Daily Market Forecast By Capitalcore

SILVERUSD Price Action and Resistance Levels Analysis

The SILVER/USD pair, also known as XAG/USD, represents the value of silver in terms of US dollars. Silver, often referred to as "the poor man's gold," is a widely traded precious metal that serves as both a safe-haven asset and an industrial commodity. Trading this pair provides valuable insights into the global economic outlook, as its price is influenced by factors such as inflation, interest rates, and industrial demand. Today’s key USD-related news, including Residential Building Permits and Housing Starts data, could indirectly impact SILVERUSD. Strong results could strengthen the USD, creating downward pressure on silver prices. Additionally, the upcoming Federal Reserve reports on Capacity Utilization and Factory Output may provide further market signals. A stronger-than-expected USD performance could dampen silver’s appeal as a hedge against currency depreciation. However, persistent market uncertainty and potential economic slowdowns maintain silver's safe-haven status, suggesting a balanced outlook for the pair in the short term.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the H4 chart, SILVER/USD has been in a bullish trend but is now showing signs of a potential reversal. The last two bearish candles suggest reduced buying momentum, while the MACD indicator shows weakening bullish momentum with the histogram approaching neutral levels. Despite this, the price remains above the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating that the uptrend may still hold as support levels remain intact. The thickening cloud provides a strong support zone below the current price. Traders should closely watch for confirmation of a bearish reversal or a continuation of the uptrend, depending on whether the MACD crosses into bearish territory and price action breaks below the cloud.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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EURUSD H4 Price Action Insights

The EUR USD currency pair, also known as "Fiber," represents the exchange rate between the Euro and the US Dollar and is the most traded currency pair in the forex market. As a barometer of the Eurozone and US economies, it often reacts to macroeconomic data and geopolitical events. Today, the Eurozone's Producer Price Index (PPI) and insights from the World Economic Forum (WEF) and Eurogroup discussions could provide key economic clues. The PPI’s influence on inflation and remarks from influential figures at Davos may steer the Euro's direction. On the other side, US markets observe Martin Luther King Jr. Day, signaling low liquidity and irregular volatility for the Dollar.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The uploaded EUR/USD H4 chart highlights a prevailing bearish trend, with four bearish candles in the last six sessions. Despite the bearish momentum, recent bullish candles suggest a potential attempt to reverse. The EUR-USD price is currently in the middle of the Ichimoku cloud, attempting to break above it. The flat upper cloud line reflects indecisiveness, often an indication of consolidation. The MACD indicator shows bullish momentum, with the histogram turning positive and MACD lines crossing upward. However, the broader trend remains bearish, and a decisive break above the cloud will be needed for confirmation of a trend reversal.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

GBPCAD Forex Pair Overview

The GBPCAD currency pair represents the exchange rate between the British Pound (GBP) and the Canadian Dollar (CAD), often referred to as "Loonie" for the CAD. It is an essential currency pair in the forex market, reflecting the economic conditions of both the United Kingdom and Canada. The pair is sensitive to geopolitical events, oil price fluctuations (since Canada is a major oil exporter), and economic data releases from both nations.
Today's economic data will likely impact the GBPCAD pair, as both the UK and Canadian economies release key indicators. The GBP is set to release the Claimant Count Change, Average Earnings Index, and Unemployment Rate, which are expected to show a slight uptick in earnings and stable employment. These figures should support the strength of the Pound in the short term. On the other hand, the CAD will publish its Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, with the m/m change expected to show deflationary pressures (-0.7% vs 0.0% forecast). A weaker CPI might indicate cooling inflation in Canada, potentially weakening the Loonie. As such, GBPCAD could see volatility depending on these releases, with traders paying close attention to inflation data from Canada and employment figures from the UK.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Looking at the GBPCAD H4 chart, the price has recently started a bullish move and is currently touching the Ichimoku Cloud. However, there are signs that the bullish momentum may be fading. The Ichimoku Cloud is currently red, indicating that the market is in a bearish phase, and this could reverse the recent upward movement. The MACD is showing negative divergence, as the price is rising while the indicator is trending lower, a typical sign of weakening bullish momentum. This divergence suggests that the market could be nearing a peak and might reverse into a bearish phase. Traders should be cautious, as the price's interaction with the cloud could signal the start of a potential bearish trend.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

