Big-picture wedge continues to develop The US Dollar continues to be a difficult market for traders as low volatility puts a strangle-hold on the trading environment. Looking at the big-picture ascending wedge developing it is well within reason to expect more of the same for a little while longer as the pattern continues to fill out towards its apex. This doesn’t mean there won’t be room for opportunities or for a surprise move ...
Bitcoin: Retail trader data shows 79.7% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 3.93 to 1. The number of traders net-long is 2.3% higher than yesterday and 6.7% higher from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 5.3% lower than yesterday and 4.2% lower from last week. more...
Last week’s strong closing candle is coming from a big area with long-term implications. The head-and-shoulders top I’ve been discussing for months had its neckline thoroughly tested after it broke in October. Retests are a common occurrence for these types of patterns before their full bearish potential is realized. In confluence with the neckline is the decisively falling 200-day MA, the underside of the 2011 trendline which was also ...
The Euro is back to testing resistance guiding it lower against he US Dollar since January 2018, a barrier reinforced by the top of a choppy channel in play over the past two months. Another rejection might open the door for the next leg in the single currency’s slow downward grind while a break higher has might set the stage for a significant medium-term trend reversal. more...
Gold registered a low at 1280 with price respecting slope on a close basis before recovering higher. The advance failed this week at former channel support, turned resistance, with the subsequent sell-off breaking back below the 1302 pivot zone. The decline is now testing the 61.8% retracement of the advance at 1292 and a break below this threshold would risk another test of slope support with broader bullish invalidation steady at 1275/76 where the yearly opening-range low converges on the 38.2% ...
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