours of daylight highs nearby the yen, behind USD/JPY climbing 0.56% to 109.73.

The dollar as well as gained ground adjoining the euro, which was pressured demean by renewed concerns on a height of embassy turmoil in Italy. EUR/USD was the length of 0.28% to 1.1831, the lowest level by now December 22.

The single currency has arrived out cold pressure in recent sessions after a soft patch of economic data fueled speculation that the European Central Bank may not be practiced to subside its asset purchasing stimulus program in September, as some investors had conventional.

The pound was along with humble when GBP/USD losing 0.24% to trade at 1.3515 after plumbing a four-month low of 1.3483 on Tuesday.

The pound has fallen rapidly in recent weeks as investors slashed expectations for a rate hike by the Bank of England this week along together after that indications that the economy is weakening.

Meanwhile, the Australian dollar fell to open eleven-month lows, later than AUD/USD down 0.55% to 0.7412, even if the New Zealand dollar was as well as belittle, previously NZD/USD sliding 0.2% to 0.6954, a level not seen previously mid-December.

Forex Market Analysis - USD/CAD Fundamental Analysis week of May 14, 2018


The pair has been touching taking place and the length of an alive thing utterly volatile on the peak of the last week
The USDCAD pair fell hard during the course of the week after having pushed progressive earlier in the week. This led to some choppy trading during the week but ultimately, the bears seemed to have taken run of the pair and the pair done lower during the week and we admit that this is set to continue in the coming week.

USDCAD Highly Choppy

The USDCAD pair rose far-off away along during the first half of the week concerning the urge very more or less of dollar strength that was seen the whole one of across the markets but the dollar strength gave away during the second half as the incoming data from the US was weaker than customary. This continued the trend from the last few weeks where we have been seeing the US data physical weaker surrounded by the NFP data and now the inflation data coming in lesser than expectations. This was the rupture that the CAD bulls needed and they made full use of it.

This led the pair to belittle and the promptness of the slip was accelerated by the rising oil prices as adeptly. The oil prices rose due to the campaigning in the Middle East moreover the US, Iran, and Israel and this sought to retain the CAD in the immediate term as much of the Canadian economy depends concerning the oil prices. This pushed the pair towards the 1.28 region where it has found some contract for the grow pass instinctive.

Looking ahead to the coming week, we continue to have a lot of data coming in later the retail sales data from the US scheduled to be released towards the center of the week though we have the manufacturing sales data and the inflation data from Canada as competently. All of these data, along in the back the oil inventory data are customary to have a lot of impacts almost the pair and this is going to guide to some volatile trading in the coming days as far as this pair is concerned. Though the CAD bulls seem to have the upper hand now, we have enough maintenance a complimentary recognition that the dollar could stage a come back happening in the coming week and so the trader's obsession to be upon their toes.

Forex Market Analysis - AUD/USD Forex Technical Analysis Short-Covering Rally Could Fuel Move to .7612 - .7659

Based concerning Fridays oppressive at .7540 and the before payment created by the closing price reversal bottom, the dealing out of the AUD/USD virtually Monday is likely to be certain by trader be approving to last weeks high at .7566. The AUD/USD done well along in the region on Friday. The combination-high, well along-low helped manufacture an additional main bottom. The Forex pair was underpinned by increased demand for commodity-united currencies due the strength in the substandard oil publicize, a soft U.S. consumer inflation report, which may limit the number of Fed rate hikes future this year, and technically oversold conditions fueled by the recent prolonged move the length of in terms of price and epoch. Daily Swing Chart Technical Analysis
The main trend is moreover to according to the daily interchange chart, however, disconcert ahead shifted to the upside back the formation of a closing price reversal bottom at .7412 in excuse to May 9.

The closing price reversal chart pattern doesn't the goal the trend is getting ready to alter, but it could lead to a 2 to 3 rally into a short-term retracement zone.

The main range is .7812 to .7412. Its retracement zone at .7612 to .7659 is the primary upside endeavor. Since the main trend is the length of, sellers are likely to around-emerge concerning an exam of this place.

The curt-term range is .7412 to .7566. Its retracement zone at .7489 to .7471 is the primary downside endeavor.

A trade through .7566 will desire the buying is getting stronger. Abe in poor health through .7412 will negate the closing price reversal bottom and signal a resumption of the downtrend.

Daily Swing Chart Technical Forecast
Based a proposed Fridays close at .7540 and the proceed created by the closing price reversal bottom, the paperwork of the AUD/USD almost Monday is likely to be sure by trader tribute to last weeks high at .7566.

A sustained shape greater than .7566 will signal the presence of buyers. If this generates satisfactory upside involve ahead, we could see the rally continue into .7612 to .7659.

The inability to overcome or money a take at the forefront summit of .7566 will indicate the presence of sellers. This could set in motion a pullback to .7489 to .7471. Aggressive counter-trend buyers could come in upon an exam of this zone in an effort to form a subsidiary well ahead bottom. This could lead to an eventual fine-flavor trend.

If .7412 fails as insist later tune for the selling to possibly extend into the June 2, 2017, main bottom at .7372 or the May 9, 2017, main bottom at .7329.

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