GOLD Price Action and Technical Insights for H4

GOLD USD, also known as "XAU/USD," is a popular currency pair that reflects the exchange rate between Gold and the US Dollar. Known for its role as a safe-haven asset, Gold is sensitive to both economic data and geopolitical events. Today’s USD news, including weekly jobless claims and crude oil inventory data, will be pivotal. Lower-than-expected unemployment claims could strengthen the USD, potentially pressuring Gold. Meanwhile, discussions at the World Economic Forum could drive significant volatility. With market sentiment hinging on these developments, traders are closely monitoring GOLD/USD price movements for potential opportunities.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The GOLDUSD price on the H4 chart remains in a bullish trend, trading within a clearly defined ascending channel. The price is currently above the Ichimoku Cloud, a strong indication of sustained bullish momentum. Additionally, the Gold price has successfully broken above the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level, signaling the potential for further upside toward the 0.382 Fibonacci level at $2,771.96. The MACD indicator supports this bullish outlook, with the MACD line above the signal line and a positive histogram showing strengthening momentum. The channel's structure, with consistent higher highs and higher lows, emphasizes the strength of the current trend. Traders should watch for further price consolidation above the cloud and Fibonacci levels to confirm continued bullish movement.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

USDJPY Fundamental and Technical Overview Today

The USD/JPY currency pair, often referred to as "The Ninja," represents the exchange rate between the US Dollar and the Japanese Yen. As a major currency pair, USDJPY is influenced heavily by economic fundamentals and monetary policies from both the United States and Japan. Today’s news agenda highlights key Japanese CPI data and PMI indicators, alongside critical US PMI releases and housing market updates. The Japanese CPI data, measuring inflation trends, and PMI figures, indicating manufacturing activity, are central to Yen volatility. Simultaneously, US PMI updates and housing data could influence the dollar by reflecting the underlying economic strength. A higher-than-expected CPI for Japan could strengthen the Yen, while robust US PMI figures might bolster the dollar, creating potential turbulence for USD JPY movements.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The USDJPY price action on the H4 chart exhibits a persistent bearish trend, with the pair recently breaking below the Ichimoku cloud—indicating sustained downward momentum. Currently, the price is trading below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting further potential downside movement toward the 1.0 Fib level. RSI readings hover near oversold territory but have yet to confirm a reversal. The descending trendline above the price action reflects strong bearish pressure, and the RSI's bearish divergence supports the case for continued selling. Unless there’s a catalyst from today’s news, USDJPY could test lower support zones, with 155.140 being a key level to monitor.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

EUR/USD H4 Chart Technical Outlook Today

The EUR/USD, often referred to as "Fiber," is the most traded currency pair globally, representing the Eurozone’s euro against the United States dollar. As a major forex pair, it reflects the economic interplay between the European Union and the United States, with its price action influenced heavily by macroeconomic data and monetary policy announcements. Today's focus is on key events, including a speech by ECB President Christine Lagarde and business confidence reports from the Eurozone. Lagarde's remarks could provide valuable insights into the ECB's monetary policy trajectory, potentially signaling upcoming rate hikes, which would boost the euro. Additionally, German ifo Business Climate and Belgium NBB Confidence data will gauge sentiment within the Eurozone’s economy, with stronger-than-expected results likely to reinforce EUR strength. On the USD side, the New Home Sales report offers insights into the U.S. housing market, a critical economic barometer. Together, these events create a volatile environment for the EURUSD.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The EUR-USD H4 chart reveals a pivotal moment. The price is currently above the Ichimoku cloud, signaling a bullish trend. However, the Senkou Span B line is starting to flatten, hinting at potential trend exhaustion. After testing and reacting to the resistance from the upward trendline, the EUR USD price is now correcting downward, aiming toward the support level at 1.04465. The MACD indicator shows weakening momentum, as its histogram begins to shrink and the signal line prepares for a possible bearish crossover. This correction may provide opportunities for re-entry on a dip near support levels.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

