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  1. GDP Growth Was Weaker Than Expected

    by , 03-29-2019 at 02:32 PM
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    The Bureau of Economic Analysis decreased December quarterís GDP growth estimate from 2.6% to 2.2%. The GDPís growth rate has now declined 200 basis points from 4.2% in the June quarter.

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  2. The Most Important Statement In Fed Chairman Powell's Speech

    by , 11-29-2018 at 05:17 AM
    While the market focused on the possibility that the Fed may be near the end of rate hikes, Fed Chairman Powell made a more important point when he highlighted the risks that corporate indebtedness pose to the U.S. economy.

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    Stocks surged after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell delivered a speech to the Economic Club of New York on November 28, 2018, where he introduced the Fedís Financial Stability Report, inspired by and modeled after ...
  3. US NFP: Sky-High Expectations Call For Action

    by , 10-05-2018 at 10:51 AM
    The unemployment rate and average hourly earnings are the key metrics to watch. It is likely that the underemployment rate could fall to 7.1% and this could push the dollar index higher triggering a sell-off for emerging markets.

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    In simple words, at 185K the expectations for the U.S. NFP number are sky high. Speculators are even hoping for a number above 200K. But, the two most important numbers that traders will be looking at are the average ...
  4. Initial Rate Hikes Seldom Prove Toxic To Stocks

    by , 12-30-2015 at 12:43 PM
    The market went through an adjustment period, with average returns falling from 14 percent before the rate hike to 2.6 percent 250 days afterward. By 500 days, returns returned to their pre-hike average of around 14 percent.

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    Chair Yellen announced that, for the first time in seven years, easy money will become slightly less easy. The target rate will be set at between 0.25 and 0.50 percent, which doesnít sound like much, but itís important. ...