TheNews

Trading the News: U.K. Jobless Claims Change

What’s Expected:



Why Is This Event Important:

The BoE looks poised to retain its current policy ahead of the U.K. Referendum on June 23, but the central bank may show a greater willingness to remove the record-low interest rate over the coming months as Governor Mark Carney and Co. remain adamant that the next move will be to implement higher borrow-costs.

How To Trade This Event Risk
Bearish GBP Trade: U.K. Employment Report Disappoints

• Need red, five-minute candle following the print to consider a short GBP/USD trade.
• If market reaction favors selling sterling, short GBP/USD with two separate position.
• Set stop at the near-by swing high/reasonable distance from entry; look for at least 1:1 risk-to-reward.
• Move stop to entry on remaining position once initial target is hit, set reasonable limit.

Bullish GBP Trade: Job/Wage Growth Exceed Market Forecast

• Need green, five-minute candle to favor a long GBP/USD trade.
• Implement same setup as the bearish British Pound trade, just in reverse.

Potential Price Targets For The Release
GBPUSD Daily

• GBP/USD appears to have made an unsuccessful attempt to break out of the downward trend carried over from August as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) fails to preserve the bullish momentum from earlier this year, and the pair may continue to consolidate ahead of the U.K. Referendum as it remains stuck in a broader wedge/triangle formation.
• Interim Resistance: 1.4910 (61.8% retracement) to 1.4930 (38.2% expansion)
• Interim Support: 1.3870 (78.6% expansion) and 1.3960 (50% expansion)

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