Markets now believe Federal Reserve won't rise rates until 2016, and this is what experts are talking about: Economists at Barclays - expectation of a Fed rate rise to the first half of next year: "Given the uncertainty around the current global outlook, the timing of the rate hike seems more uncertain than usual. Should this episode of financial market volatility prove transitory, the FOMC could raise rates in December. On the other hand, ...
Credit Suisse, Barclays, UBS, SocGen: Where To Sell EUR/USD Credit Suisse: "EURUSD has been capped below the 50% retracement of the recent fall and the 55-day average at 1.1117/32, and reversed lower. Beneath 1.0925 can open up a retest of the more important price lows at 1.0819/09. Near-term resistance moves to 1.1022. Above 1.1080/85 is needed to retest 1.1117/32."Barclays: "The move below nearby support in the 1.0925 area encourages ...
EUR/USD: No change. We are bearish and prefer to fade upticks against resistance in the 1.1300 area. A move below 1.1135 would signal lower towards our targets near the 1.1050 area and then the 1.0815 May lows. Our greater downside targets are at the 1.0460 year-to-date lows. GBP/USD: Thursday’s bullish engulfing candle has encouraged us to re-instate our bullish view. We are looking for a move back towards the 1.5930 range highs. ...
Goldman Sachs: The employment components of various manufacturing surveys have been weak (Dallas Fed manufacturing survey, Chicago PMI & the ISM services report)Mining sector job losses may persist and continue to be a dragGS say that the consensus forecast has overestimated jobs growth in May for the last few years, by 56,000 on average over the previous 5 yearsWarm weather likely inflated the jobs number in April, but this may have ...
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