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ForeCastle

  1. Weekly Trading Forecast: Key Event Risk and Volatility Ahead

    by , 09-15-2014 at 06:46 PM
    Dollar’s Longest Run in Half a Century Hinges on Fed Decision
    Dollar momentum looks self-sustaining, and few things seem as if they could curb this move much less reverse it decisively. But, it just so happens that one of the most capable fundamentals cues is dead ahead.

    Euro Faces Volatility as External Factors Compound Onset of TLTRO

    The operative question for the Euro going forward is whether this precedes a period of consolidation before a reinvigorated push ...
  2. Price Channels for Trend Trading

    by , 09-14-2014 at 03:07 AM
    First, before you can trade a price channel, you need to identify on your graph. This process can be done relatively easily using basic technical analysis. Traders should first identify and connect a series of highs and lows on your graph. Below we can see an example of this process on a EURAUD 4Hour chart. Notice how resistance has been formed by connecting the two previous highs to form a ascending line of resistance. Since resistance is rising, this means support should be rising as well as with ...
  3. How to Measure Volatility or How to Use ATR indicator

    by , 09-13-2014 at 10:53 PM
    Talking Points:

    • Volatility is the measurement of price variations over a specified period of time.
    • Traders can approach low-volatility markets with two different approaches.
    • We discuss the Average True Range indicator as a measurement of volatility.

    Technical Analysis can bring a significant amount of value to a trader.

    While no indicator or set of indicators will perfectly predict the future, traders can use historical price movements to get an idea ...
  4. FX Reversals: NZDUSD Reaches Support, Market Breakouts Signaled Under .8274

    by , 09-10-2014 at 01:44 AM
    Talking Points

    • NZDUSD is Current Range Bound
    • R3 Support Sits at .8295
    • Market Breakouts Signaled Under .8274

    NZDUSD 30min Chart


    The NZDUSD starts the week supported going into the US session open. Currently price resides at range support, near the S3 camarilla pivot found at .8295. In the event price remains supported for the session, ...
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  5. How to Trade a Double Bottom in Forex

    by , 09-08-2014 at 01:13 PM
    Talking Points:

    • A Double Bottom is formed when price tests a previous low and bounces.
    • Buy orders can be placed just above previous low.
    • Limit orders can be set at most recent swing high, stop set 33% of limit distance.

    With the Forex market showing low levels of volatility, there is a greater likelihood that prior support and resistance levels will hold when price tests those levels again. Because of this, trading a range bound strategy might yield better results, ...
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