EURUSD Price Action Analysis Trading Strategies and Outlook

The EUR/USD, often referred to as the "Fiber," is the most traded currency pair in the forex market, representing the economies of the Eurozone and the United States. As the world's most liquid currency pair, it is highly sensitive to macroeconomic indicators and central bank policies. Today's fundamental outlook for EUR-USD is influenced by key U.S. data releases, including the Core PCE Price Index, which is the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation. If inflation comes in higher than forecast, it could strengthen the USD as it would increase the likelihood of further Fed tightening. Additionally, the U.S. Employment Cost Index will provide insight into labor costs, another key factor for inflation. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman's speech could also bring volatility if any hawkish remarks suggest further rate hikes. Personal income and spending data will be crucial in assessing consumer strength, with higher spending potentially reinforcing a stronger dollar. Meanwhile, the Chicago PMI will shed light on business activity. If today's U.S. economic indicators come in stronger than expected, the USD could gain momentum, pressuring EUR USD lower.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
From a technical analysis perspective, the H4 EUR/USD chart shows a clear shift in trend dynamics. The Fiber pair had been in a strong uptrend (green trendline) but encountered resistance near the 1.0545 Fibonacci retracement level (23.6%), leading to a pullback. Currently, the price has broken below the Ichimoku cloud, which is still green but narrowing; indicating a weakening bullish momentum. The EUR USD price is hovering inside the cloud, testing the critical 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (1.0398), which is acting as an important support level. This area aligns with previous price reactions and the lower boundary of the Ichimoku cloud, making it a potential turning point. If this support level holds, EURUSD might consolidate before a potential bullish attempt. However, a clear breakdown below the cloud would confirm a bearish shift. The RSI is currently around 43.46, reflecting weak momentum, and the downward slope suggests further bearish potential unless it finds support. The short-term outlook remains cautious, with 1.0398 as a key level to watch; a decisive break below could accelerate selling pressure towards 1.0311 (Fib 0.786), while a rebound could bring another test of 1.0457 resistance.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

USDJPY Price Action Signals Possible Bearish Continuation

The USD/JPY currency pair, often referred to as the "Ninja," represents the exchange rate between the U.S. dollar and the Japanese yen, two of the world's most traded currencies. This forex pair is heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors, including monetary policy decisions from the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. Today, upcoming U.S. economic data, including JOLTS Job Openings and Factory Orders, will provide key insights into labor market strength and industrial activity, potentially impacting the dollar's direction. Additionally, FOMC members Bostic and Daly’s speeches could offer further clarity on future interest rate decisions, shaping market sentiment. Meanwhile, Japan's Monetary Base and 10-year bond auction may give traders clues about potential shifts in the Bank of Japan's stance, adding to the volatility of the USDJPY price action.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the USD/JPY H4 chart, the price remains within a well-defined bearish channel. A recent bullish breakout attempt failed to hold above the channel’s upper boundary, and the USD-JPY’s price has now re-entered the structure, positioning itself in the upper half but still below key resistance levels. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is struggling against a descending trendline (marked in red), indicating a lack of strong bullish momentum. Meanwhile, the MACD histogram is shifting downward, with the signal and MACD lines converging, suggesting an imminent bearish wave. Given these technical indicators, the most probable price action scenario involves continued downward movement, with the lower boundary of the bearish channel serving as the next key target.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

Gold Bullish Trend Holds Above Ichimoku Cloud

Gold (XAU/USD), often referred to as the "yellow metal," is a globally recognized safe-haven asset and a key player in the commodities market. Traders and investors closely monitor gold's price movements, particularly in response to economic uncertainty, inflationary pressures, and central bank policies. Today, multiple speeches from Federal Reserve officials, including Michelle Bowman, Philip Jefferson, and Christopher Waller, are expected to provide critical insights into future monetary policy. If their tone leans hawkish, reinforcing the strong USD narrative, gold may face downward pressure. Additionally, jobless claims data and labor cost reports will influence market sentiment; stronger-than-expected employment and wage growth could heighten Fed rate hike expectations, limiting gold's upside. Conversely, weaker labor data or dovish Fed commentary may support gold prices, as investors seek safer assets amid economic uncertainty.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Gold has recently reached a new all-time high (ATH) but is now experiencing a minor retracement, forming two consecutive bearish candles on the H4 chart while still trading above the Ichimoku green cloud—indicating an ongoing bullish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 68.88, approaching overbought territory, suggesting that gold may be temporarily overextended before continuing its rally. Price action suggests that the 2,827 - 2,803 support zone will be crucial; if gold price holds above this range, bulls may regain control, leading to another push higher. However, a break below the Ichimoku cloud could indicate a deeper correction, with potential downside risk before a trend continuation. Traders should watch price action behavior around key support and resistance zones, along with USD-driven fundamentals, for the next major move.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore